DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0745 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2020 VALID TIME 170100Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 44017701 42617703 41357752 40467797 39847858 39807932 40008001 40507984 41857891 43267877 43777887 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39720471 41440438 42570350 42990269 43510107 43999890 44069814 43839768 43079770 41669824 40619995 40010057 39330123 37960195 36830223 36540277 36620345 37180382 38310448 39720471 0.05 48338873 45719161 44949337 44799461 45169527 46359378 47399312 48449316 48789292 0.05 44317636 42887674 42187718 40317817 39687880 39587974 39798043 40658069 41768006 42797963 0.05 34919220 35059450 35769495 36689503 37319509 37689434 37419258 36899177 36169141 35369143 34919220 0.15 41400316 42240295 42730212 43010036 42849933 42369925 41540025 40840115 40500200 40600262 41400316 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37429242 37139111 36509033 35909025 35329047 34929086 34879219 35039455 35799497 37369509 37719420 37429242 0.05 48428869 45789151 44939333 43869644 42779699 41579772 41109917 40500009 39340123 37970195 36840222 36540278 36610345 38380453 39710471 41490435 42590351 42980278 43410136 44019883 44939562 46339376 47379309 48459309 48869279 0.05 44077650 42907675 40317821 39737874 39577976 39848047 40538067 41927997 42877956 0.15 43767694 42417729 41317793 40317866 39887918 39817971 40238005 41687962 42337928 43007921 0.15 41380318 42260293 42720214 43010035 42849935 42379927 41430036 40860110 40490206 40620260 41380318 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 42849933 42369925 41809994 41430036 40860110 40850115 40840115 40500200 40500202 40490206 40550230 40600262 41040291 41380318 41670310 42240295 42250293 42260293 42660225 42730212 43010036 42849933 SLGT 43747694 42417732 41287793 40317866 39827922 39787974 40248009 41197979 42267931 43117919 MRGL 37439244 37119107 36539036 35939027 35299049 34929086 34879219 35039455 35799497 36809504 37369509 37579457 37689429 37719420 37439244 MRGL 48308879 46629065 45769156 45719161 45589192 44929333 44919338 43869644 42779699 41579772 41119916 40999935 40560001 40010057 39330123 37960195 37680202 36830223 36540278 36610345 36770355 37180382 37990429 38380453 39720471 41490435 42590351 42980278 43290179 43510107 43999890 44009883 44919569 46359376 47379311 48449316 48839291 MRGL 44207651 42877678 40297820 39697874 39587976 39808048 40598069 41538016 42557969 42857958 TSTM 27099509 29159552 29739539 30249519 31009443 31699354 32559340 33189387 34039488 34779671 35169876 35200111 34910313 33840463 32780503 32170556 31350620 30930655 99999999 31441256 32131226 32841171 33861153 34161271 37181303 38221314 38791335 38951471 38341672 38141715 37261735 36531734 36251813 36601867 37211944 38492052 39692095 40622062 40461955 40211926 40891638 41571100 41580843 41630775 41770606 41890569 42570514 43630524 44240397 44130204 44269855 44939612 46819386 49059325 99999999 46428341 45928638 45888863 45469096 43989395 42649622 41339748 40079876 39699899 39499861 39599685 38989544 37999309 37088958 37048706 37818483 38528391 40948125 41948046 42798002 99999999 46057094 44807127 43887155 42987213 42087290 41467343 40967418 40497486 38877767 37657965 36558042 35248162 34348355 32698402 31148370 29788233 28688162 27558133 26588083 26498023 26877902 99999999 49440692 47170786 45351034 44471224 44291351 44591423 45491508 47011499 47971546 48171670 48511873 49602049 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE ANW 30 WSW ONL 30 NNW BBW 25 NE LBF 30 SW LBF 30 SW LBF 30 SW LBF 20 W IML 20 W IML 25 W IML 35 W IML 40 SSE SNY SNY 20 NNW SNY 30 ESE BFF 15 NNW AIA 15 NNW AIA 15 NNW AIA 45 ESE CDR 50 E CDR 15 NE VTN 35 ENE ANW. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW ART 25 NW ELM 30 N UNV 20 W AOO 35 SSE LBE 15 NE MGW 20 SSE PIT 15 SSE FKL 10 NNW JHW 25 WNW BUF. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW TBN 40 NW POF 20 SSE POF 20 ENE JBR 35 WNW MEM 50 W MEM 10 NNE LIT RKR 25 ENE MKO 20 NW GMJ 30 SE CNU 30 N JLN 40 NNE JLN 40 NNE JLN 30 SW TBN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N CMX 15 ENE ASX 60 SSW ASX 60 N EAU 55 NNW EAU MSP 10 WNW MSP 25 NE FSD 20 ESE YKN 20 WNW OLU 30 NNW EAR 25 NW EAR 40 NE MCK 15 S MCK 25 E GLD 40 E LAA 45 NE SPD 20 WSW EHA 20 ENE CAO 20 WNW CAO 30 NW CAO 30 ESE TAD 25 SSE PUB PUB 10 ESE DEN 35 NE CYS 25 SW CDR 20 ENE CDR 55 S PHP 45 SE PHP 25 NE 9V9 30 ENE 9V9 40 NW RWF 20 E BRD 15 W HIB 15 SE INL 30 NE INL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW ART 30 NNW ITH AOO 45 WNW MRB 10 ESE MGW 30 SSE HLG 25 WNW PIT 20 NW FKL 35 NW JHW 45 W BUF. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 135 SSE PSX LBX 10 NW HOU 40 SSE UTS 25 SE LFK 25 W IER 25 ENE SHV 20 SSE TXK 25 W DEQ 40 NNE ADM 25 ESE CSM 35 E AMA 30 SE TCC 40 N ROW 45 SW ROW 50 WNW GDP 35 SSE ELP 60 S ELP ...CONT... 105 S GBN 60 SSE GBN 45 SSE PHX 40 NE PHX 35 SSW PRC 30 ENE SGU 15 SSW MLF 30 NW MLF 25 SSE ELY 25 NE TPH TPH 55 E BIH 60 NNE NID 45 NNW NID 55 SSW BIH 35 NNE FAT 40 SW TVL 65 WNW RNO 60 S AAT 60 WNW LOL 40 WNW LOL 30 W EKO 20 N EVW 35 E RKS 30 WSW RWL 35 NNW LAR 40 N LAR 15 SE DGW 50 SSE GCC 45 WNW RAP 20 WNW PHP 20 WSW HON 30 SSE VVV 30 NNE BRD 35 NNE INL ...CONT... 45 E ANJ 35 ENE ESC 25 W IMT 50 NNE EAU 15 S MKT 20 NNE SUX 10 SW OLU 40 SSW HSI 50 ENE HLC 45 NNE RSL 35 NNW MHK 10 ESE TOP 55 WNW TBN 10 S CGI 35 NE HOP 20 SW LEX 50 SE LUK 10 E CAK 15 SW ERI 50 N ERI ...CONT... 100 N BML 10 NNW BML 20 NNW LCI 10 NE EEN 10 WSW BAF 25 NW BDR 20 N EWR 15 N TTN 35 W DCA 30 NE ROA 40 NW GSO 30 NE SPA 30 NNW AHN 20 W MCN MGR GNV 20 WNW ORL AGR 45 W PBI 15 SW PBI 65 ENE PBI ...CONT... 85 N GGW 75 E LWT 25 SSE LVM 10 SSE MQM 60 SSE SMN 40 SSW SMN 50 SSE P69 45 W MSO 25 N 3TH 55 NE GEG 35 E OMK 90 NNW OMK.