DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0753 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2020 VALID TIME 220100Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35740022 36600142 37020190 38750183 39390090 39409962 39089906 38229848 37379821 36349838 35809910 35759962 35740022 0.02 33069168 33009302 33139322 33669335 34009306 34159228 34109160 33859132 33579125 33369130 33219143 33069168 0.02 33537821 34207828 34917812 35467772 35777728 35957637 35947561 35767491 0.05 36440056 36710125 37040168 37320175 37790176 38060143 38150103 38030060 37870030 37640006 37409987 37299977 37049969 36909969 36609997 36440056 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29690229 31250156 33420092 34190090 35580147 36400205 36690308 36890320 37170318 38020262 39120186 40170131 40840078 41030012 40929969 40739928 39769833 38489736 37509648 36349657 35269718 33889795 32959814 31589883 30689958 29030085 0.05 33099160 32989291 33139324 33349331 33719335 34009308 34149218 34109164 33819129 33529127 33219140 33099160 0.15 31030038 31210061 31640069 32540070 33230047 33610014 33799964 33519904 33019893 32149931 31379969 31110000 31030038 0.15 35730020 36190088 37000189 38720187 39400091 39419958 39079904 38259846 37889789 37269696 36529713 36079786 35809898 35730020 SIGN 36210000 36400081 36710145 36850170 37050184 37780190 38060174 38400131 38650075 38630033 38469980 38009926 37119888 36409909 36210000 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29730226 31220159 33420092 34170092 35580147 36400205 36690308 36890320 37170318 38180250 39150183 40140131 40840078 41030012 40929969 40739928 39769833 38489736 37509648 36349657 35249718 33889795 32959814 31619884 30549966 29030085 0.05 33089164 32999298 33139324 33349331 33719335 33989308 34159225 34109164 33849129 33489127 33219140 33089164 0.05 33527820 34237828 34887813 35467773 35777729 35977638 35937556 35767493 0.15 35730020 36190088 37000189 37760186 38130164 38910123 39400093 39419958 39079904 38259846 37889789 37329700 36529713 36079786 35759909 35730020 0.15 31030038 31310063 31630067 32480070 33160048 33560023 33789959 33519904 33019893 32149931 31379969 31110000 31030038 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 31080049 31280062 31860070 32460070 33230047 33600016 33789961 33559908 33359900 32969893 32519912 31709949 31329973 31040010 31080049 SLGT 35730018 36160083 36600142 37000187 38720189 39380091 39419964 39089908 38239846 37319698 36539710 36119773 35819896 35730018 MRGL 29730226 31220156 32910107 33460092 34080089 35580147 36360199 36560255 36700308 36960320 37170320 38600221 40170127 40810078 41030014 40939962 40489899 39669826 38489741 37439643 36329657 35339713 33899793 32989810 31549884 28980089 MRGL 33069162 33009298 33169329 33709333 34019307 34149218 34109162 33829131 33469126 33249142 33069162 MRGL 33497822 34217827 34907813 35457774 35787728 35957640 35937562 35787501 TSTM 29050381 30490300 31900216 33160139 33910133 35250175 35960248 36310349 36820413 37430462 38740504 39370491 40660336 41260228 43410109 46370195 46610544 45470832 44180959 42791069 41981136 40811494 40351770 40631834 41521828 42801763 44421724 45581605 46041459 46401272 46751138 47450924 48240774 49340652 99999999 49449741 46969684 44989622 43909568 41969533 39959413 37979202 36778990 36098829 36128707 36908621 37708589 38468485 38578376 38038322 37048327 36178414 35568429 34828366 34158289 33778167 33968091 34858067 36008051 37398021 38157984 38647855 38707749 38297676 37757576 36547468 99999999 28278330 28838293 29348277 29768296 30438445 30928530 31398748 31349004 31359259 30739422 30449469 29219591 28579620 28369587 28219548 99999999 24797984 25768224 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S SJT 10 SW SJT 35 NNW SJT 50 ENE BGS 70 NW ABI 55 S CDS 60 SE CDS 45 SW SPS 50 SW SPS 50 WNW MWL 35 E ABI 30 WSW BWD 45 E SJT 35 SE SJT 20 S SJT. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WNW CSM 45 NE BGD GUY EHA 40 SSE ITR 40 E GLD 10 ENE HLC 20 NW RSL 35 WNW HUT 35 SE ICT 15 S PNC 20 SSE END 35 NNE CSM 60 WNW CSM. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S 6R6 65 SE MAF 55 NNE BGS 55 ESE LBB 40 SW CDS 10 SSW BGD 35 SW GUY 35 ENE CAO 20 NNE CAO 35 N CAO 35 WSW SPD 45 NE LAA 30 SE IML 25 SSW LBF 30 ESE LBF 35 S BBW 15 S EAR 35 WNW CNK 25 SSE SLN 50 NNW BVO 40 WNW TUL 25 E OKC 35 E SPS 15 N MWL 20 SSE BWD 25 S DRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S LLQ 20 SSW ELD 25 W ELD 40 ENE TXK 30 S HOT 15 W PBF 20 ESE PBF 30 ENE LLQ 15 W GLH 30 WSW GLH 40 S LLQ. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE CRE 20 W ILM 30 W OAJ 15 E GSB 35 E RWI 25 SSW ECG 40 SE ECG 50 NE HSE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 S MRF 30 S FST MAF 45 SE LBB 30 SE PVW AMA DHT 20 WSW CAO 20 ENE RTN 20 NW TAD 20 WSW COS 30 S DEN 35 NNW AKO 40 ENE SNY 45 NW VTN 30 NNE Y22 25 ENE MLS 25 SSE BIL 35 SW COD 35 WNW BPI 50 ESE MLD 45 E EKO 40 S WMC 35 WSW WMC 50 NNW WMC 20 NE REO 40 SE BKE 45 SSW P69 50 E P69 25 SE 3DU 30 ENE HLN 30 NNE LWT 50 W GGW 75 N GGW ...CONT... 50 NNW HCO FAR 25 SSE VVV 20 NNW OTG DNS 30 WNW CDJ 15 NNE TBN 30 E POF 50 NE MKL 20 W BNA 15 ESE BWG 35 SSW SDF 30 NNW LEX 50 SE LUK 35 NNE JKL 35 S JKL 25 NNW TYS 25 SW TYS 60 WNW AND 25 SSW AND 35 WSW CAE 10 E CAE 30 SSE CLT 35 WSW GSO 15 WNW ROA 35 NE SSU 30 NE SHD 25 WSW DCA 20 W NHK 20 SW WAL 85 ENE ECG ...CONT... 45 WNW PIE 50 WSW OCF 30 SE CTY 10 NE CTY TLH 10 NW MAI 25 W GZH 30 ENE MCB 15 W ESF 45 SE LFK 50 ESE UTS 25 WNW LBX 10 SSE PSX 35 SE PSX 60 SE PSX ...CONT... 75 SSE MIA 40 SW APF.