DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0259 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2020 VALID TIME 132000Z - 141200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 49239434 47389342 46129306 45029355 41049911 40590093 40440153 40860188 42839916 45229741 47069721 48129795 49179761 0.05 46029363 45079408 44939560 45369642 45989629 46949663 47509673 48179711 48609700 48349545 47439424 46029363 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48259172 46269128 44899173 42779520 40369793 38069973 36070055 35290151 35150307 35950491 36990491 40700451 41400516 42660637 44080605 44440478 43980209 44719897 45079823 45439813 46429836 47219961 47979957 49109867 0.05 33749339 32829300 32419354 32229405 32439496 33399549 33829477 34329441 34639375 33749339 0.15 49169541 47639438 46399411 44989405 40769891 38920064 36740150 36550235 36570311 37200365 41360363 42710268 43759930 44379818 45129729 46119723 46559735 47459868 47899859 49009783 SIGN 41300263 41960144 41800026 41050011 40100121 38400150 37540170 37310202 37290252 37810295 39060309 40980305 41300263 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29559179 30259344 31039422 32729513 33369549 33859478 34329442 34669377 32609291 30929191 30539095 30419022 30089001 29628998 29399057 29559179 0.05 48588984 48308985 47448987 45709020 44579076 43669200 42279498 40799636 39049820 37219939 36539997 35320152 35150307 35890486 37100522 40610477 41120529 41340640 41800718 42490719 44100608 44450480 43970217 44719892 45059826 45539813 46409836 47159959 47989954 49059874 0.05 42146951 41437176 41927259 42757244 44537005 44336923 43426935 0.05 33057863 33387991 34868029 35687984 36467866 37287532 0.15 48699295 45939242 45009299 40999738 38459957 36590133 36520222 36510314 37240363 41370362 42730270 43769933 44389821 45159727 46169726 46579737 47479865 47839859 49239765 0.30 41559817 40659848 39599958 38550066 37710165 37650260 38270293 41450264 42150200 42589959 42399850 41559817 0.30 47829794 48629743 48749689 48479539 47159380 46079366 45559402 45539514 45719567 46939682 47449771 47829794 SIGN 38370293 41420270 42150199 42599958 42189882 40889886 39819984 38680112 38000197 38000264 38370293 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 42389846 41509817 40639848 39549961 38330088 37770161 37650260 38390289 41410271 42170194 42589959 42389846 ENH 45559402 45539514 45729567 46929679 47439769 47819792 48629741 48749687 48479538 47149380 46079366 45559402 SLGT 48599292 45939242 45009295 41269710 38519953 36540137 36490311 37220365 39400362 41370362 42700270 43779933 44379822 45139730 46089724 46589738 47479868 47859858 49199771 MRGL 48148985 47448987 45709020 44579076 43659200 42289496 40909624 39019824 37089948 36010059 35290151 35150306 35950491 37100522 40640480 41120529 41340640 41800718 42490719 44100608 44450480 43980208 44719896 45049824 45499813 46429841 47169957 47989955 49189864 MRGL 34669376 32609291 30929193 30879182 30529094 30409024 30069000 29638999 29399057 29559179 30259344 31039422 33399549 33859480 34349439 34669376 MRGL 33057860 33407990 34868029 35687984 36467866 37307533 MRGL 42146952 41447178 41937260 42777245 44537005 44336923 43376933 TSTM 40327249 40447319 40517412 40997581 41497730 41997866 42818021 43588021 99999999 48298771 47558765 46168788 44998843 44118893 43498975 42709145 42019299 41129368 39659396 38829385 37739324 36949270 35679217 34439173 33499134 32989068 33038970 33678825 33618757 33308661 32818586 32068524 31278412 31078280 31498179 32608155 33948271 34338343 35018349 36918287 38818244 39768228 40568150 40738088 40677853 40537700 40057613 39657568 38717426 99999999 47306962 46706747 99999999 29069388 29969452 32719605 33899684 34819775 35279886 35190013 34780183 33680391 32780524 32130563 31190596 99999999 31751284 32491192 33281156 34161190 35061280 35811324 37091350 38201279 39321171 40151036 41040890 41860799 42410784 42790827 42870898 43001017 43771077 44491066 45190964 45670680 46320455 46710353 47180339 47940361 48490434 48630515 48440820 48221151 48001410 48161569 48451658 49161730 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE ONL 35 NNE GRI HSI 15 NE HLC 30 NNW GCK 50 WSW GCK 25 N SPD 25 NNW LAA 25 NNE SNY 45 E AIA 20 E ANW 15 ESE ONL. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM STC 25 SSE AXN 15 SW AXN FAR 45 SSW GFK 35 WSW GFK 25 WSW HCO HCO 30 SSE ROX 50 WSW HIB 30 SE BRD STC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E INL 65 S DLH 15 ENE MSP 20 SE OLU 45 WSW RSL 10 SE GUY CAO 40 E TAD 10 NNE LIC 35 S BFF 20 ESE CDR 9V9 HON 15 NNW ATY 60 SSW FAR 35 SW FAR 40 N JMS 25 SE DVL 45 NW HCO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE GNA 30 SE GNA 35 W RHI 40 ESE EAU 30 SE RST 25 SSE SLB 30 E LNK 35 ENE RSL 50 WNW AVK 50 ENE BGD 15 ENE AMA 30 E TCC 25 NNE LVS 45 ESE ALS 15 NE FCL 25 SE LAR 40 W LAR RWL 45 SW CPR 30 WSW GCC 35 E GCC 25 WSW PHP 40 WNW HON 30 SSE ABR 15 ENE ABR 40 SSE JMS 45 WNW JMS 30 WSW DVL 75 N DVL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW HOT 45 S ELD 40 SSE ESF 45 SE ESF 55 SSW MCB 25 W ASD 15 ENE MSY 30 SSE MSY 15 SSE HUM 25 SE 7R4 15 WNW LCH 35 ESE LFK 15 S PRX 25 WSW DEQ 20 N DEQ 40 WNW HOT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE CRE 35 NNE CHS 45 ESE CLT 30 S GSO 40 WSW AVC 45 S WAL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NE HYA 15 ENE GON BDL 15 SW EEN 20 NW AUG 30 E AUG 55 ESE PWM. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE ISP 25 SSW ISP 15 SSE EWR 25 S AVP 25 NW IPT 15 N BFD 50 N ERI 85 WNW BUF ...CONT... 85 NNE CMX 45 NE CMX 25 NNE IMT 40 NNW GRB 20 WNW OSH 30 NE LNR 45 WNW DBQ 50 SW ALO 30 S DSM 25 WSW CDJ 20 WNW SZL 35 NNE SGF 40 ESE SGF 30 W BVX 20 NNE PBF 20 W GLH 40 SSE GLH 40 SE GWO 10 ENE CBM 25 N TCL 20 SSE BHM 30 WNW AUO 35 SSW CSG 20 SSE ABY 25 WSW AYS 30 NW SSI 40 NNW SAV 35 E AHN 25 NNW AHN 55 NW AND 40 NW TRI 30 SSW UNI 25 WSW ZZV 25 S CAK 30 ESE CAK 30 NNW AOO 25 NNW CXY 40 NW ILG ILG 55 SSE ACY ...CONT... 80 WNW CAR 30 ESE CAR ...CONT... 55 ESE GLS 30 W BPT 45 WNW TYR 15 NW GYI 25 SSE CHK 20 ESE CSM 55 N CDS 30 SSW AMA 45 NE ROW 50 E ALM 50 ENE ELP 50 SSE ELP ...CONT... 80 S GBN 55 ESE GBN 30 ESE PHX 45 SE PRC 35 NW PRC 55 NE IGM SGU 20 SE MLF 45 E U24 45 NNE PUC 40 SSE RKS 40 W RWL 55 ESE LND 20 SSE RIW 15 WNW LND 30 N BPI 10 N JAC 25 ESE WEY 55 SE LVM 60 N SHR 15 W BHK 35 W DIK 40 NW DIK 15 S ISN 40 WNW ISN 40 NNE OLF 70 E HVR 50 SE CTB 25 SSE GPI 40 NNW 3TH 70 NE GEG 105 N GEG.