DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0800 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2020 VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48158969 47558957 46188960 45069005 44459343 44239679 44370025 45800289 47090303 49070258 0.05 49109554 48379347 47579185 46959149 46269149 45559228 45159473 45419849 45850066 47070147 48290124 49080072 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48389096 47079006 46419001 45549046 44899146 44579506 44359820 44370024 45790286 47130302 49030256 0.15 49049560 47569493 46199491 45359545 44919709 45000044 45910216 46260234 47330227 48040213 49060151 SIGN 46330221 47690206 49040151 49009968 49009782 47909791 47079816 46049910 46060067 46330221 && ... WIND ... 0.05 48348858 47438761 46558738 45728755 44888852 44488962 43949249 43869631 44390024 45800286 47100301 49080259 0.05 46301218 46751202 47191115 47620936 47530746 46630698 45760895 45571061 45741164 46301218 0.15 48138959 47558955 46258957 45069000 44609319 44479549 44589748 44990043 45890218 46260234 47280229 48030215 49070157 0.30 48599252 47909187 47209137 46349172 45819223 45619317 45419448 45299642 45409839 45840068 46910095 47780083 49090034 0.45 46649991 46839989 47109979 47729932 47999809 47989540 47829421 47319360 46489364 46059431 45939656 46109898 46329966 46649991 SIGN 45409837 45800071 46940098 47720086 48120064 48559990 48719867 48749700 48159312 47599207 46859151 46319172 45779219 45389442 45299636 45409837 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 47109981 47749932 47989816 47989547 47829421 47339362 46529361 46049431 45929663 46119903 46339970 46699994 47109981 ENH 48599252 47869187 47199139 46329172 45809224 45619313 45399452 45289642 45419842 45840068 46920095 47800083 49040034 SLGT 48168962 47568955 46198958 45069001 44629322 44489574 44569748 45000046 45920214 46310234 47340229 48030215 49100153 MRGL 48358856 47438763 46538738 45718757 44908852 44488964 43939252 43869629 44380026 45800286 47100303 49050257 MRGL 46390749 45750900 45571061 45761168 46321219 46751204 47211109 47600936 47530747 46640698 46390749 TSTM 31911317 32411311 32781270 33021209 33331175 33831175 34351230 34821242 38371226 39531143 40321243 40211429 36891787 36731943 38652061 39732016 41611534 43121361 44441298 45641386 47211545 48401606 49051638 99999999 46248395 45258524 44048633 42098749 40528885 39448911 38788851 38458748 38258506 38718222 40557784 42357619 44907545 99999999 27699984 29729884 30629792 31619646 32829513 34379503 36069551 36219605 36179698 36289761 36579858 36799942 36920026 36840117 36390234 34630301 33490328 31930375 30560355 29080386 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE BIS 30 SW DVL 35 ESE DVL 35 E TVF 40 ENE BJI 35 W HIB 25 ENE BRD 25 SSW BRD 45 NNW VVV 55 NNW ABR 60 ESE BIS 40 E BIS 50 ENE BIS. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E INL ELO BFW 40 WSW ASX 70 S DLH 45 E STC 25 WSW STC VVV ABR 25 NNW MBG 15 NW BIS 30 ENE N60 70 NE MOT. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE GNA 40 ESE GNA 35 SE IWD 20 WNW AUW 20 S MSP 35 W RWF 30 SSW ATY 35 S MBG Y22 25 NNW Y22 45 NNE DIK 45 NW N60 60 NNW MOT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N CMX 45 ENE CMX 10 E MQT 25 W ESC 35 NNW GRB 20 S CWA RST 30 NE FSD PIR 35 WSW Y22 25 NNW DIK 75 NE ISN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE BIL 25 W BIL 10 SW LVM 25 W BZN 20 SSW HLN 10 N HLN 25 SE GTF 40 N LWT 60 SW GGW 55 WNW MLS 65 NE BIL. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW GBN 45 SW GBN 10 S GBN 30 S PHX 15 ESE PHX 30 NNE PHX 20 SSE PRC 10 N PRC 40 E MLF 35 W PUC 30 ENE DPG 40 SSW ENV 45 SE BIH 15 ESE FAT 35 WSW TVL 25 NW RNO 50 ESE OWY 40 NNE BYI 35 WSW MQM 35 N SMN 25 S 3TH 65 NNW 3TH 110 WNW GPI ...CONT... 25 SE ANJ 30 SW PLN 15 SSW MBL 50 SSE RAC BMI 30 SSW DEC 25 ENE SLO 30 N EVV 30 WNW LEX 30 NE HTS 20 S UNV 15 NW BGM 30 W MSS ...CONT... 25 WNW LRD 25 WNW SAT 25 NNW AUS 30 S CRS 35 NNE TYR 40 WNW DEQ 25 ESE TUL 10 W TUL 30 NNW CQB 20 ESE END 15 SSE AVK 40 W AVK 40 ESE LBL 20 SW LBL 30 NNE DHT 25 NE CVS 55 N HOB 35 WNW INK 30 ENE MRF 90 S MRF.