DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0747 PM CDT WED JUL 15 2020 VALID TIME 160100Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38988708 37548753 36948836 36998941 37859025 38768910 39658777 39558728 38988708 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 37449496 37689434 38109110 38528992 39158923 39738906 40418929 40748920 41488862 41718790 41688683 41608647 39648691 37928748 37218851 36769026 36869092 36849218 36929349 37109434 37179490 37449496 0.05 34780539 37570592 38400595 38990573 39580448 39390361 38750250 37990188 37270120 36650073 35960062 35460058 35020075 34080235 33720347 33700437 34000474 34780539 0.15 38770523 39090419 38640310 37750240 36800225 36050226 35400252 35020312 34890400 35220475 35980507 37310533 38150540 38770523 0.15 37928965 38148948 38478890 38598816 38298786 37708835 37488941 37658969 37928965 && ... WIND ... 0.05 38618677 37218743 36468925 36269040 36149127 36229306 36559455 37309533 37719449 37999201 38139116 38448995 39118917 39668907 40558928 40738928 41458863 41718795 41688690 41628647 40978624 39648630 38618677 0.05 33350234 32600393 32000495 31800549 31790611 32270632 34650535 38140601 39050572 39550461 39500381 38680245 37120106 36980021 36909939 36469902 35709909 34819913 34409970 33990042 33350234 0.05 28509070 29879171 30439189 30959152 31439100 33648999 34078965 34168902 34018829 33958820 33428833 32798879 32588902 32158930 30908919 29968898 28918860 0.15 39090421 38670315 37760232 37060197 35760073 35030080 34620157 34420320 34580406 35200475 35980507 37310535 38160540 38780524 39090421 0.15 37219223 37599226 37719214 38099058 38368967 39158895 39418877 40238893 40638899 41018866 41048801 40898756 39848724 39178719 38198740 37398823 37048964 37068988 37219223 0.30 37548988 37888977 38508912 38818880 39298854 39738814 39738778 39668761 38918773 38418783 37788839 37398965 37548988 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 37378969 37548992 37928978 38118960 38828873 39298853 39748817 39748778 39658758 39288761 38378782 37738838 37378969 SLGT 38870365 38670315 38660313 38640310 38490298 37760232 37060197 35760073 35030080 34620157 34420320 34580406 35200475 35980507 37310535 38160540 38780524 39090421 39090421 39090419 38870365 SLGT 37249221 37639227 37789205 38059065 38348971 39018903 39398878 40068893 40628900 40988872 41058805 40888759 40748757 39878726 39178718 38178744 37398828 37028967 37249221 MRGL 39400364 39390361 38550234 37120106 36980021 36909939 36469902 35709909 34819913 34409970 33990042 33350234 32600393 32000495 31800549 31790611 32270632 34650535 34750537 34780539 37570592 37690593 38140601 38350595 38780581 39050572 39550461 39550455 39580448 39400364 MRGL 28549071 29879171 30439189 30919152 31379105 32689045 33788992 34078969 34158912 34058847 34028835 33958819 33388836 33078858 32138934 31138922 29928900 28888852 MRGL 37239534 37699448 37889286 38099130 38448998 39128921 39658906 40368926 40698926 41428866 41688792 41708696 41628645 40978624 39648630 37188743 36458928 36149127 36229306 36559455 37239534 TSTM 31371214 32451130 33261105 34161124 34871202 35451279 35811289 36091276 36371234 36681138 36331025 35870968 35960875 36340793 37100807 38090877 38460896 39180874 39770795 40360686 41290615 43180566 44370534 45080459 45830215 47059910 48219644 48479620 48709666 48859753 48889857 49329923 99999999 49140407 48660666 48150989 48321153 48561323 49521478 99999999 38701167 39921068 40091007 39780970 39060999 38031151 38061199 38701167 99999999 38502039 39242062 39552046 39381991 38951938 38651899 38011847 37331823 36551823 36361883 36991933 37821977 38502039 99999999 28929269 29729244 31499188 33299104 34959129 35249247 35129403 34799567 34019847 33880026 33230163 32200319 31120487 30430561 99999999 42808218 40888285 39988338 38478408 37538484 36598606 35888774 35008742 34948443 35128265 35148086 34897922 33967829 32577669 31687539 99999999 49178710 47059043 46199306 45349526 44169819 43219966 42570012 41700010 41249988 40799921 39239780 38519517 38039323 38469091 39488991 41738938 44708756 46018587 46638394 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW CGI 30 NW CGI 30 WNW MDH 30 NW MDH 20 NE SLO 20 SW MTO 20 NNE MTO 30 NW HUF 20 NW HUF 20 SW HUF 30 NNW EVV 50 E MDH 10 NNW CGI. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S LIC 50 NNE LHX 45 NNW LAA 45 NNW LAA 35 NNW LAA 30 SE LAA EHA 40 E BGD 50 NW CDS 30 NNE PVW CVS 45 WNW CVS 40 SE LVS 25 N LVS 30 ESE ALS 50 W PUB 30 W COS 30 WSW LIC 30 WSW LIC 30 WSW LIC 30 S LIC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S TBN 10 SW TBN TBN 25 NNW FAM 15 SSE BLV 25 N SLO 25 WSW MTO 15 N DEC 10 NNW BMI 25 S MMO 40 SE MMO 45 N DNV 35 N DNV 30 N HUF 20 SSE HUF 10 NNE EVV 35 NE PAH 15 SSW CGI 35 S TBN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N LIC 10 NNE LIC 40 NNE LAA 10 NW LBL 40 E LBL 40 WNW AVK 30 SW AVK 25 NNE CSM 15 NE LTS 30 SW LTS 30 SSW CDS 35 SW LBB 25 NE CNM 15 NW GDP 40 W GDP 15 E ELP 30 N ELP 40 NNE 4CR 50 NNE 4CR 50 NNE 4CR 10 NNW ALS 20 N ALS 50 N ALS 55 ESE GUC 60 W COS 55 WNW COS 20 SE DEN 25 SE DEN 25 ESE DEN 10 N LIC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S HUM 25 ENE 7R4 15 NNE LFT 50 SSW HEZ 25 SE HEZ 60 SSW GWO 20 NNE GWO 25 SSW UOX 20 WSW TUP 25 SE TUP 30 NNE CBM 25 NE CBM 20 SSE CBM 40 S CBM 35 WSW MEI 25 SSE PIB 35 S GPT 60 ESE BVE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE CNU 40 N JLN 40 WNW TBN 25 E VIH 10 SW BLV 35 NNW SLO 15 SW DEC 20 WSW BMI 20 E PIA MMO 45 ENE MMO 20 N VPZ 10 SW SBN 50 S SBN IND 35 N HOP 30 NNE DYR 20 W ARG HRO 10 ESE GMJ 30 SSE CNU. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SW TUS 30 NW TUS 55 ESE PHX 65 SSW INW 25 SW FLG 50 SW GCN 40 WSW GCN 35 WNW GCN 30 NNW GCN 15 SSE PGA 80 ESE PGA 55 WNW GUP 30 N GUP 35 SSE FMN 20 W DRO 50 NE 4BL 50 ESE CNY 10 WNW GJT 55 NE GJT 35 ESE CAG 25 W LAR 35 NNW DGW 10 E GCC 45 ESE 4BQ Y22 20 WNW JMS 15 NW TVF 30 N TVF 15 ESE HCO 30 WNW HCO 55 NNE DVL 85 N DVL ...CONT... 70 NNW ISN 30 N GGW 30 SSW HVR 45 ESE CTB 40 W CTB 85 NNW GPI ...CONT... 55 WNW 4HV 20 N PUC 35 SW VEL 45 SSW VEL 10 ENE U28 45 ENE BCE 25 NNE BCE 55 WNW 4HV ...CONT... 35 SW TVL 40 NW TVL 35 W RNO 10 SW RNO 35 E TVL 55 ESE TVL 45 N BIH 10 ESE BIH 55 S BIH 55 ESE FAT 25 ENE FAT 55 NE MER 35 SW TVL ...CONT... 70 SSW 7R4 20 WSW 7R4 25 ENE ESF 15 SSW GLH 55 ENE LIT 35 E RUE 25 SE FSM 10 SE MLC SPS 40 S CDS 35 SSE LBB 30 N INK 50 S GDP 95 W MRF ...CONT... 35 ENE MTC 20 WNW MFD 25 W CMH 40 NE LEX 35 SSW LEX 35 SE BWG 55 SSW CKV 20 NNE MSL 45 E CHA 20 SSW AVL 10 SE CLT 20 WSW FAY 30 SW ILM 135 SSE ILM 230 SE ILM ...CONT... 150 NNE CMX 40 NNW IWD 55 ESE BRD 35 S AXN 15 S HON 40 SSW 9V9 ANW 30 NW BBW 20 SW BBW 10 WNW EAR 25 SSW CNK 35 SW OJC 50 SSE SZL 35 SW STL 30 SSW SPI 35 SSW RFD 30 ENE GRB 60 WNW PLN 25 ENE ANJ.