DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0256 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2020 VALID TIME 222000Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 33918115 34008235 34538171 35668107 35888063 36127907 35677774 34717806 33937905 33918115 0.02 33519998 34209890 34369737 34639622 35109562 35869573 36769570 37039535 37469458 37719382 37409269 36789271 36469330 35579333 35339272 35669154 36339063 36719035 36378990 35349051 34259194 33339340 31299790 31209956 31940030 32220047 33519998 0.02 41039673 40989451 40149405 39549493 39359576 39459784 40279828 41039673 0.05 32619660 31949810 32439959 33269960 33819875 33639723 33849615 33869544 33409511 32619660 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29590257 30060272 32240148 33820037 34330002 35219751 35499633 35799569 36769579 37569462 37749368 37129163 36949034 36178898 35218891 33829085 32909269 32509411 30749834 29130081 0.05 36167794 35747734 35067736 34267788 33697895 32918003 32168118 31908224 32368359 32518472 31988597 31618682 31278893 31658909 32708899 33618805 33928656 34368542 34628355 34798234 35528172 36188139 36167794 0.15 34309906 34869447 35229273 35669158 36039068 35729030 35309052 34369180 33379335 32159614 31279790 31239955 32150045 32530041 33579986 34309906 0.30 33619914 33779860 33669724 33859615 33849546 33399515 32659650 31919811 32449959 33269964 33619914 SIGN 32490039 33140011 33579985 33939838 34049691 34269519 34099467 33639448 33179478 32339659 31679812 31719977 31980028 32180045 32490039 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29600256 30050272 32170155 34300000 35089769 35309492 35449306 35789157 36509079 37319057 37809003 37818928 36898824 36268624 35828554 35098438 34688347 34758241 35488180 36428133 36848049 36877870 35897674 35367440 99999999 32667787 33027984 32118118 31878221 32408371 32478470 31978583 31618683 31238898 31618918 32718906 33628812 33798739 34268718 34938749 35188831 35068896 33949062 32869269 32369444 30779823 29080088 0.15 33637817 33117861 33318064 33448180 33638273 33878286 34628194 35028162 35698125 36038062 36127902 35627771 34757806 33637817 0.15 34239893 34829551 35039433 35339257 35669151 36469054 36709034 36388993 35309052 34279192 33369341 32499533 31299792 31249959 32220045 33509998 34239893 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 33249964 33789883 33649734 33839607 33839544 33399515 32629657 31949814 32449959 33249964 SLGT 34787804 33677815 33077861 33248006 33418180 33588268 33868284 34048257 34628187 35718126 36068055 36097898 35627771 34787804 SLGT 31259959 32150047 33469999 34239897 35059412 35299257 35609159 36369067 36699034 36398997 35329051 34279191 33359338 31279794 31259959 MRGL 32697790 32687791 33007991 32158102 31848222 31908230 32438365 32518477 31908601 31618680 31248893 31638915 32708901 33628814 33818740 34298713 34978753 35198832 35078899 33899073 32859277 32509405 30829817 29030084 99999999 29610257 30060272 32250148 34310000 35189767 35459625 35769586 36599592 37439476 37719395 37389234 37089150 37269073 37829006 37818922 36918826 36308624 35288470 34688346 34778245 35498174 36458125 36848043 36867875 35937678 35517477 MRGL 39369573 39459784 40279823 41059677 40999450 40159407 39559494 39369573 TSTM 28488984 30359169 30659220 30749303 30209398 29539525 29329726 28249856 25939895 TSTM 30948093 28728123 27518117 26608094 26018033 25647948 99999999 28620408 30050406 31140267 32480179 33430116 34820054 35630077 36520145 36780273 37000342 37840421 39840548 40940569 41660579 42710591 43280578 43900680 43530841 41771031 40971104 39691331 39171440 39451680 39741762 42921467 44071347 45031251 45891097 47010872 47630782 49910362 99999999 49529895 47700088 46420228 45470306 44400290 43210193 42850129 42479996 42619913 43179861 44579804 44919716 45029596 44439452 43849277 42939076 41178947 40428818 39888711 39238628 39198555 39588464 40698364 41468146 41948006 42807850 43147584 42687480 41557332 40877283 39687211 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 N ABI 25 SW SPS 40 W GYI 20 ESE DUA 15 N PRX 25 SE PRX 20 SE DAL 20 S SEP ABI 55 N ABI. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W OAJ 45 SSW ILM 45 SSE CRE 25 N CHS 10 ENE AGS 45 WNW AGS 30 ESE AHN 35 SSE AND 20 SSE SPA HKY 35 W GSO 20 NW RDU 20 NE GSB 25 W OAJ. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE JCT 50 WSW ABI 70 SSE CDS 35 NW SPS 25 SE FSM 30 E RUE 10 SSE BVX 20 NE ARG 10 SE POF 40 SE POF 35 WNW MEM PBF 35 WNW ELD 30 WNW TPL 50 NNE JCT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 SE CRE 90 SE CRE 10 NE CHS 10 E SAV 25 SSE VDI 20 SSE VDI 20 S MCN 10 E CSG TOI 20 NE GZH 30 SE PIB 15 NE PIB 30 NNW MEI 20 E CBM 40 WNW BHM 30 SW HSV 15 NNE MSL 45 SE MKL 35 S MKL 30 NNE GLH 25 S ELD 15 WNW SHV 45 NW AUS 25 SSE DRT ...CONT... 35 SW 6R6 30 W 6R6 BGS 20 ESE CDS 15 SSW OKC 35 ESE CQB 30 WNW MKO 15 SSE BVO 25 NW JLN 45 NW SGF 30 SSW TBN 30 NE UNO 35 NNW POF 20 E FAM MDH 30 ESE PAH 30 ENE BNA 35 ENE CHA 45 WNW AND 15 SW GSP 25 SW HKY 50 N HKY 25 SE PSK 40 ENE DAN 40 SW ECG 50 ENE HSE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW TOP 10 WSW CNK 25 SSE HSI 15 N LNK 40 NW LWD 30 SSW LWD 15 N FLV 20 NNW TOP. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW BVE 20 ENE LFT 35 NNW LFT 25 SSE POE 15 N BPT 10 S HOU 40 NNW VCT 40 ESE COT 50 WSW MFE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE SSI 15 NNE ORL 15 SE AGR 55 W PBI 15 NNW MIA 50 ESE MIA ...CONT... 120 S MRF 20 S MRF 20 NE FST 25 NW BGS 40 ESE LBB 30 NNW CDS 35 E BGD 10 SSE GUY 30 NE CAO 40 NNW CAO 35 SSE PUB 30 W DEN 25 S LAR 25 NNW LAR 30 W DGW 40 NNW DGW 60 E WRL 30 N RIW 50 NE EVW 20 S EVW 40 SSW DPG 25 ESE ELY 20 E U31 30 NW U31 30 NNW TWF 55 NE SUN 15 S DLN 10 NE BZN 35 E LWT 70 SW GGW 120 N ISN ...CONT... 95 N DVL 25 E N60 35 N Y22 25 ESE 2WX 25 NNE RAP 60 SSW PHP 35 W VTN 10 S ANW 25 WNW ONL 50 N ONL 15 NE HON ATY 30 SE VVV 30 ESE RWF 15 WSW RST 35 SW LNR 35 NNE PIA 25 N CMI 30 NNE HUF 20 ENE BMG 55 SE IND 30 SW DAY 25 S FDY 20 E CLE 10 SSE ERI 15 SE BUF 15 E SYR 45 SE UCA 30 NNW BDR 15 ENE ISP 95 SE ISP.