DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1157 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2020 VALID TIME 211630Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 34579692 34609791 34919913 35390012 36020059 36730082 37620082 38580054 40610013 41520019 42250003 42909939 43239817 44329659 45269505 45319336 45089259 44619221 43859247 41999345 40839402 38189450 36189458 35309513 34809601 34579692 0.05 35879875 36029944 36269990 37160011 37420041 38260052 38680009 38489848 38259775 37789740 37209731 36619761 36209805 35879875 0.05 42169905 42479859 42619819 42989733 43069659 42909585 42329536 41639524 40769561 40329617 40099668 40019783 40229857 40549934 41189962 42169905 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 35019236 33899257 33219288 32639362 32679472 32829705 32709962 31390033 30440160 28550333 29160419 32720230 34180207 35470187 36760197 37780209 38780214 39270153 39930106 41090068 41930047 42560046 43160088 43630178 44260313 44970403 45740445 46430446 46810396 46860304 46540148 46129938 45979774 46049605 46429406 46699220 46589091 46289026 45988949 45208956 44289000 43669140 42469172 40789228 39469261 37889264 37039244 35019236 0.15 35250097 35740139 36500110 37930155 38790158 39390101 41010004 42189941 43129860 44249739 45259628 45449538 45319454 44799306 44339251 43949264 42599323 40659400 39099432 37309462 36409526 35829615 35609720 35549836 35250097 0.30 36669986 36710037 37100081 37970107 38710089 39810001 40809951 41779891 42499813 42739760 42709661 42349593 41909584 41029606 39759659 38729741 38009833 37119919 36669986 0.45 38229931 37369942 37030017 37560066 38280071 38610024 38229931 SIGN 35720135 36590112 37260130 37950127 38810138 41099969 42569852 43189721 43149595 42479545 41659556 40879602 39959677 38749766 37939833 37239892 35370040 35190095 35720135 && ... WIND ... 0.05 34078938 34348823 35088762 36848776 37618760 38878693 39598582 40578313 40358208 39618156 38078223 37048295 36088368 34908471 34078532 33088688 32638801 32178934 31639064 31319168 31169297 31259526 31499655 31649769 32419889 32759959 31240048 30310180 28760332 29030416 32770229 33590211 34490191 35690184 37780212 38520209 39350141 40860071 41970274 43710636 44410651 46430459 46830392 46880306 46540134 46139941 45989776 46069607 46449413 46699224 46619094 46178935 45658917 44738937 44118991 43619119 42429168 40639231 39369256 37859261 37009238 35989187 35009113 34139033 34078938 0.15 34439684 34459836 34799997 35230091 35780100 37610125 38980092 40450010 41739938 42919864 43829754 44199663 44409550 44599453 44769382 44679321 44339249 43929265 43169294 41599360 40379400 39209417 37829408 36479416 35279445 34699551 34439684 0.30 35529811 35519918 36050017 36570051 37480071 38090031 39049973 39769946 40279893 41569818 42239754 42309691 41869651 41229670 40269693 39739658 38459573 37889550 36989547 36039582 35669686 35529811 0.45 37909868 37119832 36529851 36229930 36489993 37530059 37939996 38279946 37909868 SIGN 37500088 38250063 38880012 39279931 39759823 39889754 39599691 38689689 37309651 36419697 35579809 35519930 35780025 36510061 37500088 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 37909868 37119832 36529851 36229930 36559996 37130023 37610069 38280072 38590025 38309934 37909868 ENH 42349593 41909584 41029606 39759659 39759659 39739658 38459573 37889550 36989547 36039582 35669686 35529811 35519918 36050017 36570051 37100081 37970107 38710089 39810001 40809951 41779891 42499813 42739760 42709661 42349593 SLGT 45319454 44799306 44359253 44339249 43929265 43169294 41599360 40379400 39209417 37829408 36479416 35279445 34699551 34439684 34459836 34799997 35250097 35740139 36500110 37930155 38790158 39390101 41010004 42189941 43129860 44249739 45259628 45449538 45319454 MRGL 29090415 32340252 32760230 34180207 35470187 36600196 37780212 38080211 38780214 39270153 39610129 40530086 40880075 41970274 43710636 44410651 46430459 46830392 46880306 46530134 46139941 45989776 46069607 46449413 46699219 46619094 46178935 45658917 44738937 44118991 43619119 42429168 40639231 39369256 37859261 37009238 35989187 35009113 34139033 34078938 34348823 35088762 36848776 37618760 38878693 39598582 40578313 40358208 39608156 38078223 37048295 36088368 34908471 34088532 33088688 32638801 32178934 31639064 31319168 31169297 31259526 31499655 31649769 32419889 32739956 31220048 30290174 29280186 TSTM 27708326 29078242 29928177 30598294 31258381 31038482 30218564 29058602 99999999 25909884 29179870 30719861 31689914 32609958 31200036 30270162 29120133 99999999 29510507 31220361 32870231 35240208 38200251 39330256 39630246 39880282 39610427 39960602 42001089 43451295 44241284 45271266 46221276 47431467 48681692 49811813 99999999 49490688 48190401 47560210 46439842 46819668 47919350 48919370 99999999 47588523 45128643 42878730 42698619 43948507 44708511 45948424 46378270 99999999 47326759 45766893 42257129 41857315 41207383 39907448 39147450 38597437 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N P28 20 SE P28 20 SSE AVK 50 SW AVK 65 ESE LBL 40 E LBL 20 S GCK 25 N GCK 50 NNE GCK 50 SW RSL 45 N P28. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E SUX 20 ENE TQE 20 SSW OMA 40 SSE BIE 40 SSE BIE 40 SSE BIE 25 ENE EMP 15 N CNU 35 ENE BVO 10 SSE TUL CQB 30 WNW OKC 15 N CSM 75 ENE BGD 40 SE LBL 10 ENE LBL 20 W GCK 55 N GCK 30 NNW HLC 25 WNW EAR 10 E BUB 30 E ONL 15 SW YKN 25 NNW SUX 25 E SUX. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW STC 10 SE MSP 30 N RST 30 N RST RST 20 E MCW DSM 15 SSW LWD 25 ENE MKC 50 NNE JLN 30 SSW UMN FSM 20 SE MLC 15 NE ADM 15 S FSI 30 NE CDS 40 SE BGD BGD 25 ESE GUY 45 W GCK 40 S GLD 35 E GLD 35 ESE LBF 30 NNW BUB 45 N ONL 30 W BKX 10 ESE VVV 30 S AXN 30 SW STC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 S MRF 35 NW MAF 55 E HOB 20 W PVW 20 NNW AMA 25 WSW GUY 35 ESE LAA 30 E LAA 30 SSE ITR 10 SE GLD 30 NE GLD 25 NNW MCK 20 SSW LBF AIA 55 N CPR 35 SE SHR 15 WNW BHK 35 NNE BHK 15 WNW DIK 35 WSW BIS 65 NE MBG 50 NE ABR 35 WNW AXN BRD 10 S DLH ASX 40 N RHI 15 E RHI 15 ESE CWA 20 NE VOK 20 S LSE 35 N CID 35 SSE OTM 40 NNW COU 25 WNW TBN 35 WNW UNO 20 NW BVX 60 SSE BVX 45 NNW GWO 25 SSE UOX 30 E TUP 25 N MSL 20 NW HOP 25 WSW OWB 25 SW BMG 25 ESE IND 35 WSW MFD 30 NNW ZZV 20 NNW PKB 25 SE HTS 40 SE JKL 25 NE TYS 30 ESE CHA 20 SSW RMG 35 SSW BHM 45 SSW TCL 35 WSW MEI 30 NNW MCB 30 SW HEZ 15 ENE POE 30 W LFK 40 SSW CRS 25 W ACT 40 N BWD 20 NNE ABI 10 S SJT 35 ENE 6R6 55 SSE 6R6. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW PIE 15 WSW OCF 25 W SGJ 25 ESE VLD 10 N MGR 25 ENE MAI PFN 75 SW AAF ...CONT... 45 WSW MFE 30 SSW SAT 60 WNW AUS 15 SW BWD 15 NNE ABI 15 SE SJT 40 ENE 6R6 30 SW DRT ...CONT... 85 SW MRF 45 SSW INK 55 ENE HOB 20 W AMA 15 NE LAA 15 WNW ITR 30 NNW ITR 30 SE AKO 35 ESE DEN 50 ENE EGE 50 N EVW 40 NNW PIH 35 SW MQM DLN 20 NW BTM 35 ESE 3TH 80 NNE GEG 110 NNE OMK ...CONT... 90 N GGW 20 W ISN 30 W N60 35 SSE JMS 10 SE FAR 45 S INL 25 NNW INL ...CONT... 85 NNW ANJ 50 WNW TVC 25 ENE RAC 35 S MKG 35 SW HTL 25 E TVC 35 NE PLN 80 E ANJ ...CONT... 35 NNE CAR 60 WSW HUL 15 WSW BOS 25 WSW BDL 30 S POU 15 SW NEL 20 SSE ACY 60 S ACY.