DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1127 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2020 VALID TIME 161630Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48338876 45699168 44929333 44799454 45179533 45909532 47519433 49039359 0.02 44017701 42617703 41357752 40467797 39817859 39288052 39338170 39818240 40688244 41858191 42548127 0.05 43737816 42587824 41837837 40917886 40487946 40478064 41078086 41698081 42418063 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39720471 41440438 42620349 42980279 43540088 43999890 44069814 43839768 43079770 41669824 40619995 40010057 39330123 37960195 36830223 36540277 36620345 37180382 38310448 39720471 0.05 48338873 45719161 44949337 44799461 45169529 45869531 47519434 49089359 0.05 34919220 35059450 35769495 36689503 37319509 37689434 37419258 36899177 36169141 35369143 34919220 0.05 44747572 43847583 41547689 40427745 39627832 38928003 38648158 39018281 39688313 40558263 42538181 0.15 41400316 42200300 42760206 43000037 42869938 42369925 41540025 40840115 40500200 40600262 41400316 0.15 48298986 46959180 46289303 46349387 46809399 48799252 && ... WIND ... 0.05 48428869 45789151 44939333 43859649 42779699 41579772 41109917 40450007 39420115 37970195 36850226 36560269 36610345 38380453 39710471 41490435 42590351 42980278 43410136 43999885 45109606 45849533 47429438 49079364 0.05 44757574 43827583 42567639 40877725 40387747 38117915 37518059 37158322 36718433 35878634 35138835 34929086 34879219 35039455 35799497 37369509 37719420 37409243 36998839 37758630 39268338 40528261 42498179 0.15 43887732 42387727 40797861 40247920 39858000 39498137 39828200 40588207 41348180 42448093 0.15 41380318 42260293 42760212 43010035 42879940 42379928 41430036 40860110 40490206 40620260 41380318 0.15 48338986 47109145 46289304 46349386 46769400 48899248 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 43707736 42417731 40777862 40247920 39858000 39498137 39828200 40588207 41348180 42448093 SLGT 42260295 42730213 43010035 42849934 42379925 41430038 40840118 40490201 40600261 41410317 42260295 SLGT 48348981 47199135 46279303 46329379 46759403 48879249 MRGL 48408867 45799156 44889346 43859644 42549711 41569775 41079926 40510009 39370119 37940196 36810227 36560274 36580341 38360451 39770470 41520430 42570352 42980272 43530104 43979890 45089603 45869530 47319444 49079361 MRGL 44757573 43827583 42567639 40867712 39377814 38137912 37518057 37138331 35888627 35148832 34909082 34869237 35079456 35819497 37359508 37699430 37359220 37028861 37688630 39318336 40558265 42548183 TSTM 31441256 32131226 32841171 33861153 35531224 37421294 38221314 38791335 39061469 38341672 38141715 37261735 36531734 36251813 36601867 37211944 38492052 39692095 40622062 40461955 40211926 40891638 41771116 41850721 43030603 43750522 44250381 44170189 44310072 44919957 46109787 47419684 48369672 49739653 99999999 49440692 47170786 45351034 44471224 44291351 44591423 45491508 47011499 47971546 48171670 48511873 49602049 99999999 46428341 45258923 44169145 42059466 41479604 40579790 40059882 39699899 39499861 39589682 39179344 38369080 38098886 38168686 38738585 39748540 40548538 41388534 42218496 44178369 46128235 46128235 99999999 46057094 44807127 43887155 42987213 42087290 41467343 40967418 40447487 39937559 39347629 38837687 38027772 36857859 35757895 34647952 34337929 33467937 33127849 99999999 27099509 29159552 29739539 30249519 31009443 31699354 32559340 33189387 34039488 34779671 35169876 35200111 34910313 33840463 32780503 32170556 31350620 30930655 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE ROC 25 NW ELM 30 SSE DUJ 10 ESE LBE 15 NNW MGW 10 NNE PKB 10 SSW ZZV 30 SE MFD CLE 45 WNW ERI. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW AIA 50 E CDR 15 NE VTN 35 ENE ANW 30 WSW ONL 25 NE LBF 30 NE IML 20 W IML 40 SSE SNY 25 NNW SNY 15 NNW AIA. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE GNA BFW 55 E BRD 15 ESE BRD 25 NNE BRD 45 ENE INL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 N CMX 60 SSW ASX 10 W MSP 25 NE FSD 30 SSE YKN 20 WNW OLU 30 NNW EAR 35 NE MCK 25 E GLD 40 ESE LAA 25 WSW EHA 25 ENE CAO 15 WNW CAO PUB 10 E DEN 35 NE CYS 30 SW CDR 20 ENE CDR 45 SE PHP 25 NE 9V9 25 SE VVV AXN 25 ESE BJI 35 NNW INL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW MSS 15 SE ART ITH 30 SSW IPT 10 WSW MRB 15 SW SHD 25 SW SSU 30 S JKL 30 SE BNA 45 SE MKL 50 W MEM 10 NW LIT RKR 25 ENE MKO 30 SE CNU 40 NNE JLN 30 S TBN 10 ESE PAH 45 SW SDF 55 SSW CMH 20 SSW MFD 50 E MTC. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 S GBN 60 SSE GBN 45 SSE PHX 40 NE PHX 30 S GCN 20 SSE CDC 15 SSW MLF 30 NW MLF 15 SSE ELY 25 NE TPH TPH 55 E BIH 60 NNE NID 45 NNW NID 55 SSW BIH 35 NNE FAT 40 SW TVL 65 WNW RNO 60 S AAT 60 WNW LOL 40 WNW LOL 30 W EKO 35 NNW EVW RWL 25 ENE CPR 45 SSE GCC 40 WNW RAP 15 WNW PHP 20 WSW PIR 50 NE PIR 50 NNE ABR 35 N FAR 30 SSE HCO 70 NNE HCO ...CONT... 85 N GGW 75 E LWT 25 SSE LVM 10 SSE MQM 60 SSE SMN 40 SSW SMN 50 SSE P69 45 W MSO 25 N 3TH 55 NE GEG 35 E OMK 90 NNW OMK ...CONT... 45 E ANJ 30 SSE RHI 20 NNW LSE 35 E DNS 15 NNW OMA 30 E HSI 45 SSW HSI 50 ENE HLC 45 NNE RSL 30 NNW MHK 30 N SZL 35 SW STL 15 S MVN 35 NNE OWB 40 N SDF 35 S MIE 20 N MIE 30 NNW FWA 25 W JXN 25 SW OSC 95 NE APN 95 NE APN ...CONT... 100 N BML 10 NNW BML 20 NNW LCI 10 NE EEN 10 WSW BAF 25 NW BDR 20 N EWR 10 NNW TTN 15 N ILG 25 ENE BWI 10 E DCA 40 E CHO 30 WNW AVC 10 SW RDU 35 NNE FLO 25 ENE FLO 30 WSW CRE 45 SSE CRE ...CONT... 135 SSE PSX LBX 10 NW HOU 40 SSE UTS 25 SE LFK 25 W IER 25 ENE SHV 20 SSE TXK 25 W DEQ 40 NNE ADM 25 ESE CSM 35 E AMA 30 SE TCC 40 N ROW 45 SW ROW 50 WNW GDP 35 SSE ELP 60 S ELP.