DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0747 AM CDT SUN AUG 02 2020 VALID TIME 021300Z - 031200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 45437153 43617214 42677167 41987133 40937238 40547323 39857463 39827553 40497619 41887608 43077645 44387744 0.05 41257538 41967463 42307415 42657330 42617261 42017220 41337264 40737372 40517429 40267539 40607582 41257538 0.05 45217279 44127291 43377380 43167529 43647615 44587663 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45347213 44647261 43727292 43227307 42767277 42427241 41797187 41237211 40477404 39717503 39617617 39777687 41137639 41837634 42617631 43617670 44427717 0.05 40240389 38230293 37250217 36530148 36150088 35090065 34360083 33500179 33060359 32580492 32610601 32790648 33830694 34870717 37620646 41380628 42850667 43030634 42970557 42020465 40240389 0.15 34640542 35160573 35590559 36300522 37490510 38220520 38800499 39020444 38850422 38490411 37080349 36300322 35800335 34730462 34640542 && ... WIND ... 0.05 45467105 43697191 41997130 40197276 39257396 38437587 37977692 37017883 35478166 34678320 34958406 35778379 37588085 38447948 39997727 41547682 42547705 44017780 0.05 31781271 32691175 33860963 34790825 37350662 41120624 41930543 41910463 41410440 40080377 38230290 36510148 36160090 35270059 34310030 33630061 32870121 32360221 31710415 31230601 0.15 45307234 44057291 43407370 43187528 43617611 44557685 0.15 42247418 42707339 42607257 42177228 41787219 41267270 40617398 40317471 40267539 40567583 41567513 42247418 0.15 33490470 33640534 34430573 34830581 35180570 35990499 36330410 36370350 35690296 34640293 33910305 33560366 33490470 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 42177228 42107227 42017220 41967223 41787219 41267270 40867350 40737372 40707380 40617398 40317471 40267539 40567583 40607581 40607582 41257538 41337529 41567513 41817479 41967463 42307415 42407391 42707339 42617267 42617261 42607261 42607257 42177228 SLGT 45027246 44057291 43407370 43377380 43167529 43637615 43737620 44067646 SLGT 38850422 38490411 37080349 36300322 35690296 34640293 33910305 33560366 33490470 33640534 34430573 34830581 35140571 35160573 35590559 36300522 37490510 38220520 38800499 39020444 38850422 MRGL 39197410 38437587 37977692 37017883 35478166 34678321 34958407 35778379 37588085 38447948 39997727 41547682 42547705 43627760 99999999 45347111 43697191 41997130 40477253 MRGL 31821267 32691175 33860963 34790825 37350662 40100635 41380628 42850667 43030634 42970557 42020465 41100425 40080377 38230290 36600154 36530148 36190094 36150088 36030085 35270060 34310030 33630061 32870121 32360221 31710415 31250590 TSTM 49431046 47611016 46090954 45660881 45450734 45000574 42900269 40910090 38419929 36389812 35629768 35089717 35189663 36389619 38159544 41049452 43509255 45299018 45998772 45658252 99999999 32809362 31779384 31499297 32069154 33678825 34808694 36868533 38228240 38758110 39147962 39677935 40198094 39738341 38878582 37778685 37038768 35848938 34509088 33539296 32809362 99999999 32249622 32919664 32699859 32299976 31880177 31400243 30810232 30600207 30560066 31029750 32249622 99999999 31281335 32921169 33451115 34201104 34691123 34831089 34761019 34980940 35460901 36080891 36670894 37340902 38410881 39350832 40410778 41510826 41710935 41911016 42441053 43761071 44181175 45191345 46321473 47931437 49631365 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW ORH 20 ENE BDL 25 ENE BDL 20 E BDL 25 ESE BDL 25 ENE BDR 20 NE JFK 10 NNE JFK JFK 10 W JFK TTN 25 S ABE 20 WSW ABE 20 W ABE 20 W ABE 20 ESE AVP 20 E AVP 20 WSW MSV MSV 20 NNE MSV 35 SSW ALB 25 SSW ALB 20 NNW PSF 30 SW EEN 25 SW EEN 25 SW EEN 25 SW EEN 20 WSW ORH. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW EFK 20 WSW MPV GFL 10 WNW GFL UCA 25 SSW ART 20 SSW ART 20 W ART. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E COS 25 NE PUB 45 NNW CAO 10 SSW CAO 35 SW DHT 30 NE CVS 35 SSE CVS 55 ENE ROW 15 NW ROW 15 NE SRR 25 N 4CR 45 ESE ABQ 40 SSE SAF 35 SSE SAF 25 W LVS 45 N LVS 40 E ALS 40 W PUB 15 W COS 20 NE COS 25 E COS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE ACY 20 WNW SBY 35 SW NHK 30 SE LYH 25 SW HKY 30 WNW AND 60 S TYS 10 ESE TYS 20 SE BKW 35 WNW SHD 25 SW CXY 20 NNE IPT 25 NNW ELM 35 N ROC ...CONT... 50 N BML 20 E LEB 20 NNE PVD 35 SE ISP. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 S GBN 55 SSE PHX 35 SE SOW 35 SW GNT 40 W ALS 45 NE EGE 30 W LAR 10 WSW CPR 10 NE CPR 20 NW DGW 25 W TOR 30 E CYS 30 WSW AKO 15 NW LAA GUY 10 S GUY 40 NE BGD 45 NE BGD 40 NE BGD 55 ESE BGD 10 S CDS 60 SSW CDS 50 NNE BGS 30 N MAF 40 ESE GDP 45 SE ELP. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNW HVR 50 NW LWT 25 SSE 3HT 15 SW BIL 50 NNW SHR 35 SSW 4BQ 20 ENE CDR 20 SW LBF 40 SW RSL 10 W END 15 NNW OKC 35 SE OKC 40 SSE CQB 20 NW TUL 35 N CNU 45 NW LWD 30 S RST 35 NW AUW 20 ENE IMT 65 NE APN ...CONT... 25 NNE SHV 45 W IER 20 SSE IER 35 NNW HEZ 10 ENE CBM 15 NW HSV 60 E BWG 15 SE HTS 40 NE CRW 20 NNE EKN 30 E MGW 15 W HLG 35 WSW CMH 45 ESE BMG 20 ENE OWB 25 NNW HOP 10 S DYR 65 SW MEM 25 NNW ELD 25 NNE SHV ...CONT... 20 NE CRS 15 ENE DAL 30 W MWL 10 SSW ABI 25 ESE MAF 40 SSW MAF 35 ESE FST 40 NNE 6R6 55 W JCT 10 SSW TPL 20 NE CRS ...CONT... 120 SE YUM 40 SSE PHX 50 E PHX 60 SSW INW 35 SW INW 15 SW INW 35 ESE INW 50 SW GUP 15 WSW GUP 40 N GUP 40 W FMN 20 W CEZ 50 W MTJ 20 NE GJT 15 WSW CAG 40 E RKS 15 WNW RKS 45 S BPI 25 WSW BPI 10 N JAC 40 SE MQM 20 ENE SMN 45 ENE P69 25 SSW GPI 90 NW CTB.