DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0739 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2020 VALID TIME 161300Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48338876 45699168 44929333 44799454 45179533 45909532 47519433 49039359 0.02 44017701 42617703 41357752 40467797 39817859 39288052 39338170 39818240 40688244 41858191 42548127 0.05 43737816 42587824 41837837 40917886 40487946 40478064 41078086 41698081 42418063 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39720471 41440438 42620349 42980279 43540088 43999890 44069814 43839768 43079770 41669824 40619995 40010057 39330123 37960195 36830223 36540277 36620345 37180382 38310448 39720471 0.05 48338873 45719161 44949337 44799461 45169529 45869531 47519434 49089359 0.05 34919220 35079453 35489576 36139685 36909742 37509729 37809688 37659551 37059395 36749200 36169141 35369143 34919220 0.05 44747572 43847583 41547689 40427745 39627832 38928003 38648158 39008282 39928314 40948278 42498182 0.15 41400316 42200300 42760206 43000037 42869938 42369925 41540025 40840115 40500200 40600262 41400316 0.15 48298986 46959180 46289303 46349387 46809399 48799252 && ... WIND ... 0.05 41490435 42590351 42980278 43410136 43999884 44059810 43819768 43069771 41699824 40480010 39420115 37970195 36850226 36560269 36610345 38380453 39710471 41490435 0.05 48338872 45779157 44939333 44799450 45189535 45869529 47699425 49079359 0.05 44757574 43827583 42567639 40877725 40337747 39677819 39067902 38597979 37698183 36718433 35878634 35138835 34929086 34879219 35079450 35469577 36139688 36839739 37519729 37809680 37619536 37039393 36739200 36829012 37118833 37748638 38688506 40198347 40988281 42448185 0.15 44077779 42957790 41777809 40767859 40247920 39858000 39498137 39828200 40588207 41348180 42448093 0.15 41380318 42260293 42760212 43010035 42879940 42379928 41430036 40860110 40490206 40620260 41380318 0.15 48338986 47109145 46289304 46349386 46769400 48899248 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 44067779 42957790 41777809 40767859 40247920 39858000 39498137 39828200 40588207 41348180 42448093 SLGT 42260295 42730213 43010035 42849934 42379925 41430038 40840118 40490201 40600261 41410317 42260295 SLGT 48348981 47199135 46279303 46329379 46759403 48879249 MRGL 44757573 43827583 42567639 40877725 40337747 39677819 39067902 38597979 37878148 37688189 35888627 35148832 34909082 34869237 35069456 35509585 36139689 36859738 37509731 37829680 37649544 37069398 36749217 36819011 37038867 37738637 38618514 40008366 40988281 42448185 MRGL 48358876 47518967 45719162 44939338 44799458 45159531 45869531 47459438 49059357 MRGL 39770470 41520430 42570352 42980272 43480105 43979888 44079821 43809767 43089770 42029809 41689823 40510009 39370119 37940196 36810227 36560274 36580341 38360451 39770470 TSTM 49351049 48501333 48011530 48171670 48511873 49602049 99999999 31441256 32131226 32841171 33861153 35531224 37421294 38221314 38791335 39061469 38341672 38141715 37261735 36531734 36251813 36601867 37211944 38492052 39692095 40622062 40461955 40211926 40891638 41771116 41850721 43030603 44460515 44910256 44980067 46179760 47569796 48629798 50159778 99999999 46428341 45179046 44079372 42199441 40499418 39239325 38339229 37619117 37408894 38068665 38738585 39748540 40548538 41388534 42218496 44178369 46128235 46128235 99999999 46057094 44807127 43887155 42987213 42087290 41467343 40967418 40447487 39937559 39347629 38837687 38027772 36857859 35817893 35117846 35017709 35297517 35377431 99999999 27099509 29159552 29739539 30249519 31009443 31699354 32559340 33189387 34039488 34779671 35169876 35200111 34910313 33840463 32780503 32170556 31350620 30930655 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N ROC 15 SW ROC 30 E BFD 35 SSE DUJ 10 ESE LBE 15 NNW MGW 10 NNE PKB 10 SSW ZZV 30 SE MFD CLE 45 WNW ERI. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW AIA 50 E CDR 15 NE VTN 35 ENE ANW 30 WSW ONL 25 NE LBF 30 NE IML 20 W IML 40 SSE SNY 25 NNW SNY 15 NNW AIA. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE GNA BFW 55 E BRD 15 ESE BRD 25 NNE BRD 45 ENE INL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW MSS 15 SE ART ITH 30 SSW IPT 35 WNW CXY 20 NNW MRB 45 ENE EKN 20 S EKN 20 WNW BKW 45 W BKW 30 SE BNA 45 SE MKL 50 W MEM 10 NW LIT RKR 30 WSW MKO 30 N CQB 20 WNW PNC 15 SSE ICT 35 ENE ICT CNU 15 NNW UMN 15 W UNO 20 E POF PAH 45 E OWB 45 NE SDF 30 ENE DAY 20 NW MFD 50 ESE MTC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N CMX 35 ESE GNA 60 N EAU 10 WNW MSP 30 NE RWF 45 NNW RWF AXN 25 E BJI 35 NNW INL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E DEN 35 NE CYS 30 SW CDR 20 ENE CDR 50 SE PHP 25 ENE 9V9 20 S HON 20 E MHE 20 WNW YKN 35 W OFK 45 WSW OFK 35 NE MCK 25 E GLD 40 ESE LAA 25 WSW EHA 25 ENE CAO 15 WNW CAO PUB 10 E DEN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNW HVR 45 W CTB 30 N 3TH 55 NE GEG 35 E OMK 90 NNW OMK ...CONT... 105 S GBN 60 SSE GBN 45 SSE PHX 40 NE PHX 30 S GCN 20 SSE CDC 15 SSW MLF 30 NW MLF 15 SSE ELY 25 NE TPH TPH 55 E BIH 60 NNE NID 45 NNW NID 55 SSW BIH 35 NNE FAT 40 SW TVL 65 WNW RNO 60 S AAT 60 WNW LOL 40 WNW LOL 30 W EKO 35 NNW EVW RWL 25 ENE CPR 20 ENE GCC 65 NNE RAP 40 SSW MBG 65 SW FAR 45 SW GFK 50 W HCO 105 NNW HCO ...CONT... 45 E ANJ 45 WNW AUW 15 SE MKT 25 SSW FOD 15 WSW LWD 40 NNE SZL 20 SSW JEF 40 WSW FAM 25 NNW PAH 35 NE OWB 40 N SDF 35 S MIE 20 N MIE 30 NNW FWA 25 W JXN 25 SW OSC 95 NE APN 95 NE APN ...CONT... 100 N BML 10 NNW BML 20 NNW LCI 10 NE EEN 10 WSW BAF 25 NW BDR 20 N EWR 10 NNW TTN 15 N ILG 25 ENE BWI 10 E DCA 40 E CHO 30 WNW AVC 10 WSW RDU 25 ENE FAY EWN 25 E HSE 75 E HSE ...CONT... 135 SSE PSX LBX 10 NW HOU 40 SSE UTS 25 SE LFK 25 W IER 25 ENE SHV 20 SSE TXK 25 W DEQ 40 NNE ADM 25 ESE CSM 35 E AMA 30 SE TCC 40 N ROW 45 SW ROW 50 WNW GDP 35 SSE ELP 60 S ELP.