DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0737 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2020 VALID TIME 221300Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 37038769 36378768 35428805 34058914 33439034 33269132 33539231 33989265 35299199 36539098 37159008 37418941 37458843 37038769 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28189535 29829588 30509689 30569807 30279952 30230049 30520180 30840229 32160327 33190384 34280420 35790469 37600495 38420487 38800431 38730364 38620314 38450216 37760126 37300069 37429955 37779789 38469665 39449755 40089831 40629907 41519975 43070023 43650019 43909930 43809873 42779702 42119617 41369545 41569453 42159383 42749172 42739003 42648893 42368792 41908679 41418667 39778824 38658872 36728925 35378916 33179024 30499147 28629047 0.05 25568125 26658211 27208177 27568090 27288018 26618007 25778016 25358046 25568125 0.15 31859511 31659644 30849887 30659995 30720092 30960176 31610231 33180307 34540352 35970392 36820380 37150308 37010117 36770018 35799928 35099844 34889664 34989457 34809341 34559276 33759246 32939259 32479278 32029340 31839403 31859511 && ... WIND ... 0.05 38317509 37197576 36627586 35947555 35597605 35667667 35947734 36497806 37417950 38917989 40338043 40868051 41918044 42537917 42767852 42657734 42067609 40977547 39627529 38317509 0.05 28189535 29829588 30449683 30059898 29920014 30210108 30480191 31460304 33590400 34360413 35110431 35630451 37200466 37960460 38480424 38620365 38620314 38450216 37760126 37300069 37429955 37779789 38469663 39269736 39969815 40219878 40549923 41489971 43190047 43620017 43889928 43779848 42129615 40809506 41509457 42169374 42779172 43659000 44148860 44148776 43898691 43258662 41728599 40918615 39708655 37818689 37228600 36998441 36708296 36038111 35268078 34668083 33868178 33418281 32228483 30808678 29568806 0.05 27888035 26878003 25768010 25298039 25388099 25978181 26988233 27368231 27688209 27888035 0.15 31779555 30799866 30609984 30640082 30850164 31580234 32620307 34240360 35380373 36480373 36960305 37010117 36730024 35939962 35139899 34589827 34279731 33959640 33819557 33599417 33269281 32969262 32479278 32109328 31839403 31779555 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 37010117 36770018 35799928 35099844 34889664 34989457 34809341 34559276 33759246 32939259 32479278 32109328 32099331 32029340 31839403 31779555 30799866 30609984 30640082 30850164 30960174 30960176 31090187 31580234 32620307 34240360 35230371 35970392 36820380 37150308 37010117 MRGL 28459543 29829588 30449683 30059898 29920014 30210108 30480191 31460304 32910368 33190384 33400391 33590400 33750403 34280420 35790469 37600495 38420487 38800431 38730364 38610314 38450216 37760126 37300069 37429955 37779789 38469665 39119722 39969816 40229881 40549923 41409967 41519976 41749982 43190047 43580020 43650019 43909930 43829885 43779848 42859715 42779702 42599678 42129615 41859593 41369545 41569453 42159382 42359314 42789172 43659000 44148860 44148776 43898691 43258661 41728599 40918615 39708655 37818689 37228600 36998441 36708296 36038111 35268078 34668083 33868178 33418281 32228483 30808679 29888773 MRGL 42067609 40977547 39627529 38317509 37197576 36627586 35947555 35597605 35667667 35947734 36497806 37417950 38917989 40338043 40868051 41918044 42537917 42767852 42657734 42067609 MRGL 26878003 25768010 25298039 25388099 25568124 25568125 25588126 25978181 26988233 27368231 27688209 27888035 26878003 TSTM 46556750 44716951 43357121 41747156 41557322 39927409 39347491 38647446 99999999 27289679 27889715 28849737 29759756 29919876 29840002 30450198 31200275 32380436 33290499 34440532 35110586 35950687 36810786 37480825 38430807 39400777 40980686 41330514 40800390 39830258 38930041 38279933 38199785 38869791 40209995 41290031 42020101 42480298 44180499 45010691 46610743 46080283 45270070 44729820 43619594 43759416 43799274 44389093 45998843 47958540 TSTM 27718330 29378171 30068083 TSTM 31967964 32168055 31778259 30808362 29258575 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW LBL 50 ESE LBL 30 N CSM 25 W CHK 45 NNE ADM RKR 30 NW HOT 20 ENE HOT 40 NNE ELD 25 SSE ELD 45 W MLU 25 NNW IER 25 NNW IER 25 NW IER 45 SSW SHV 40 SSW TYR 65 WNW AUS JCT 55 SSW SJT 65 NNE 6R6 70 NNE 6R6 70 E FST 60 SSE MAF 25 SSW MAF 10 ESE HOB 20 WSW CVS TCC 55 SW CAO 40 E RTN 25 WSW SPD 10 WSW LBL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S LBX 40 WNW HOU 30 WSW CLL 45 NW SAT 45 SSW JCT 60 N DRT 35 NNE 6R6 25 SSE INK 30 WNW HOB 40 E ROW 35 ENE ROW 35 NE ROW 45 NE ROW 50 W CVS 30 ENE LVS 40 NW TAD 20 WNW PUB 20 E COS 35 S LIC 45 NNE LHX 40 NE LAA 30 WSW GCK 25 NE LBL 35 SE DDC 20 S HUT 25 WNW EMP 30 W MHK 40 NW CNK 35 SW HSI 15 SW EAR BBW 10 NW BBW 25 NNW BBW 25 N VTN 45 WSW 9V9 45 W 9V9 10 N 9V9 25 E 9V9 20 W MHE 15 ESE YKN 20 ESE YKN 25 WNW SUX 20 SSE SUX 15 ENE TQE 25 E OMA 45 W DSM 35 SE FOD 40 WSW ALO 40 ENE ALO 25 SE VOK 10 NNW OSH MTW 40 ESE MTW 20 WNW MKG 15 E SBN 50 W FWA 15 W IND 15 ENE OWB 30 NE BWG 20 WSW LOZ 35 WNW TRI 25 NE HKY 10 ENE CLT 40 S CLT 35 NNE AGS 50 SE AHN 20 SSE CSG 15 W CEW 50 SW PNS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW BGM 20 N ABE 15 ESE ILG 20 E SBY 30 NE ORF 25 SE ORF 40 ESE ECG 35 NW HSE 45 NNE EWN 30 ENE RWI 15 S AVC 15 WNW LYH EKN 15 SW PIT 30 SSE YNG 20 SW ERI 25 N JHW 15 SE BUF 35 SSE ROC 10 SSW BGM. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE PBI 10 ESE MIA 35 SSW MIA 45 N MTH 50 SE APF 50 SE APF 50 SE APF 15 S APF 30 SSE SRQ 15 ESE SRQ 35 NE SRQ 15 NNE VRB 15 NNE PBI. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE HUL 30 NNE AUG 20 NE CON PVD 25 N BDR 15 ESE NEL 20 WSW ACY 55 S ACY ...CONT... 55 SE CRP 25 ENE CRP 25 W VCT 30 E BAZ 30 NNW SAT 50 SSW JCT 30 NNE 6R6 20 NNE FST CNM 25 W ROW 30 NE 4CR 35 SSE SAF 4SL 20 ENE FMN 25 ENE CEZ 10 WSW MTJ 45 ENE GJT 50 NE CAG 20 NW CYS 50 WSW SNY 40 SE AKO 45 SW HLC 50 NE DDC 10 N HUT 15 WNW SLN 35 E MCK 20 ENE LBF MHN 25 SSE CDR 30 ESE GCC 15 NNE SHR 75 W MLS 35 WNW Y22 20 SW MBG 25 N HON 20 W OTG 15 ENE FRM 15 SW RST 40 NNE LSE 20 NW IMT 115 NNW ANJ. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW PIE 35 ENE OCF 30 ENE SGJ. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE CHS 40 E SAV 30 SSW VDI 20 W VLD 55 SW AAF.