DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0230 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2020 VALID TIME 162000Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48338876 45699168 44929333 44799454 45179533 45909532 47519433 49039359 0.02 44017701 42617703 41357752 40467797 39817859 39288052 39338170 39818240 40688244 41858191 42548127 0.05 43737816 42587824 41837837 40917886 40487946 40478064 41078086 41698081 42418063 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39720471 41440438 42570350 42990269 43510107 43999890 44069814 43839768 43079770 41669824 40619995 40010057 39330123 37960195 36830223 36540277 36620345 37180382 38310448 39720471 0.05 48338873 45719161 44949337 44799461 45169529 45869531 47519434 49089359 0.05 44747572 43847583 41547689 40427745 39627832 38928003 38648158 39018281 39688313 40558263 42538181 0.05 34919220 35059450 35769495 36689503 37319509 37689434 37419258 36899177 36169141 35369143 34919220 0.15 41400316 42240295 42730212 43010036 42849933 42369925 41540025 40840115 40500200 40600262 41400316 0.15 48298986 46959180 46289303 46349387 46809399 48799252 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44757574 43827583 42567639 40897712 39427809 38147912 37518059 37158322 36718433 35878634 35138835 34929086 34879219 35039455 35799497 37369509 37719420 37409243 36998839 37758630 39268338 40528261 42498179 0.05 48428869 45789151 44939333 43869644 42779699 41579772 41109917 40500009 39340123 37970195 36840222 36540278 36610345 38380453 39710471 41490435 42590351 42980278 43410136 43999885 45109606 45849533 47429438 49079364 0.15 43877735 42417730 40797861 40247920 39858000 39498137 39828200 40588207 41348180 42448093 0.15 41380318 42260293 42720214 43010035 42849935 42379927 41430036 40860110 40490206 40620260 41380318 0.15 48338986 47109145 46289304 46349386 46769400 48899248 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 48239001 47949037 47109145 46489265 46289304 46319350 46349387 46569393 46809399 47799328 48669264 SLGT 43757732 42417730 40797861 40247920 39858000 39498137 39828200 40588207 41348180 42388098 SLGT 42849933 42369925 41809994 41430036 40860110 40850115 40840115 40500200 40500202 40490206 40550230 40600262 41040291 41380318 41670310 42240295 42250293 42260293 42660225 42730212 43010036 42849933 MRGL 48308879 46629065 45769156 45719161 45589192 44929333 44919338 43869644 42779699 41579772 41119916 40999935 40560001 40010057 39330122 37960195 37680202 36830223 36540278 36610345 36770355 37180382 37990429 38380453 39720471 41490435 42590351 42980278 43290179 43510107 43999890 44009883 45109606 45849532 45909532 47249450 47489436 48769378 MRGL 44687570 43827583 42567639 40897711 39427809 38147912 37518059 37158322 36718433 35878635 35138836 34929086 34879219 35039455 35799497 36809504 37369509 37579457 37689429 37719420 37409243 36998839 37758630 39268338 39688313 40548263 41938205 TSTM 46428341 45258923 44169145 42059466 41479604 40579790 40059882 39699899 39499861 39589682 39179344 38369080 38098886 38118678 38978486 40418349 42968279 46268229 99999999 46057094 44807127 43887155 42987213 42087290 41467343 40967418 40447487 39937559 39347629 38837687 38027772 36857859 35757895 35507897 35237882 34807851 34877689 34807662 34727650 34227629 99999999 27099509 29159552 29739539 30249519 31009443 31699354 32559340 33189387 34039488 34779671 35169876 35200111 34910313 33840463 32780503 32170556 31350620 30930655 99999999 31441256 32131226 32841171 33861153 34161271 37181303 38221314 38791335 39061469 38341672 38141715 37261735 36531734 36251813 36601867 37211944 38492052 39692095 40622062 40461955 40211926 40891638 41571100 41580843 41630775 41770606 41890569 42570514 43630524 44240397 44180190 44310072 44619960 45149804 45569699 45939685 46459691 46719680 48059582 49869492 99999999 49440692 47170786 45351034 44471224 44291351 44591423 45491508 47011499 47971546 48171670 48511873 49602049 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE GNA 15 N GNA BFW 35 SW DLH 50 E BRD 30 ESE BRD 15 ESE BRD 15 NE BRD 30 NNE BRD 35 NW HIB 35 E INL. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE ROC 25 NW ELM 30 SSE DUJ 10 ESE LBE 15 NNW MGW 10 NNE PKB 10 SSW ZZV 30 SE MFD CLE 45 WNW ERI. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE ANW 30 WSW ONL 30 NNW BBW 25 NE LBF 30 SW LBF 30 SW LBF 30 SW LBF 20 W IML 20 W IML 25 W IML 35 W IML 40 SSE SNY SNY 20 NNW SNY 30 ESE BFF 15 NNW AIA 15 NNW AIA 15 NNW AIA 45 ESE CDR 50 E CDR 15 NE VTN 35 ENE ANW. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N CMX 15 ENE ASX 60 SSW ASX 60 N EAU 55 NNW EAU MSP 10 WNW MSP 25 NE FSD 20 ESE YKN 20 WNW OLU 30 NNW EAR 25 NW EAR 40 NE MCK 15 S MCK 25 E GLD 40 E LAA 45 NE SPD 20 WSW EHA 20 ENE CAO 20 WNW CAO 30 NW CAO 30 ESE TAD 25 SSE PUB PUB 10 ESE DEN 35 NE CYS 25 SW CDR 20 ENE CDR 55 S PHP 45 SE PHP 25 NE 9V9 30 ENE 9V9 25 SE VVV AXN AXN 30 SE BJI 25 E BJI 20 NW INL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW MSS 15 SE ART ITH 25 SSW IPT MRB 15 SW SHD 25 SW SSU 30 SSE JKL 30 SSW LOZ 25 SE BNA 45 SE MKL 50 W MEM 10 NNE LIT RKR 25 ENE MKO 20 NW GMJ 30 SE CNU 30 N JLN 40 NNE JLN 40 NNE JLN 30 SW TBN 20 ESE PAH 45 SW SDF 55 ENE LUK 25 SSW CMH 20 SSW MFD 35 NNW CLE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E ANJ 30 SSE RHI 20 NNW LSE 35 E DNS 15 NNW OMA 30 E HSI 45 SSW HSI 50 ENE HLC 45 NNE RSL 30 NNW MHK 30 N SZL 35 SW STL 15 S MVN 35 NE OWB 25 WSW LUK 45 NW CMH 25 N MTC 100 E ANJ ...CONT... 100 N BML 10 NNW BML 20 NNW LCI 10 NE EEN 10 WSW BAF 25 NW BDR 20 N EWR 10 NNW TTN 15 N ILG 25 ENE BWI 10 E DCA 40 E CHO 30 WNW AVC 10 SW RDU 25 SSW RDU 20 NNE FAY 25 ESE FAY 15 SSE EWN 30 SE EWN 40 SE EWN 75 SE EWN ...CONT... 135 SSE PSX LBX 10 NW HOU 40 SSE UTS 25 SE LFK 25 W IER 25 ENE SHV 20 SSE TXK 25 W DEQ 40 NNE ADM 25 ESE CSM 35 E AMA 30 SE TCC 40 N ROW 45 SW ROW 50 WNW GDP 35 SSE ELP 60 S ELP ...CONT... 105 S GBN 60 SSE GBN 45 SSE PHX 40 NE PHX 35 SSW PRC 30 ENE SGU 15 SSW MLF 30 NW MLF 15 SSE ELY 25 NE TPH TPH 55 E BIH 60 NNE NID 45 NNW NID 55 SSW BIH 35 NNE FAT 40 SW TVL 65 WNW RNO 60 S AAT 60 WNW LOL 40 WNW LOL 30 W EKO 20 N EVW 35 E RKS 30 WSW RWL 35 NNW LAR 40 N LAR 15 SE DGW 50 SSE GCC 45 WNW RAP 15 WNW PHP 20 WSW PIR 35 ENE PIR 30 SE ABR 30 WNW VVV 50 NNW VVV 35 S FAR 15 S FAR 15 E TVF 65 NNE RRT ...CONT... 85 N GGW 75 E LWT 25 SSE LVM 10 SSE MQM 60 SSE SMN 40 SSW SMN 50 SSE P69 45 W MSO 25 N 3TH 55 NE GEG 35 E OMK 90 NNW OMK.