DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1226 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2020 VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 44017701 42567696 41187727 40257778 39547873 39077999 39338170 39918270 40838264 41858191 42548127 0.02 48338876 45699168 44929333 44799454 45169527 45909532 47499444 49039359 0.05 43737783 42517797 41767812 40837860 40607899 40568009 41058072 41598061 42238036 42468029 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39380468 39760465 40330445 41270381 42690255 43020164 43520023 43929893 44069814 43839768 43079770 41769816 41429850 41229895 40619995 40100042 40010057 39330123 38410179 37750200 36790226 36540277 36620345 37180382 38310448 39380468 0.05 44757574 43827583 42567639 40877725 40337747 39677819 39067902 38597979 37878148 37688189 35888627 35018825 34369078 34289190 34419342 34679451 35189518 35489582 36179699 36909761 37469792 37929781 38079758 38039690 37639537 37069398 36779215 36819011 37138818 37928641 39028475 40008366 40988281 42448185 0.05 48338873 45759163 44949337 44809453 45169529 45869531 47519434 49089359 0.15 41100273 41920221 42520128 42880020 42799933 42369925 41540025 40840115 40500200 40600262 41100273 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44757574 43827583 42567639 40877725 40337747 39677819 39067902 38597979 37878148 37688189 35888627 35018825 34369078 34289190 34419342 34679451 35199515 35549588 36149697 36839756 37499790 37879783 38049761 38009677 37649541 37059393 36749219 36819011 37138818 37928641 39028475 40008366 40988281 42448185 0.05 40250449 41260378 42590263 43110135 43819946 43999884 44059810 43819768 43069771 42329802 41769824 41109911 40470008 39420115 37950195 36930222 36610270 36600316 36610345 37180382 38310448 39370468 39780469 40250449 0.05 48338872 45699159 44939333 44799450 45159527 45869529 47699425 49079351 0.15 44077779 42957790 41777809 40767859 40247920 39858000 39498137 39828200 40588207 41348180 42448093 0.15 41090269 41930215 42530124 42890017 42819933 42439928 41430036 40910110 40490206 40620260 41090269 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 44067779 42957790 41777809 40767859 40247920 39858000 39498137 39828200 40588207 41348180 42448093 SLGT 41910219 42500129 42870023 42829935 42379925 41430038 40840118 40490201 40600261 41100273 41910219 MRGL 44757573 43827583 42567639 40877725 40337747 39677819 39067902 38597979 37878148 37688189 35888627 35018825 34369078 34289190 34419342 34679451 35169517 35509585 36149699 36859758 37469793 37909784 38059758 38019682 37649544 37069398 36749217 36819011 37138818 37928641 39028475 40008366 40988281 42448185 MRGL 39770470 40810413 42620262 43340069 43979888 44079821 43809767 43089770 42029809 41689823 40510009 39370119 37940196 36810227 36560274 36580341 38360451 39770470 MRGL 48358876 47518967 45719162 44939338 44799458 45159531 45869531 47459438 49059357 TSTM 46428341 45149052 44079372 41819511 40409470 39749432 37659272 37309121 37408894 37938727 38878679 40438656 42178672 43848593 46128235 46128235 99999999 46057094 44567080 43677084 42757134 41927230 41187317 40767403 40367486 39887567 39187641 38597684 37587735 36717769 36207782 35927749 35447635 35297517 35377431 99999999 27099509 29159552 29739539 30129538 30639491 31699354 32559340 33189387 34039488 34679667 35019934 34810224 34440340 33620480 32780503 32170556 31350620 30930655 99999999 31441256 32131226 32841171 33861153 35531224 37421294 38221314 38791335 39061469 38341672 38141715 37261735 36531734 36251813 36601867 37211944 38492052 39692095 40622062 40461955 40211926 40891638 41771116 41850721 42550628 44680588 44930272 44980067 46409728 46779744 48899758 50159778 99999999 49351049 48501333 48011530 48171670 48511873 49602049 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N ROC 15 SW ROC 30 E BFD 35 SSE DUJ 10 ESE LBE 15 NNW MGW 10 NNE PKB 10 SSW ZZV 30 SE MFD CLE 45 WNW ERI. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE AIA 35 NNW MHN 15 E VTN 35 ENE ANW 30 WSW ONL 25 NE LBF 30 NE IML 20 W IML 40 SSE SNY 15 E SNY 35 ESE AIA. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW MSS 15 SE ART ITH 30 SSW IPT 35 WNW CXY 20 NNW MRB 45 ENE EKN 20 S EKN 20 WNW BKW 45 W BKW 30 SE BNA 40 WNW MSL 60 N GLH 10 NNE PBF 20 WSW HOT 25 SSE RKR 35 WNW RKR 30 WSW MKO 30 NNW CQB 30 WNW PNC 30 WSW ICT 10 S HUT 15 E HUT 40 WSW EMP CNU 15 NNW UMN 15 W UNO 20 E POF 35 E PAH 40 WSW SDF 20 WSW LUK 30 ENE DAY 20 NW MFD 50 ESE MTC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E DEN 45 ESE CYS 30 ESE CDR 35 NNW VTN 25 ENE 9V9 20 S HON 20 E MHE 20 WNW YKN 35 W OFK 45 WSW OFK 35 NE MCK 25 E GLD 40 ESE LAA 25 WSW EHA 25 ENE CAO 15 WNW CAO PUB 10 E DEN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N CMX 35 ESE GNA 60 N EAU 10 WNW MSP 30 NE RWF 45 NNW RWF AXN 25 E BJI 35 NNW INL. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E ANJ 45 WNW AUW 15 SE MKT 20 SE DNS 45 WSW LWD 30 E STJ 35 WSW TBN 55 NE UNO 25 NNW PAH 15 NNW OWB 20 SSW BMG 20 E LAF 15 W BEH 35 SSE MBL 95 NE APN 95 NE APN ...CONT... 100 N BML 20 ESE BML 25 W PWM 30 NNW BOS 15 E BDL BDR 10 ENE EWR TTN 15 NNW ILG 15 E BWI 20 SSE DCA RIC 20 N RZZ 20 SSW RZZ 25 ENE RWI 45 WNW HSE 25 E HSE 75 E HSE ...CONT... 135 SSE PSX LBX 10 NW HOU 35 N HOU 35 ESE UTS 25 W IER 25 ENE SHV 20 SSE TXK 25 W DEQ 35 NE ADM 25 SSW CSM 40 SW AMA CVS 25 NW ROW 45 SW ROW 50 WNW GDP 35 SSE ELP 60 S ELP ...CONT... 105 S GBN 60 SSE GBN 45 SSE PHX 40 NE PHX 30 S GCN 20 SSE CDC 15 SSW MLF 30 NW MLF 15 SSE ELY 25 NE TPH TPH 55 E BIH 60 NNE NID 45 NNW NID 55 SSW BIH 35 NNE FAT 40 SW TVL 65 WNW RNO 60 S AAT 60 WNW LOL 40 WNW LOL 30 W EKO 35 NNW EVW RWL 25 SSE CPR 30 NW GCC 60 SE 2WX 40 SSW MBG 40 SSW FAR 30 WSW FAR 30 WNW HCO 105 NNW HCO ...CONT... 65 NNW HVR 45 W CTB 30 N 3TH 55 NE GEG 35 E OMK 90 NNW OMK.