DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0801 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2020 VALID TIME 240100Z - 241200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 44670117 43840117 42620148 42220132 41090078 40029989 39220030 39060134 39540217 40140318 41120373 41730369 42680341 43580278 44580225 44670117 0.02 41738898 42488907 42908878 42958780 42278758 41778721 41788661 41848533 41278535 40828597 40718729 41038831 41738898 0.02 28940286 30710282 31760225 33870237 35240155 36510094 36860024 36339951 35229931 33769911 32689940 30860034 29230124 0.05 42618864 42638794 41908756 41668731 41588574 41218577 41048647 41128772 41668859 42158870 42618864 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28560314 30420326 31950262 33450271 34780226 37250086 38350073 39350149 39910288 40770388 42750405 45040318 46620307 49480066 99999999 49069875 47869967 47079966 46349906 45109689 44049557 42799467 40539571 38129724 37429737 36379751 35209780 33259765 30889828 28929846 26409929 0.05 42708642 42568474 42168417 40988455 39138306 38098297 37348399 37448551 38078626 39778602 40408653 40768786 41268905 41688922 43028913 43338788 42708642 0.15 28940290 30500284 31800225 33030236 33810225 34750194 36480094 36750064 36770047 36750003 36649976 35469908 33969853 33029861 31360000 28420064 0.15 46460092 45160079 44419816 43539669 42279642 41319744 40309948 40260259 41240334 42710350 43790261 44740244 46070264 46600170 46460092 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49069875 47919964 47079966 46349906 45089688 44039554 42769470 40599569 38029716 35809770 34139773 32929769 30959836 28929850 26379933 99999999 28620318 30450326 31990258 33550272 36210163 37250086 38440074 39280153 39850275 40870402 42720405 45010322 46690312 49280075 0.05 41088453 39238304 38148309 37428384 37468564 38008623 39748598 40468648 40868820 41298895 41888924 43228901 43398778 42708640 42608477 42238420 41088453 0.15 28970290 30540284 31800225 33820240 36000124 36540089 36760051 36750001 36679980 36339950 36209941 35099899 34029854 32789873 31360008 29360035 28180058 0.15 40319925 40260251 41340334 42710345 43830257 46000273 46530180 46300095 45170077 44419825 43579669 42269633 41339741 40319925 0.15 42918772 42348735 41998517 41108534 41098736 41148790 41738894 42808888 42918772 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 46570165 46310096 45160075 44419827 43589674 42309632 41299744 40369926 40269952 40260259 41240334 42680345 43760266 44800254 46000268 46570165 SLGT 28900290 30500284 31800225 33790242 34750194 36090119 36530091 36770049 36709986 36299946 35199904 34499874 33769853 32989865 32119931 31360004 29380033 28330059 SLGT 41738898 42778884 42938776 42318725 42048525 41078539 41068786 41738898 MRGL 28590314 30450326 31920262 33520275 34100255 36250161 37290086 38420074 39190149 39950287 40770392 41950403 42720405 43820364 45010322 46620311 49320070 99999999 49039878 47869965 47039965 46459918 45769807 45109690 44059557 42789467 41749511 40549571 37949723 35759770 34299777 33229765 31859805 30859828 28859850 26439933 MRGL 37548575 38078626 38938608 39788606 40448653 40738795 41238910 41798934 43128903 43248762 42718655 42568474 42138422 40918456 39208309 38008308 37428389 37358471 37548575 TSTM 29019266 30669177 31489049 32708965 34009003 35149090 36349061 37118956 37878741 38808675 39538668 40118698 40678890 41378957 42718949 43658895 44778732 45428520 45148381 44638264 43718182 42018125 40108088 37828061 36958005 36397856 36047755 35847616 35897456 99999999 33177804 34067978 34628134 34008248 33278308 32538311 31828265 31208214 29388196 28468207 27108159 26118105 25647951 99999999 28580344 30400357 32000294 33740305 35920220 36950179 37750197 38670239 39450336 40050420 40540542 41460601 42380639 43480551 44150507 45180452 46560452 47540433 49570232 99999999 49239619 48319721 47529781 46629791 46089729 45309601 44659405 44299234 43259174 41909173 40759299 39939454 38419569 36299592 34579556 32599539 30869583 27779592 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW BIS 35 SSW BIS 30 SSW MBG HON FSD SUX 10 SSW OLU 30 SSW EAR 40 SW EAR 35 E AKO 20 WNW SNY 20 WSW CDR 30 SE RAP 60 NNE RAP 25 WNW Y22 45 WSW BIS. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 SSW 6R6 30 S FST 10 SSW MAF 35 WNW LBB 35 SSW AMA 30 NNE BGD 35 ESE GUY 30 SE LBL 65 W AVK 55 SW AVK 15 SE CSM 20 WSW FSI 15 S SPS 35 WNW MWL 30 NW BWD 25 E SJT 35 E DRT 75 SSE DRT. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW MMO 15 NE JVL MKE 40 SE RAC 20 SE AZO 10 WNW FWA 45 ESE MMO 30 NNW MMO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 SSW 6R6 40 SSW FST 25 W MAF 55 W LBB 50 W PVW 30 SSW GUY 20 NNE LBL 35 N GCK 15 SE GLD 25 SE AKO 55 ESE CYS 10 SE TOR 45 N TOR 35 WSW RAP 40 SSE 2WX 20 SW DIK 75 NNE MOT ...CONT... 65 N DVL 40 WSW DVL 45 W JMS 40 SW JMS 25 NE ABR 15 NE ATY 30 N OTG 30 NW FOD 20 SE DNS 20 SW SDA 25 NNE ICT 25 NNW OKC 45 W ADM 30 NNW FTW 25 SSE SEP 50 NW AUS 45 S SAT 70 WNW MFE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S SDF 30 WSW SDF 35 ESE BMG 10 ENE IND 20 E LAF 40 NNW DNV 25 WSW MMO 30 SSW RFD 15 E MSN 25 NE MKE 35 SSW MKG 15 SSW LAN 15 SE JXN 35 E FWA 45 W UNI 35 NNE JKL 25 NNE LOZ 40 WNW LOZ 45 S SDF. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW 7R4 35 NNE LFT 20 N MCB 60 WNW MEI 35 N GWO 50 SSW JBR 25 NE ARG 10 S CGI 15 SSE EVV 25 SSW BMG 25 WSW IND 20 S LAF 15 N BMI 45 W MMO 25 WNW JVL 30 SW OSH 45 ENE GRB 20 WSW PLN 15 WNW APN 40 ENE OSC 60 E BAX 50 NE CLE 15 WSW HLG 15 WNW SSU 25 S ROA 35 SW AVC 25 ENE RWI 30 S ECG 75 NE HSE ...CONT... 60 SE CRE 10 SSW FLO 40 ESE SPA 35 SSE AND 50 SSE AHN 35 ESE MCN 30 SSW VDI 15 ESE AYS 20 NE OCF 45 W ORL 40 NNE FMY 45 E APF 50 ESE MIA ...CONT... 125 SW 6R6 25 E MRF 20 NE INK 45 SSE CVS 20 ESE DHT EHA 45 ESE LAA 40 S ITR 20 NE LIC 40 ENE DEN 20 WNW FCL 20 WNW LAR 35 S CPR 50 N DGW 25 ESE GCC 45 ESE 4BQ 20 NW BHK 15 SSW SDY 100 NNW MOT ...CONT... 35 NW ROX 25 N GFK 40 SW GFK 40 ESE JMS 60 SSW FAR 20 E VVV 30 NNW MKT 25 NNE RST 50 SSW LSE CID 35 SW OTM 25 ENE STJ 25 E EMP TUL 25 SSE MLC 15 N TYR 25 WNW UTS 70 SSE PSX.