DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1148 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2020 VALID TIME 151630Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38759347 39339209 40049121 40809039 41318927 41308824 41118747 40628705 39768699 38738712 37748864 37488959 37209219 37419364 37829426 38359444 38689421 38759347 0.05 37989064 37849194 38039268 38289283 38599283 39019215 39659114 40029033 39998947 39608897 39258877 38888883 38558909 38228969 37989064 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39179450 39059403 39089364 39629236 41929025 43108991 43558956 44548735 45468497 45518431 45278377 45138356 44688362 43778590 43128645 40388675 38218778 37558844 37248935 36869092 36849218 36929349 37109434 37479494 37839534 38549536 39189507 39179450 0.05 34780539 37570592 38400595 38990573 39580448 39390361 38750250 37990188 37270120 36650073 35960062 35460058 35020075 34080235 33720347 33700437 34000474 34780539 0.15 38770523 39090419 38640310 37750240 36800225 36050226 35400252 35020312 34890400 35220475 35980507 37310533 38150540 38770523 0.15 40069078 40019011 39748991 39248977 38518991 37869037 37539157 37779250 38059307 38499335 38829328 39329221 39799129 40069078 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37438760 36279042 36149127 36229306 36559455 37269533 38559536 39219507 39209456 39119416 39049374 39599240 41089111 42019016 42508989 43258981 43688934 44708696 45398509 45538435 45328388 45128356 44668351 44328408 43848592 43088644 40978624 39648630 37438760 0.05 33350234 32600393 32000495 31800549 31790611 32270632 34650535 38140601 39050572 39550461 39500381 38680245 37120106 36980021 36909939 36469902 35709909 34819913 34409970 33990042 33350234 0.05 28509070 29879171 30439189 30919152 32518955 32688827 32168712 31268609 30408556 29248573 0.05 26728204 27168218 27338160 26698102 26258054 25878045 25408056 25378098 26038170 26728204 0.15 39090421 38670315 37760232 37060197 35760073 35030080 34620157 34420320 34580406 35200475 35980507 37310535 38160540 38780524 39090421 0.15 39349213 40219131 40779045 41328924 41288833 40748757 40088758 39488760 39068772 38358795 37738867 37448966 37209223 37449367 37879426 38379444 38689435 38789348 39349213 0.30 38489331 39059190 39739117 40099030 40058948 39618892 39078864 38538896 38068965 37859069 37639221 37879320 38489331 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 39618892 39078864 38538896 38068965 37859069 37639221 37879320 38489331 39059190 39739117 40099030 40058948 39618892 SLGT 38870365 38670315 38660313 38640310 38490298 37760232 37060197 35760073 35030080 34620157 34420320 34580406 35200475 35980507 37310535 38160540 38780524 39090421 39090421 39090419 38870365 SLGT 40748757 39488760 39068772 38358795 37738867 37448966 37209223 37449367 37879426 38379444 38689435 38789348 39249238 39389210 40219131 40779045 41328924 41288833 40748757 MRGL 45328388 45308385 45278377 45138356 45108356 44668351 44328408 43998536 43778590 43338627 43088644 40978624 39648630 37438760 36279042 36149127 36229306 36559455 37269533 38499536 38549536 38549536 38559536 39219507 39209456 39069388 39139354 39629238 41089111 41949024 43108991 43228981 43258981 43318975 43558956 43628941 43688934 44708696 44898646 45468497 45498458 45538435 45328388 MRGL 39400364 39390361 38550234 37120106 36980021 36909939 36469902 35709909 34819913 34409970 33990042 33350234 32600393 32000495 31800549 31790611 32270632 34650535 34750537 34780539 37570592 37690593 38140601 38350595 38780581 39050572 39550461 39550455 39580448 39400364 MRGL 28549071 29879171 30439189 30919152 32518955 32688827 32168712 31268609 30408556 29248575 MRGL 26698102 26258054 25878045 25408056 25378098 26038170 26728204 27168218 27338160 26698102 TSTM 31371214 32451130 33261105 34161124 34871202 35451279 35811289 36091276 36371234 36681138 36331025 35870968 35960875 36340793 37100807 38090877 38460896 39180874 39770795 40360686 41290615 43180566 44370534 45080459 45830215 47059910 48219644 48479620 48709666 48859753 48889857 49329923 99999999 49140407 48660666 48150989 48321153 48561323 49521478 99999999 38892000 38651899 38011847 37331823 36551823 36361883 36991933 37821977 38482041 38892000 99999999 28929269 29729244 31499188 33299104 34959129 35249247 35129403 34799567 34019847 33880026 33230163 32200319 31120487 30430561 99999999 42808218 40888285 39988338 38948408 37758510 36978646 35888774 35018745 35148598 35738493 36898278 37888164 38788076 39278000 39767941 39987864 39527762 38737745 37747714 36817663 36087628 35607546 35237456 34437272 99999999 49178710 47249050 46199306 45349526 44169819 43219966 42570012 41700010 41249988 40799923 41079834 41879652 43219429 43979255 44959013 45798826 46988614 47968413 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S DEC 35 SW MTO 10 S SLO 30 NW MDH 15 WNW FAM 10 SSW TBN 45 NNE SGF 20 SE SZL 25 NE COU 15 S UIN 35 WNW SPI 15 NE SPI 15 S DEC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S LIC 50 NNE LHX 45 NNW LAA 45 NNW LAA 35 NNW LAA 30 SE LAA EHA 40 E BGD 50 NW CDS 30 NNE PVW CVS 45 WNW CVS 40 SE LVS 25 N LVS 30 ESE ALS 50 W PUB 30 W COS 30 WSW LIC 30 WSW LIC 30 WSW LIC 30 S LIC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N DNV 15 W HUF 35 SW HUF 30 NW EVV 30 E MDH 15 NNW CGI 35 NNW UNO 20 NW SGF 50 NNE JLN 35 SSE OJC 25 ESE OJC SZL 30 NNW COU 40 N COU 20 NNW UIN 35 E BRL 30 W MMO 20 ESE MMO 35 N DNV. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW APN 20 NW APN 15 NW APN APN APN 15 NNW OSC 30 E HTL 40 SW HTL 40 SSE MBL 10 N MKG 10 WSW MKG 50 S SBN IND 30 SW OWB 30 ENE ARG 20 W ARG HRO 10 ESE GMJ 30 SSE CNU 40 SW OJC 40 SSE TOP 40 SSE TOP 40 SSE TOP 15 SW FLV MKC 30 NW SZL 30 N SZL 35 SSE IRK 20 N BRL 35 NNE MLI 15 ESE LNR 20 E LNR 20 E LNR 25 ENE LNR 30 NNW MSN 35 N MSN 40 N MSN 45 NW MBL 45 NNW MBL 10 SW PLN 10 ESE PLN 20 E PLN 20 NW APN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N LIC 10 NNE LIC 40 NNE LAA 10 NW LBL 40 E LBL 40 WNW AVK 30 SW AVK 25 NNE CSM 15 NE LTS 30 SW LTS 30 SSW CDS 35 SW LBB 25 NE CNM 15 NW GDP 40 W GDP 15 E ELP 30 N ELP 40 NNE 4CR 50 NNE 4CR 50 NNE 4CR 10 NNW ALS 20 N ALS 50 N ALS 55 ESE GUC 60 W COS 55 WNW COS 20 SE DEN 25 SE DEN 25 ESE DEN 10 N LIC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S HUM 25 ENE 7R4 15 NNE LFT 50 SSW HEZ 50 WNW MEI 35 NE MEI 15 SSW SEM 40 W DHN 15 NNE PFN 55 SW AAF. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E FMY 35 NNW MIA 10 WNW MIA 35 SSW MIA 45 N MTH 10 SSE APF 15 NW FMY 30 SE SRQ 25 SW AGR 55 E FMY. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SW TUS 30 NW TUS 55 ESE PHX 65 SSW INW 25 SW FLG 50 SW GCN 40 WSW GCN 35 WNW GCN 30 NNW GCN 15 SSE PGA 80 ESE PGA 55 WNW GUP 30 N GUP 35 SSE FMN 20 W DRO 50 NE 4BL 50 ESE CNY 10 WNW GJT 55 NE GJT 35 ESE CAG 25 W LAR 35 NNW DGW 10 E GCC 45 ESE 4BQ Y22 20 WNW JMS 15 NW TVF 30 N TVF 15 ESE HCO 30 WNW HCO 55 NNE DVL 85 N DVL ...CONT... 70 NNW ISN 30 N GGW 30 SSW HVR 45 ESE CTB 40 W CTB 85 NNW GPI ...CONT... TVL 55 ESE TVL 45 N BIH 10 ESE BIH 55 S BIH 55 ESE FAT 25 ENE FAT 55 NE MER 35 SW TVL TVL ...CONT... 70 SSW 7R4 20 WSW 7R4 25 ENE ESF 15 SSW GLH 55 ENE LIT 35 E RUE 25 SE FSM 10 SE MLC SPS 40 S CDS 35 SSE LBB 30 N INK 50 S GDP 95 W MRF ...CONT... 35 ENE MTC 20 WNW MFD 25 W CMH 20 ESE LUK 35 SW LEX BWG 55 SSW CKV 20 NNE MSL 45 W CHA 15 SSE CSV 35 NW TRI 30 WNW BKW 50 W EKN 25 S MGW 30 ENE MGW 30 SW AOO 15 SSE HGR 25 WSW DCA 20 NNE RIC 25 WSW ORF 15 SSW ECG 30 NNE HSE 60 E HSE 175 ESE HSE ...CONT... 150 NNE CMX 35 SSW GNA 55 ESE BRD 35 S AXN 15 S HON 40 SSW 9V9 ANW 30 NW BBW 20 SW BBW 15 WNW EAR GRI 20 WNW TQE 30 SSE FRM RST 25 W AUW IMT 75 ENE MQT 105 N ANJ.