DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1129 AM CDT SAT MAY 23 2020 VALID TIME 231630Z - 241200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 49060008 47830067 46270161 45080221 43870247 42820233 41470173 40630140 40170178 40200248 41020422 41790523 42720547 43650509 47050392 49060231 0.02 42419297 43159333 43429268 43359119 43638994 43558777 42278758 41778721 41788661 41678610 40618672 39088739 38978864 41259187 42419297 0.02 28990357 30270370 32280256 33850164 36740074 36709973 35139960 34199921 31979892 30509976 29380106 0.05 42809158 43158913 42978785 41908756 41668731 41678656 40198758 39988924 40869071 41859172 42559240 42809158 0.10 41089053 42199164 42569139 42628902 42168796 41548777 41028793 40678968 41089053 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49069875 47869967 47079966 46349906 45109689 44049557 42799467 40539571 38739770 36769867 35799903 34119904 33029891 31819897 30539975 29660043 29280099 99999999 28890392 30360401 33670211 36190161 37250086 38350073 39220154 40950463 41880568 43270575 44180494 46780404 49060233 0.05 34699237 35799189 37528960 38428939 39629032 41049175 42389295 43149331 43419266 43369116 43628967 43518786 42718645 41728579 40638545 38318428 37188449 36418541 36158717 35508888 34009121 33869154 34009218 34699237 0.15 28820327 30380343 33850168 35320123 36710069 36729980 34549969 32190037 29580135 0.15 48430063 47760055 46460092 45160079 44419816 43539669 42279642 41319744 40309948 40260259 41760476 42390510 43240507 44420399 46110351 47530265 48540164 48430063 0.15 42849162 43138913 42948773 42298724 41658654 39078744 39038865 40849072 42569238 42849162 SIGN 30440343 33830169 35390125 36740072 36729974 35169969 34429968 32210034 29610134 29790224 29700266 29190285 28870327 30440343 SIGN 41910271 41280296 41630382 42080415 43110413 44400379 44650299 43910247 42880244 41910271 && ... WIND ... 0.05 39058367 37918368 36418543 35968723 33818876 31229152 31369315 31809442 32599508 35669199 37548960 38438941 39629028 41049175 42369294 43149333 43429263 43369119 43668968 43628793 42708640 41788582 40638545 39058367 0.05 49069875 47919964 47079966 46349906 45089688 44039554 42769470 40599569 38029716 35809770 33149770 32609758 31139780 29219939 27329995 99999999 29240394 30360401 31780318 33610209 36210161 37250086 38440074 39220154 40940462 41880568 43270573 44210492 45670448 46590408 46910394 49090231 0.15 28870326 30370343 33840168 35370123 36760070 36729971 35189967 34209927 32979891 31689879 30239963 29360035 28180058 0.15 48420060 47760055 46300095 45170077 44419825 43579669 42269633 41339741 40359929 40510158 41110353 41780474 42390510 43240507 44420399 45990352 47510265 48530167 48420060 0.15 42829109 43188905 42918776 41618650 40918679 40008712 39078746 39018868 40688955 42219086 42829109 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 42628902 42148795 41538777 41028793 40678968 41069048 42199163 42569139 42628902 SLGT 47530266 48540166 48440061 47790055 46310096 45160075 44419827 43589674 42309632 41299744 40369926 40269952 40260259 41820467 42460516 43320503 44420400 46070348 47530266 SLGT 28830326 30390344 33770167 36760072 36729971 35189967 34279929 33009893 31729879 30219968 29380033 28330059 SLGT 42769154 43148915 42938776 42318725 41638654 39078742 38998866 40899069 41849173 42559241 42769154 MRGL 28860393 30330402 33640209 36200163 37290086 38420074 39190149 39950287 40980469 41850569 43280573 44180494 45380459 46940395 49070233 99999999 49039878 47869965 47039965 46459918 45769807 45109690 44059557 42789467 41749511 40549571 37949723 35759770 33319772 32559759 31069784 29169943 27399998 MRGL 35619206 37538963 38448939 39639030 41129179 42449300 42809316 43169333 43429268 43379116 43638970 43538786 42738648 41718580 40568541 39058367 37958369 37068454 36388542 35898722 34008859 32029058 31199153 31299300 31789444 32649506 33579422 35619206 TSTM 49429595 48639695 47309795 46519793 45999717 46069604 46659400 46719213 47018960 47278696 47308458 99999999 43638193 42018125 40108088 38918004 38287930 38327844 38877743 40337724 41497847 42467886 43287737 43617597 43197452 42487314 41977098 41686872 99999999 29030418 31110433 33040354 34070298 35920220 36950179 37750197 38670239 39450336 40050420 40540542 40330628 40160701 40960753 42500757 42790886 42761023 43321108 43871138 44501086 44710981 44880847 45030707 46550570 48410411 49570232 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM JVL 45 S RAC 40 W VPZ 45 ESE MMO PIA 25 S MLI 20 NNE CID 35 WNW DBQ JVL. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N DIK 25 NW MOT 35 ENE MOT 40 ENE N60 35 SSW BIS 30 SSW MBG HON FSD SUX 10 SSW OLU 30 SSW EAR 40 SW EAR 35 E AKO 30 WSW TOR 25 SSE DGW 45 NNE DGW 55 WNW RAP 35 N 2WX 50 N DIK. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 SW 6R6 35 E MRF 10 NE LBB 25 SE LBL 60 W AVK 30 WSW CSM 25 S LTS 50 WNW MWL 10 ESE BWD 20 SSE JCT 35 E DRT 75 SSE DRT. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE ALO 10 E MSN MKE 40 SE RAC 10 WSW SBN 25 S HUF 30 NE SLO 25 ENE BRL CID ALO 45 ENE ALO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 S MRF MRF 15 W LBB 35 SSW GUY 20 NNE LBL 35 N GCK 15 SE GLD 25 SE AKO 15 SSE CYS 35 N LAR 40 NNW DGW 30 ESE GCC 40 E 4BQ 40 ESE GDV 75 NW MOT ...CONT... 65 N DVL 40 WSW DVL 45 W JMS 40 SW JMS 25 NE ABR 15 NE ATY 30 N OTG 30 NW FOD 20 SE DNS 20 SW SDA 25 NNE ICT 25 NNW OKC 40 NNW FTW 25 SW FTW 25 WSW TPL 20 SW HDO 35 WSW LRD. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW BVX 20 N CGI 25 ESE BLV 35 WSW SPI 35 E OTM 30 WSW ALO 25 SSE MCW MCW 35 SSW RST 35 S LSE 35 SE VOK 40 N MKE 35 SSW MKG 25 E SBN 20 N MIE 40 E LUK 35 NNW JKL 25 W LOZ 35 NNW CSV 35 WSW BNA 20 SSE TUP 50 ENE HEZ 35 SSW HEZ 20 NNE POE 40 NNE LFK 25 NW GGG 15 WNW TXK 25 WSW BVX. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW ROX 10 S HCO 45 NE JMS 45 SE JMS 60 NW VVV 35 WNW AXN 20 NNE BRD 10 SSE DLH 40 NE IWD 60 NNE MQT 60 N ANJ ...CONT... 55 E BAX 50 NE CLE 15 WSW HLG 10 W EKN 20 W SHD 15 N CHO 20 W DCA 25 WNW CXY 25 SSE BFD 30 NE JHW 20 NE ROC 25 S ART 45 E UCA 10 ENE PSF 20 N EWB 75 ENE ACK ...CONT... 95 S MRF 55 NNW MRF 30 NW HOB 30 SE CVS 20 ESE DHT EHA 45 ESE LAA 40 S ITR 20 NE LIC 40 ENE DEN 20 WNW FCL 55 NE EGE 35 N EGE 30 N CAG 50 NNW RWL LND 15 NNW BPI 25 SW JAC 35 WNW JAC 20 SE WEY 40 WNW COD 35 NE COD 20 NNW SHR 10 NE MLS 25 NW ISN 100 NNW MOT.