DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1108 AM CDT TUE AUG 04 2020 VALID TIME 041630Z - 051200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39947346 40237478 40797518 41127513 41687480 43887315 45087185 0.05 40107351 40287421 40577473 40927496 41497455 43167320 44397190 45107006 44476892 43506848 0.10 40347361 40467410 40657472 41127461 41497406 41477353 41267285 41047256 40777278 40347361 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39530539 41890625 42380595 42930461 44540377 46970383 49250349 49220077 46109925 44329889 43249854 41729826 40989891 39610078 38320045 36589930 36019960 35210076 34480198 34360335 36250443 38070501 39530539 0.15 38670452 40250518 41540569 42010555 42220487 42390359 42610249 42800171 42410051 41760023 41060071 40270158 39400166 38630122 37620086 37070086 36490165 36290262 36610345 37620391 38670452 SIGN 39890466 41580402 41290336 40140315 39410320 38880342 38710405 38970453 39890466 && ... WIND ... 0.05 39967348 40207467 40227473 40897518 41677478 43937310 45127184 0.05 42740435 44770374 46230374 49230315 49220070 47519987 45999927 44249888 43249854 41729826 40779866 40229933 39669958 39069986 38389956 37739881 37099834 36099833 35589849 34939983 33870138 33840231 34360335 36240443 38070501 39500543 41950581 42740435 0.15 40770461 41580387 42100288 42390185 42250044 41750033 41060073 39680129 38610104 37800079 37170041 36390042 35800067 35240132 35070240 35600311 36630381 37630440 38810450 39850463 40770461 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 41047256 40777278 40327359 40487410 40707468 41127461 41497406 41477353 41267285 41047256 SLGT 40107345 40487461 40937495 41497455 43167320 44397190 45107006 44476892 43746859 SLGT 42410051 41760023 41060071 41040074 39680129 38610104 37800079 37170041 36390042 35800067 35240132 35070240 35600311 36630381 37630440 38620448 38670452 40250518 41540569 42010555 42220487 42390359 42610249 42800171 42410051 MRGL 40007346 40127430 40297478 40827515 41687480 43937310 45027195 MRGL 49000059 47519987 46909962 46109925 44329889 43249854 41729826 40779866 40229933 39669958 39069986 38389956 37739881 37099834 36089833 35589849 34939983 33870138 33840231 34370335 36240443 38060501 39500543 39720546 41880625 42380595 42930461 44340388 44680377 46970383 48990353 TSTM 49669712 46359570 43229479 42399489 41239509 40289555 39119586 37949545 35869450 33299503 31969520 31149462 30799329 30669288 30079153 29849005 30038946 30278927 30708924 31738954 32018966 32558997 33239004 34758897 37678638 39648453 40688335 41768260 43088187 99999999 27839563 28719759 29459920 30279976 31069992 31789989 32290047 32480116 32220208 31560287 30150347 29340456 99999999 31351205 32171207 32591175 33241063 33880986 34530932 34920806 35040686 35370591 36400602 36890660 37630739 38430753 39660769 40080784 40530848 40450899 40031035 40161121 40831139 41231044 41900981 42711072 43621192 43561352 43551490 44291556 44881584 45331528 45811343 45801038 45480848 45260676 46120648 47940722 49450782 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE BDR 15 E ISP 25 SSE JFK 15 SSE EWR 25 W EWR 35 NW EWR 15 SW POU 20 ESE POU 15 ENE BDR 30 ESE BDR. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE JFK 15 NE TTN 30 NE ABE 20 SE MSV 25 ESE GFL 30 WNW MWN 55 NNW AUG 25 S BGR 50 SSW BHB. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW ANW 40 NW BBW LBF LBF 30 NE GLD 50 NNW GCK 10 SSW GCK 30 ENE LBL 55 SE LBL 40 E BGD 20 E AMA 40 WSW AMA 40 NE TCC 40 WNW CAO 25 N TAD 20 SE COS 15 SE COS 15 SSW FCL 15 N LAR 50 N LAR 40 WNW TOR 35 N BFF 35 ESE CDR 60 W VTN 30 WSW ANW. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E NEL NEL TTN 20 NE ABE MSV 30 NNW RUT 15 ENE EFK. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE MOT 60 SW DVL 45 W JMS 60 NW ABR 35 W HON 45 SW MHE 45 E BUB 15 NW HSI 40 SSW EAR 25 NE HLC 20 S HLC 50 NNE DDC 35 NNW P28 20 SE P28 30 SW END 45 ENE CSM 35 WNW LTS 30 SE PVW 30 WNW LBB CVS 35 S RTN 30 WSW PUB 35 WSW DEN 30 W DEN 50 E RWL 40 SW DGW 40 ENE DGW 45 WNW RAP 55 NW RAP 45 NNE BHK 55 N ISN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N HCO 35 SSE DTL 20 ENE SPW 25 SE SLB 40 NNE SDA 15 N FNB 15 W TOP 20 N CNU 20 WSW FYV 35 SE PRX 30 SSE TYR 10 SE LFK 20 SSW POE 30 SSE POE 30 ESE LFT 15 SE MSY 30 SE ASD 15 SW GPT 25 NNW GPT 20 NW PIB 40 NNW PIB 65 S GWO 20 S GWO 35 NNW TUP 45 E OWB 25 SW DAY 30 SE FDY 45 WNW CLE 60 NE MTC ...CONT... 70 SSE PSX 25 NNE NIR HDO 15 S JCT 40 NNW JCT 45 SSW ABI 45 W ABI 25 NE BGS 20 NNE MAF 25 SE INK 35 ESE MRF 80 SSW MRF ...CONT... 85 SW TUS 65 SE GBN 55 NW TUS 65 WNW SAD 30 SSE SOW 45 ENE SOW 20 SSW GNT 15 W ABQ 20 SSE SAF 55 N SAF 55 SW ALS 40 NNE DRO 20 ESE MTJ 40 W EGE 35 SSW CAG 50 W CAG 30 E VEL 35 NE PUC 45 NNW PUC 30 E SLC 30 E EVW 45 WNW RKS 35 WNW BPI 10 NE IDA 40 E SUN 30 W SUN 50 SSE MYL 15 E MYL 50 NE MYL 45 WSW BTM 10 NNE LVM 20 S BIL 35 NNE SHR 35 SW MLS 35 SW GGW 100 NNW GGW.