DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0256 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2020 VALID TIME 142000Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42069518 44009362 44739250 45539039 45468896 44998854 44558863 44128956 43269094 41979212 41329309 41099395 41319508 42069518 0.02 37860240 37510268 37540314 38060376 38710397 39280390 39260348 38690259 37860240 0.05 43289298 43789305 44609172 44469072 43939058 43179200 43289298 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39249991 39569876 40409738 43759458 45119285 46229076 46698921 46518737 45388719 44248728 43428845 42729038 41009163 39399218 38599338 37949542 37339709 36329856 35250009 35130157 35600334 36850472 38100557 39130539 39780513 39970473 39940376 39230123 39249991 0.05 45030482 44800400 44000377 43490413 43550554 44510574 45030482 0.15 39689622 40689634 41919540 43999363 44789246 45589048 45518921 44928888 44438898 43229129 41139295 39949394 39479470 39689622 0.15 36480225 36970357 37940448 38690441 39130394 39090309 38630207 38280061 37579998 37079989 36630029 36380124 36480225 && ... WIND ... 0.05 41317092 41227224 41437327 41757377 42627413 43057393 42957327 42907218 42947161 43027098 42897064 41857031 41317092 0.05 31489113 31989196 32629213 33169215 33489192 33799140 33909105 33909082 33829000 32858930 32158926 31368948 31298996 31489113 0.05 39249989 39619870 40409738 43769458 45119290 46229081 46718918 46508730 45408723 44208729 43428845 42599017 40789116 38919162 37959242 37449356 36999707 35969845 34830026 34620143 34890268 36840471 38090555 39120543 39800514 39980472 39950376 39260137 39249989 0.15 39689622 40669632 41959536 43999363 44799259 45579042 45508890 45028828 44388821 42949081 40939243 39689311 39439466 39689622 0.15 35770202 36850353 37990450 38750436 39100400 39080308 38630212 38310067 38649899 38059828 37449835 36259951 35790040 35770202 SIGN 38100213 38210163 38090068 38220000 38209938 37899902 37489892 36919902 36309946 35960010 36130151 37270238 38100213 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 45028828 44388821 42949081 40939243 39689311 39439466 39689622 40689634 41919540 43999363 44799259 45289125 45589048 45558987 45508890 45028828 SLGT 39090309 38630207 38540167 38310067 38649899 38059828 37449835 36259951 35790040 35770202 36850353 37670422 37940448 37960448 37990450 38260445 38690441 38740436 38750436 39100400 39100397 39130394 39090309 MRGL 41857031 41317092 41227224 41437327 41757377 42627413 43057393 42957327 42907218 42947161 43027098 42897064 41857031 MRGL 44800400 44000377 43490413 43550554 44510574 45030482 44800400 MRGL 45808726 45388719 44248728 44238729 44208729 43428845 42599017 40789116 38919162 37959242 37449356 36999707 35969845 34830026 34620143 34890268 36740460 36850472 38100557 38530550 39120543 39800514 39980472 39950376 39690282 39250133 39240013 39249991 39339961 39619870 40409738 43769458 45119290 46229081 46718918 46508730 45808726 MRGL 32858930 32158926 31368948 31298996 31489113 31989196 32629213 33169215 33489192 33799140 33909105 33909082 33829000 32858930 TSTM 28969273 29919309 31429352 32539375 34349408 34789522 34879709 33580020 31720250 30180351 28840415 99999999 31131214 33651017 34271018 34861056 34991163 35101197 35421225 37061257 37861278 38681218 39571088 39590975 40200825 40510733 41770670 43570764 44510789 45010776 45380663 45960552 46860444 48550379 49870410 99999999 48849301 48539391 48609494 48089870 46960064 45550174 44790212 44070224 43160152 42760008 42669854 42969720 44309510 46399184 47099108 48268780 99999999 46168300 44278476 42708769 41628920 39718958 37838931 37498910 35488931 34518868 33058695 32558536 32548398 32518320 33398279 33988283 34978365 36408224 36737964 37967667 37987579 37917497 37627407 36677215 99999999 39967214 40777408 41627558 42487640 43257696 44417768 44987807 99999999 46127077 46156838 46586653 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N GRB 10 SSW GRB 35 WSW LNR 10 S OTM 25 ESE CDJ 15 ENE FLV 40 SW FNB 25 ESE LNK DNS 20 SE MKT 30 ESE MSP 30 NNE EAU 50 W RHI 20 WSW RHI 30 ESE RHI 40 N GRB. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE LIC 45 SSE ITR 55 S GLD 25 N GCK 20 SSW RSL 20 W HUT 15 NE P28 60 SW AVK 55 E BGD 35 ESE DHT 35 NW CAO 30 NNE TAD 25 S PUB 20 S PUB 20 S PUB PUB 20 ESE COS 20 ESE COS 20 ESE COS 20 WSW LIC 20 SW LIC 15 SW LIC 35 ESE LIC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N HYA 25 S EWB 10 SW GON 20 NNW BDR 10 NE POU 20 WSW ALB 20 NNW ALB 30 ENE ALB EEN 20 SSW CON 10 WSW PSM 15 SE PSM 10 N HYA. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW 2WX 35 W RAP 65 SW RAP 55 S GCC 15 NW GCC 40 SE 4BQ 60 SSW 2WX. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW ESC 25 S ESC 20 ENE MTW 20 ENE MTW 20 ENE MTW 40 S OSH 30 ENE DBQ BRL 35 E COU 20 NW TBN 20 NW SGF 20 N PNC 40 SW END 30 N CDS 35 NNE PVW 50 NE CVS RTN 15 NW RTN 50 NNE ALS 45 WSW COS 45 WNW COS 15 W DEN 15 NNE DEN 35 WSW AKO 40 SSE AKO 20 ESE GLD 20 WSW HLC 10 SSW HLC 10 ESE HLC 50 N RSL 35 WNW BIE 10 NW FRM 20 NE MSP 25 SSE ASX 45 SW CMX 15 E MQT 10 NW ESC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW MEI 30 WSW MEI 10 SW PIB 30 ENE MCB 15 SE HEZ 35 S MLU 10 NW MLU 40 E ELD 15 SW LLQ 25 ENE LLQ 30 N GLH 30 NNE GLH 25 NNE GWO 50 NW MEI. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW 7R4 15 SSE LCH 35 NW POE SHV 25 NE DEQ 35 ESE MLC 40 N ADM 60 S CDS 25 SW MAF 35 ESE MRF 105 S MRF ...CONT... 100 SW TUS 45 SSW SOW 10 W SOW 15 SE INW 10 SSE FLG 15 W FLG 35 S GCN 50 SSW BCE 20 ENE CDC 50 ENE MLF PUC 45 NNE U28 45 WSW CAG 10 E CAG 25 E RWL 30 SSE WRL 35 N WRL 40 WNW SHR 45 NNE SHR 35 SSE MLS 25 SE GDV 25 NNW ISN 120 N ISN ...CONT... 25 NE INL 25 W INL 30 SE RRT 10 ESE DVL 15 NNE BIS 35 SE Y22 55 NNW PHP 30 W PHP 55 WNW VTN 15 NNW ANW 15 NNE ONL 10 ENE YKN 15 S RWF 35 SSE DLH 15 ESE BFW 80 NNE CMX ...CONT... 70 ESE ANJ HTL RAC 30 WNW MMO 10 SSE SPI MDH 20 SSE MDH 25 WSW MKL 20 NNE TUP 40 SSW BHM AUO 20 WSW MCN 30 ESE MCN 45 W AGS 30 E AHN 60 SSE TYS 10 ESE TRI 20 WNW DAN 25 SSW NHK 20 W WAL 30 E WAL 80 ESE WAL 200 ESE WAL ...CONT... 75 SE ISP EWR 20 NNE AVP ITH 35 ENE ROC 85 WNW ART 120 NW ART ...CONT... 105 N BML 30 W HUL 70 ENE HUL.