DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0752 AM CDT TUE JUL 21 2020 VALID TIME 211300Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 44029389 45119425 45939384 46409342 46849250 46759163 46079048 45408965 44598936 43748946 43188980 42649059 42599164 43249321 44029389 0.02 40769111 41168984 41358865 41028771 40208757 39618839 39269012 39589113 39979146 40409142 40769111 0.05 46269201 45759099 44969054 44489086 44219138 44209216 44359288 44519345 44959381 45649347 46259261 46269201 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 37469582 37129752 35329900 34809974 34700041 34710227 35120336 35770423 37850510 43170625 43930592 44250491 44000372 43510298 42590171 41830071 40799983 39879834 39869590 40439475 41959310 42719278 43979391 45049454 46009448 46599399 46879296 46769168 46119052 45448968 42548818 41678748 40498683 39538682 38388736 36769048 36839273 37469582 0.15 42090568 42340495 41850406 41470342 40390301 39220300 38460310 37800333 37520394 37610453 38080494 42090568 && ... WIND ... 0.05 36597551 34118316 34488493 35078591 35528607 35798632 36348804 36759050 36839273 37459584 37119748 35439890 34829971 34690036 34710232 35160339 35740422 37880511 43130625 43970588 44250488 44030378 41810063 41439959 41019811 40309672 40399480 41929318 42719282 43929385 44999451 45979457 46619397 46879300 46769169 46129054 45448968 42588819 41708729 40678004 41437842 41487673 40717523 40207493 38667462 0.15 38360301 37820330 37510394 37580448 38090496 42090566 42340494 41060268 40480247 38360301 0.15 43549101 43559216 43799283 44979379 45669343 46249263 46249198 45759097 44959054 43549101 0.15 40779111 41178982 41368865 40908686 40188665 39448729 38668896 38518986 38459153 39329209 40279177 40779111 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 38340302 37820331 37510393 37600452 38080497 42090569 42350495 41090271 40480248 39130286 38340302 SLGT 44969383 45669345 46259261 46269201 45779102 44979052 43559103 43559216 43799284 44969383 SLGT 39438730 38658896 38528984 38449151 39329207 40279177 40789112 41178981 41368865 40908685 40178665 39438730 MRGL 36597549 34108312 34488495 35068591 35548610 35788630 36348804 36769067 36819271 37459582 37119753 35339898 34829970 34690044 34740236 35160342 35740418 36740465 37850510 43150626 43930592 44260490 44000372 41820065 41439962 41039815 40309674 40399480 41929316 42709279 43969389 44979452 45989453 46599401 46879299 46769168 46159057 45448967 42588822 41708727 40687997 41437842 41477670 40707524 40227494 38667462 TSTM 43247956 42897676 42247474 41147315 40207215 99999999 27189686 27969845 28010040 99999999 29360190 30570161 31650210 31950292 31430352 30470320 29920340 29830399 29980512 99999999 31471292 32791245 33601269 33871344 34001420 34651484 35451566 36221651 36431743 36411857 36951898 38312013 39712101 40302192 40242240 39832287 39902333 40312360 41292355 41992321 42602251 43082096 43161958 43011821 42751701 42471588 42241479 41861397 41341311 40991263 40641196 40871135 41291011 40920946 39640967 38631003 38320911 39040777 40240722 41210706 42250971 42711072 43681120 44411173 44531269 44771322 45481279 46001101 45720921 45330822 45210739 45410610 45940454 45970287 45040157 43680066 43119936 43179806 43849736 44959748 46219803 48380015 49050089 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW LAA 20 SE LHX 30 NE TAD 25 NNW TAD 30 WSW PUB 50 SSW DGW 35 SE DGW 15 E SNY 45 ENE AKO 30 WSW ITR 25 NW LAA. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W MSP 30 ENE STC 45 SSW DLH 40 SSE DLH 55 S ASX 45 WNW CWA 25 SSE LSE 30 SSE RST 20 WSW RST 30 W MSP. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM HUF SLO BLV 25 NNE VIH 35 NNE COU 40 NW UIN BRL 35 N PIA MMO 35 N LAF 25 SE LAF HUF. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE ECG 15 NE AHN 15 NE RMG 40 W CHA 50 SE BNA 30 SE BNA 40 SW HOP 10 W POF 45 NNW FLP 25 SW CNU 35 NW PNC 15 E CSM 25 WNW LTS 20 NNW CDS 50 SW AMA 10 E TCC 50 NW TCC 10 W RTN 45 SW PUB 20 NNE CPR 35 SW GCC 30 E GCC 35 W RAP 25 SE MHN BBW 10 ENE GRI BIE 40 SE SDA 40 NE DSM 20 WNW ALO 20 S MKT 40 NE RWF 35 SSW BRD 15 NNE BRD 35 SSW HIB 25 ESE DLH 30 SSE ASX 15 SW RHI 25 WSW RAC 20 NW VPZ 20 NE PIT 30 SSE BFD 20 NE IPT 10 ENE ABE 10 WSW TTN 55 ENE SBY. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW BUF 30 NNW ITH 40 N MSV BDR 65 SE ISP ...CONT... 55 SE CRP 30 WNW ALI 65 WNW LRD ...CONT... 50 SSE 6R6 50 NE 6R6 20 SSE MAF 20 NE INK 30 SW INK 35 SSW FST 50 SE MRF 35 S MRF 70 WSW MRF ...CONT... 100 S GBN 20 SE GBN 40 WNW PHX 75 ENE BLH 40 NE BLH 15 WSW EED 50 SSW LAS 40 SW DRA 55 NNE NID 65 S BIH 45 ENE FAT 40 S TVL 70 WNW RNO 20 ENE RBL 10 NW RBL 40 WSW RBL 55 N UKI 45 SE EKA 35 NE ACV 30 SSW MFR 25 NE MFR 70 NNW LKV 45 SW BNO 35 NNW REO 45 ENE REO 40 NNE OWY 25 SW TWF 50 SSW BYI 55 W OGD 35 WSW OGD 10 S SLC 35 SSW EVW 50 E EVW 35 N VEL 50 NNE U28 20 WSW CNY 45 SE CNY 40 N MTJ 25 SE CAG 40 S RWL 30 SE BPI 35 WNW BPI 25 WNW JAC 30 ESE MQM 20 W MQM 40 SE SMN 20 NW DLN 15 NNE BZN 35 W BIL 35 SSE BIL 35 NNW SHR 35 W 4BQ 30 SSW BHK 35 W Y22 65 WSW MBG 50 SSW PIR 45 S 9V9 40 WNW YKN 35 E MHE 15 W ATY 55 NNE ABR 55 E MOT 55 NNE MOT.