DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0746 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2020 VALID TIME 151300Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38629355 39279196 40049121 40809039 41318927 41308824 41118747 40628705 39768699 38738712 37748864 37488959 37209219 37419364 37829426 38359444 38579431 38629355 0.05 37989064 37849194 38039268 38289283 38599283 38989189 39659114 40029033 39998947 39608897 39258877 38888883 38558909 38228969 37989064 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39179450 39059403 39089364 39629236 41959042 43109016 43558956 44548735 45468497 45518431 45278377 45138356 44688362 43778590 43128645 40388675 38218778 37558844 37248935 36869092 36849218 36929349 37109434 37479494 37839534 38549536 39189507 39179450 0.05 34780539 37570592 38400595 38990573 39580448 39390361 38750250 37990188 37270120 36650073 35960062 35460058 35020075 34080235 33720347 33700437 34000474 34780539 0.15 38770523 39090419 38640310 37750240 36800225 36050226 35400252 35020312 34890400 35220475 35980507 37310533 38150540 38770523 0.15 40359041 40298963 39648896 39008877 38228896 37828968 37439202 37499366 37899427 38359444 38709433 38749359 39329221 40089131 40359041 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37438760 36279042 36149127 36229306 36559455 37269533 38559536 39219507 39209456 39119416 39049374 39579235 41959044 43139016 43558955 44708696 45398509 45538435 45328388 45128356 44698361 43728600 43088644 40978624 39648630 37438760 0.05 33350234 32600393 32000495 31800549 31790611 32270632 34650535 38140601 39050572 39550461 39500381 38680245 37210114 36499996 35759913 34829911 34429969 34020045 33350234 0.15 39090421 38670315 37760232 37060197 35760073 35030080 34620157 34420320 34580406 35200475 35980507 37310535 38160540 38780524 39090421 0.15 39349213 40219131 40779045 41328924 41288833 40748757 40088758 39488760 39068772 38358795 37738867 37448966 37209223 37449367 37879426 38379444 38689435 38789348 39349213 0.30 38489331 39059190 39739117 40099030 40058948 39618892 39078864 38538896 38068965 37859069 37639221 37879320 38489331 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 39608893 39088863 38538896 38058968 37829069 37639227 37909322 38479335 39039192 39749111 40089032 40068948 39608893 SLGT 40748757 39488760 38358795 37738867 37448966 37209228 37429365 37859427 38359444 38669438 38779352 39379209 40249131 40829035 41298931 41288833 40748757 SLGT 38580306 37890240 37040193 36370133 35740071 35040082 34600155 34390322 34570412 35200475 35980507 37310535 38160540 38780524 39090419 38580306 MRGL 39430370 38660245 38160194 37200108 36690028 36119958 35699911 34889908 34369978 34000051 33200266 32580400 31990495 31790559 31760612 32240632 33550582 34640539 37600594 38350596 38990573 39250523 39540451 39430370 MRGL 45148358 44628368 44068510 43698606 43098645 42118632 40968626 39638633 37458760 36878894 36269048 36149128 36209296 36559455 37259531 38569535 39169507 39199458 39049376 39559241 40489161 41949043 43139016 43558955 44108846 45068605 45438500 45518436 45368391 45148358 TSTM 49178710 47249050 46199306 45419515 44659732 44289814 43649868 42809840 42529730 43129505 43979255 44959013 45798826 46988614 47968413 99999999 42808218 40888285 39988338 38948408 37758510 36978646 35888774 35018745 35148598 35738493 36898278 37888164 38788076 39278000 39767941 39987864 39527762 38737745 37747714 36817663 36087628 35607546 35237456 34437272 99999999 28389281 29729244 31499188 33299104 34959129 35249247 35129403 34699576 33779871 32960052 32140184 31420258 30800321 30250378 29920434 29590524 99999999 31371214 32451130 33261105 34161124 34871202 35451279 35811289 36091276 36371235 36661146 36861010 37140933 37670893 38460896 39180874 39770795 40360686 41260610 43270522 44400420 45650207 46899931 48139814 49589759 99999999 37081914 37741966 38552034 39202047 39701989 39591903 39131840 38161804 37381802 36841850 37081914 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S DEC 35 SW MTO 10 S SLO 30 NW MDH 15 WNW FAM 10 SW TBN 50 N SGF 20 SSE SZL 20 NE COU 15 SSE UIN 35 WNW SPI 20 NE SPI 15 S DEC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N DNV 15 W HUF 30 NW EVV 30 E MDH 15 NNW CGI 40 NW UNO 20 NW SGF 50 NNE JLN 40 SSE OJC 25 SE OJC SZL 40 N COU 20 NNW UIN 35 WNW PIA 35 W MMO 20 ESE MMO 35 N DNV. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW LAA 20 SE LAA EHA 25 SSE GUY 40 E BGD 50 ESE AMA 30 NNE PVW CVS 45 WNW CVS 40 SE LVS 25 N LVS 30 ESE ALS 50 W PUB 30 W COS 30 WSW LIC 40 NNW LAA. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N LIC 40 SSW ITR 40 E LAA 10 NNW LBL 45 ESE LBL 60 NNW CSM 25 N CSM 20 NE LTS 30 E CDS 30 SSW CDS 50 NE HOB 25 NE CNM 15 NW GDP 45 E ELP 15 E ELP 30 N ELP 20 WNW SRR 40 NNE 4CR 10 NNW ALS 55 ESE GUC 55 WNW COS 40 NW COS 25 SE DEN 10 N LIC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM APN 20 NW OSC 30 SW HTL 35 NNE MKG 10 WSW MKG BEH 50 S SBN IND 30 SW OWB 15 SW PAH 25 ENE ARG 20 W ARG 10 ESE HRO 10 ESE GMJ 30 SSE CNU 40 SSE TOP 15 SSW FLV MKC 25 NNW SZL 40 S IRK 30 SW BRL 35 N MLI LNR 30 NNW MSN 10 NNE OSH 35 NW TVC 15 SW PLN 20 E PLN 25 NW APN APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 150 NNE CMX 35 SSW GNA 55 ESE BRD 35 SSE AXN 20 SSW ATY 10 SSE HON 35 ESE 9V9 25 NNE ONL 30 S YKN SPW RST 25 W AUW IMT 75 ENE MQT 105 N ANJ ...CONT... 35 ENE MTC 20 WNW MFD 25 W CMH 20 ESE LUK 35 SW LEX BWG 55 SSW CKV 20 NNE MSL 45 W CHA 15 SSE CSV 35 NW TRI 30 WNW BKW 50 W EKN 25 S MGW 30 ENE MGW 30 SW AOO 15 SSE HGR 25 WSW DCA 20 NNE RIC 25 WSW ORF 15 SSW ECG 30 NNE HSE 60 E HSE 175 ESE HSE ...CONT... 105 SSW 7R4 20 WSW 7R4 25 ENE ESF 15 SSW GLH 55 ENE LIT 35 E RUE 25 SE FSM 15 S MLC 20 SW SPS 60 NW ABI 20 WSW BGS 40 NNE FST 20 WSW FST 15 ESE MRF 35 SSW MRF 90 SW MRF ...CONT... 85 SW TUS 30 NW TUS 55 ESE PHX 65 SSW INW 25 SW FLG 50 SW GCN 40 WSW GCN 35 WNW GCN 30 NNW GCN 20 S PGA 60 SE U17 30 SSE 4BL 30 ENE 4BL 50 ESE CNY 10 WNW GJT 55 NE GJT 35 ESE CAG 25 W LAR 35 NNE DGW 60 WNW RAP 20 SSE Y22 30 W JMS 35 E DVL 65 NNW HCO ...CONT... 40 ENE FAT 55 NE MER 30 SW TVL 30 NW TVL 15 NNW RNO 15 WNW NFL 30 SE NFL 50 W TPH 20 E BIH 35 SSW BIH 40 ENE FAT.