DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0809 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2020 VALID TIME 180100Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 47478544 46808578 46198601 44628900 43929223 44309720 44980046 46060158 46670138 47360008 47469934 47329732 47369598 47589554 48039506 48899414 0.05 48618970 47728797 46808808 46178878 45219123 44609311 44739599 45409844 45850066 46590115 47169992 47139816 47179571 47759490 48699389 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48389096 47079006 46419001 45549046 44899146 44579506 44359820 44370024 45120162 45540228 45850239 46460217 46670204 47440135 47760016 47749875 47699737 47729630 47989566 49399465 0.15 48819332 47069429 46199491 45359545 44919709 45000044 45880220 46420189 47230116 47559999 47509907 47479818 47509635 47869553 48199504 49119455 SIGN 46030068 46400112 47010076 47320006 47369910 47259753 46929728 46339783 46049914 46030068 && ... WIND ... 0.05 46998387 46088471 44738708 44008924 43529227 43349297 43709645 44370016 45570236 45820241 46630210 47470133 47750022 47699822 47719638 47939564 49369467 0.15 47498546 46248608 44628893 43969224 44049455 44379735 44990043 45900213 46460189 47300110 47569986 47459838 47489639 47719575 48189504 49069453 0.30 48638973 47688790 46738815 46108891 45279103 44659317 44709588 45409839 45870069 46850071 47280018 47259890 47209757 47239622 47359563 47819498 48869406 0.45 46649991 46839989 47069978 47099935 47039841 47059576 47809454 47749350 47559203 46729152 45829204 45159324 45259590 46109898 46329966 46649991 SIGN 45409837 45870067 46850075 47320022 47269889 47249726 47219616 47359567 47829496 48459434 48369341 47559045 47198857 46768809 46078897 45259119 44639326 44739584 45409837 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 47079972 47019871 47069572 47809454 47589203 46789156 45839205 45169327 45279590 46119903 46339970 46699994 47079972 ENH 48588968 47698796 46718815 46138879 45209116 44649320 44709586 45419842 45840068 46830073 47280018 47259926 47219822 47249702 47249616 47389565 47839497 48299459 48789410 SLGT 47348551 46208609 44608893 43949226 44049463 44339730 44970044 45890212 46440189 47300108 47569991 47449800 47519629 47849551 48219504 49089459 MRGL 46798413 46118473 44688707 44008925 43379297 43699639 44380026 45540233 45820241 46660210 47440137 47730018 47729897 47669712 47729628 47969564 48419529 49329470 TSTM 27190038 27699984 29729884 30629792 31619646 32829513 34379503 36069551 36389589 37119740 37729899 38059946 37860060 37360153 36500227 34630301 33490328 31930375 30560355 29080386 99999999 31211321 31401323 32411311 32781270 33021209 33331175 33831175 34451231 34771307 35881337 36921353 37861310 38601239 39751180 40321243 40211429 36891787 36841921 38672008 39711960 41611534 43121361 44441298 45641386 47271541 48041675 49551867 99999999 46008212 45168438 43988610 42098749 40528885 39398899 39068799 38658674 38708479 38888316 39727987 40557794 42577443 42326909 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW JMS JMS 20 NNE DTL 25 NE BJI 25 SSW ELO 30 E DLH 70 S DLH 20 N MSP 25 E VVV 55 NNW ABR 60 ESE BIS 40 E BIS 50 WNW JMS. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNE GNA 45 NE CMX 30 WNW MQT 40 WNW IMT 30 NE EAU 15 S MSP 40 WNW RWF ABR 25 NNW MBG BIS 45 NE BIS 35 NW JMS 30 NE JMS 25 NNW FAR 30 NNW DTL 35 WSW BJI 20 N BJI 55 NNE BJI 35 WNW INL. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NW ANJ 60 NE ESC 40 ESE CWA 10 E RST 30 NNW FRM 25 W BKX 40 S MBG Y22 35 NNE Y22 30 SE N60 60 SW DVL 45 NE JMS 40 S TVF 35 ESE TVF 50 N BJI 35 ENE RRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE ANJ 30 SW ANJ 50 NE MTW 35 W OSH 25 NE MCW 20 ENE FSD PIR 30 SSW Y22 15 WSW Y22 35 ESE DIK 15 SSE N60 60 E N60 30 S DVL 20 S GFK 25 SSW TVF 25 ESE TVF 35 SSE ROX 40 NE RRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW LRD 25 WNW LRD 25 WNW SAT 25 NNW AUS 30 S CRS 35 NNE TYR 40 WNW DEQ 25 ESE TUL 10 N TUL 30 NNW PNC 35 NW P28 35 NE DDC 10 SE GCK 30 NE EHA 35 NNE DHT 25 NE CVS 55 N HOB 35 WNW INK 30 ENE MRF 90 S MRF ...CONT... 120 SSW GBN 110 SSW GBN 45 SW GBN 10 S GBN 30 S PHX 15 ESE PHX 30 NNE PHX 15 SSE PRC 40 WNW PRC 55 NE IGM 10 SSE SGU 10 N CDC 35 ENE MLF 45 NE U24 30 ENE DPG 40 SSW ENV 45 SE BIH 30 E FAT 15 SSW TVL 15 NNE RNO 50 ESE OWY 40 NNE BYI 35 WSW MQM 35 N SMN 25 S 3TH 45 NE GEG 85 NNE OMK ...CONT... 95 NE APN 35 SE PLN 20 SSE MBL 50 SSE RAC BMI 30 SSW DEC 30 SSE MTO 35 S BMG 35 SW LUK 50 NW HTS MGW 20 SSW UNV 35 WSW ALB 75 NE HYA.