DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0102 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2020 VALID TIME 151200Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38929446 39869306 40419206 40929110 41309046 41708941 41628822 41168686 40078660 38738712 37618868 37089071 37109176 37239267 37379340 37789395 38409453 38929446 0.05 38069062 37959139 38089174 38339184 38859210 39389213 39949104 40229011 40248921 39928885 39318859 38828868 38558909 38258996 38069062 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40569549 41299360 42079143 43688922 45258629 45838504 45778391 45238295 44298328 43028513 41388559 39768601 37458760 36878894 36269048 36149128 36129284 36699371 37109434 37479494 38139594 38629646 39939635 40569549 0.05 34690524 36670559 38120615 38990573 39450512 39570431 38950292 38580170 38059963 37019909 36469916 35589954 34700082 34180246 33720347 33700437 34000474 34690524 0.15 40209030 39808980 39228939 38658903 37788887 37528945 37429056 37239218 37569374 38359444 38969423 39399356 39769255 40279104 40209030 0.15 38770523 38980446 38780361 38380303 37230262 36600251 35660253 34680290 34550376 35030439 35980507 37310533 38150540 38770523 && ... WIND ... 0.05 34340116 33650309 33350375 33100456 33380509 33750540 34650535 38130606 39070561 39510490 39490406 38940306 38540169 38089964 37829895 37599855 37249819 36839822 36209837 35829853 34899975 34340116 0.05 37458761 36279042 36129120 36139281 36559455 37589537 38729643 39959625 40589543 41429318 41949159 43139016 43558955 44708722 45858502 45708393 45148287 44358326 42958520 41628547 39888611 37458761 0.15 38990447 38780360 38580306 38130246 37220195 36290177 35350188 34820216 34550286 34470331 34510386 35000436 35980507 37310535 38160540 38780524 38990447 0.15 40239252 40889091 41328991 41288833 40748757 40088758 39488760 39068772 38358795 37738867 37448966 37259138 37419283 37639373 38359444 38929444 39419376 39779329 40239252 0.30 38989309 39539204 39959109 40209021 40298930 39728869 39398862 39108858 38538896 38278987 38009076 37889149 37959238 38079263 38989309 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 39728869 39398862 39108858 38538896 38278987 38009076 37889149 37959238 38079263 38989309 39539204 39969107 40209021 40298930 39728869 SLGT 40748757 40088758 39488760 39068772 38358795 37738867 37448966 37259138 37299172 37239218 37569374 38319441 38359444 38929444 39419376 39779329 40239252 40889091 41328991 41288833 40748757 SLGT 38780360 38580306 38130246 37220195 36290177 35350188 34820216 34550286 34470331 34510386 35000436 35030438 35030439 35290457 35980507 37310535 38160540 38780524 38990447 38780360 MRGL 39490412 39490406 39350381 38950292 38580170 38320066 38089964 37829895 37599855 37249819 36839822 36209837 35829853 34899975 34340116 33650309 33350375 33100456 33380509 33750540 34650535 37600594 38120615 38990573 39450512 39480496 39510490 39510475 39570431 39490412 MRGL 45238295 45198297 45148287 44408324 44298328 43268480 43008514 42298534 41628547 41168565 39768601 37458760 36878894 36269048 36149128 36129284 36209296 36559455 37589537 37929562 38139594 38629646 39939635 40569549 41299360 42079144 43139016 43558955 44108846 45258629 45768520 45858502 45828478 45778391 45238295 TSTM 36951885 37741966 38552034 39442030 39661969 39471891 38961832 38161804 37381802 36841850 36951885 99999999 31491206 32511116 33371121 34161124 34871202 35451279 35811289 36091276 36211246 36661146 36890975 37080945 37440945 37710953 38320998 38721014 39480995 40020939 40180868 40400604 42010562 44360471 46360069 47099894 48059819 49509706 99999999 49008762 47249050 46409266 45419515 44659732 44289814 43649868 43139851 42529730 43129505 44159243 44909082 47178705 47508668 48118570 99999999 42808218 40888285 39988338 38948408 37758510 36978646 35888774 35018745 35148598 35738493 36898278 37578225 38558121 39158014 39767941 39987864 39527762 38737745 37747714 36817663 36197641 35607546 35237456 34437272 99999999 28389281 29729244 31499188 33299104 34959129 35249247 35129403 34699576 34029786 32960052 31830236 31250299 30620334 30080384 29920434 29810501 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE DEC 20 WSW MTO 30 SSW MTO 10 S SLO 20 S BLV 25 NW FAM 25 SE VIH 20 NW TBN 35 NW TBN 30 NE SZL 50 SE IRK UIN 35 NW SPI 25 WSW BMI 10 SE DEC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N DNV 10 S DNV 15 W HUF 35 SW HUF 30 NW EVV 30 E MDH 15 NNW CGI 45 NE UNO 40 NNE UNO 35 S TBN 30 NW SGF 40 SSE OJC 40 SSE OJC 15 SSE MKC 30 SSW CDJ 15 ESE CDJ 10 N IRK 15 ENE BRL 30 ESE MLI 20 ESE MMO 35 N DNV. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S LIC 40 NNW LAA 15 ENE LAA 15 N EHA 30 SSW GUY 15 NW AMA 35 SW AMA 30 ENE CVS CVS 30 WNW CVS 45 WSW TCC 45 WSW TCC 45 WSW TCC 40 SE LVS 25 N LVS 30 ESE ALS 50 W PUB 30 W COS 20 NE COS 35 S LIC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW LIC 25 NW LIC 10 NW LIC 40 WSW ITR 55 S GLD 25 N GCK 30 NE DDC 40 NNW P28 20 N P28 20 E P28 25 E AVK 25 WSW END 50 SW END 30 WNW LTS 35 ENE PVW 50 SSE CVS 45 E ROW 15 S ROW 25 ESE SRR 20 NNE SRR 40 NNE 4CR 10 NNW ALS 50 NNW ALS 55 WNW COS 25 SSW DEN 20 SSW DEN 20 S DEN 20 SSE DEN 35 ESE DEN 30 WNW LIC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE APN 30 ENE APN 35 E APN 10 ESE OSC 15 SSE OSC 35 NNW LAN 20 ENE GRR 10 ENE AZO 40 S AZO 25 WNW FWA 15 ENE IND 30 SW OWB 15 SW PAH 25 ENE ARG 20 W ARG 20 ESE HRO 10 ESE HRO 10 ESE GMJ 10 SE CNU 20 NNW CNU 20 SE EMP 25 NW EMP 35 SE BIE 15 SSW SDA 15 SSE DSM 20 NE CID LNR 30 NNW MSN 10 NNE OSH 50 NW TVC 25 NW PLN 20 NNW PLN 15 N PLN 45 ENE PLN 30 ENE APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW BIH 55 NE MER 30 SW TVL 30 W RNO 10 NNE RNO 10 WSW NFL 45 SSE NFL 50 W TPH 20 E BIH 35 SSW BIH 40 SW BIH ...CONT... 80 WSW TUS 30 NNW TUS 45 E PHX 65 SSW INW 25 SW FLG 50 SW GCN 40 WSW GCN 35 WNW GCN 25 NW GCN 20 S PGA 50 SSW 4BL 35 S 4BL 10 S 4BL 10 NNW 4BL 35 SSW CNY 20 S U28 35 NNE U28 30 SSE VEL 50 ESE VEL 55 W FCL 50 N LAR 40 E GCC 30 S BIS 15 NW JMS 35 E DVL 50 N HCO ...CONT... 130 NNE CMX 35 SSW GNA 35 SW DLH 35 SSE AXN 20 SSW ATY 10 SSE HON 35 ESE 9V9 45 N ONL 30 S YKN SPW 15 NNE RST 30 E EAU 50 NNE MQT 80 NNE MQT 130 NNW ANJ ...CONT... 35 ENE MTC 20 WNW MFD 25 W CMH 20 ESE LUK 35 SW LEX BWG 55 SSW CKV 20 NNE MSL 45 W CHA 15 SSE CSV 35 NW TRI 55 SSE HTS 25 ENE CRW 25 NW EKN 30 ENE MGW 30 SW AOO 15 SSE HGR 25 WSW DCA 20 NNE RIC 25 WSW ORF 15 WSW ECG 30 NNE HSE 60 E HSE 175 ESE HSE ...CONT... 105 SSW 7R4 20 WSW 7R4 25 ENE ESF 15 SSW GLH 55 ENE LIT 35 E RUE 25 SE FSM 15 S MLC 35 E SPS 60 NW ABI 10 SW MAF 25 N FST 30 SW FST 25 SSE MRF 35 SSW MRF 70 WSW MRF.