DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1057 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2020 VALID TIME 101630Z - 111200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 40259026 40899266 40979412 41229463 41999436 42439408 42759315 42949241 43629019 44328868 45918795 46088731 45868686 45368686 43888734 43558610 42668438 41168476 40278577 40128678 40058838 40259026 0.05 42809227 43159021 43338854 43208742 43028591 42618483 41688530 41138653 41098780 41339025 41779254 42129316 42529296 42809227 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 37779293 37229639 35349961 34050093 34160230 35020264 36900157 38170064 38829800 39479622 40609540 41449507 43079514 43619226 43949080 44878947 46508803 47008662 47438569 45758225 43938251 42488536 41178703 39638752 38438839 37578958 37779293 0.15 43049345 43579069 44478919 45238816 45398722 45008701 44278719 43218840 43108870 42819008 42579142 42379306 43049345 && ... WIND ... 0.05 43208095 41908161 39638295 37128406 34968395 34418476 34468630 35968807 36588969 36699324 36519621 35379957 34260070 32740182 32020254 32050337 32710378 34220319 35930301 36880224 38180039 39169797 40029606 40509488 41679506 42619498 43259418 43709219 44398979 46428751 47378528 0.15 37529704 36959821 35560006 34670134 34940193 35950160 36760116 37719953 38909697 40459396 41679454 42899437 43549212 44458849 45638624 45668504 45178412 43368340 40768366 39248469 38268643 37798963 38139106 38029435 37529704 0.30 40999335 41519405 42379415 42759402 43399143 43258745 43058615 42768551 42098497 41208482 40558513 40028583 39818786 40129004 40999335 0.45 41158681 41239073 41509391 42329394 42469387 42769241 42929121 42848876 42748740 41888662 41438654 41158681 SIGN 42329412 42689385 43249148 43208742 42788578 41848529 41038539 40598627 40478750 40518919 41359316 41519404 42329412 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 41888662 41438654 41158681 41239073 41509391 42329394 42469387 42769241 42929121 42848876 42748740 41888662 ENH 42768551 42098497 41208482 40558513 40028583 39818786 40129004 40999335 41519405 42379415 42759402 43399143 43258745 43058615 42768551 SLGT 45178412 43368340 40768366 39248469 38268643 37798963 38139106 38029435 37529704 36959821 35560006 34670134 34940193 35950160 36760116 37719953 38909697 40459396 41679454 42899437 43549212 44168972 44478919 45238816 45398722 45638624 45668504 45178412 MRGL 42108151 41908161 39638295 37128406 34968395 34418476 34468631 35968807 36588969 36699324 36519621 35399953 35359960 34270070 32740182 32020254 32040337 32710378 34220319 35930301 36880224 37830089 38170064 38320005 39169797 40029606 40169573 40609540 41449507 43079514 43329388 43709219 44229040 44878946 46518803 46788721 47378577 TSTM 27329969 29269849 30089762 30569712 30999666 31719595 32169551 32869525 33959607 34509671 34609754 34359824 33659911 33150001 31960108 29600178 29300198 99999999 31151175 33350877 34920645 35660524 36700564 37770661 40330657 40860693 41050794 41460884 41840904 42130928 42400946 42930967 43220950 43400878 43660725 43640617 43830472 44120358 43990238 43530151 43000120 42500095 41959905 42319735 43109610 44439457 44529312 44699216 45919088 46588825 46818725 47688532 99999999 39578017 39827861 40557654 40827615 41137640 41427764 41677905 41218170 40838188 40068191 39828181 39578017 99999999 39631819 40331800 41921481 41661402 40341382 39031533 38601748 39631819 99999999 36931846 36981900 37641976 38842061 39492073 40452103 40782097 40852028 40162015 39161975 38781964 38081908 37791893 37391838 36931846 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW BEH 20 SSW SBN 25 SSE VPZ 20 SW MLI 15 W DSM 20 SE FOD 20 ESE FOD 15 N ALO 45 NW DBQ 20 NE JVL 20 E RAC 20 SSW BEH. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S GRR 30 WSW JXN 25 NE FWA 25 NE MIE 30 SW MIE 25 SE CMI 25 NW SPI 25 SSW OXV 20 W DSM 10 SSE FOD 15 NNE FOD 35 SSW LSE 30 NE MKE 10 SSE MKG 10 S GRR. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW APN 30 NNE FNT 20 S FDY 15 NW LUK 40 W SDF 20 W MDH 40 E VIH 60 N JLN 25 ESE ICT 30 ENE AVK 50 WNW CSM 40 NNE PVW 25 SSW AMA 20 NNW BGD 20 ENE GUY 25 E DDC 25 SW MHK 10 S LWD 45 WNW DSM 25 NNW FOD 30 SE RST 30 ENE VOK 30 SE CWA 40 S IMT 25 SSW ESC 40 E ESC 15 WNW PLN 30 WNW APN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE CLE 35 NNE CLE 25 S CMH LOZ 60 S TYS 25 E RMG 30 ESE HSV 55 ENE MKL 45 NNW DYR 30 N HRO 20 SSW BVO 20 WNW CSM 20 W CSM 25 WSW CDS 40 NNW BGS 20 WNW MAF 20 NNW INK 30 W HOB 15 SE CVS 25 WSW DHT 20 WSW EHA 10 SW GCK 15 NNE GCK 40 N DDC 30 NW SLN 25 W FNB 10 NW FNB 10 S SDA 40 SSE DNS SPW 30 WNW MCW 20 SE RST 20 NNW VOK 10 ESE AUW 20 W MQT 25 NE MQT 90 NW ANJ. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW LRD 20 S SAT 15 SSE AUS 40 ENE AUS 35 NNW CLL 35 SE CRS 15 SSW TYR 35 NNE TYR 20 E DUA 25 NE ADM 35 NW ADM 25 SSE FSI 40 WSW SPS 55 NNW ABI 30 SE BGS 40 SE 6R6 55 SSE 6R6 ...CONT... 80 SW TUS 60 NE SAD 10 SE ABQ LVS 50 SSE ALS 45 WNW ALS 50 NNE EGE 40 NE CAG 45 NNW CAG 15 SE RKS 15 N RKS 40 NNW RKS 35 ESE BPI 35 NE BPI 45 NW LND 30 NW RIW 40 ESE WRL 55 NNE CPR 55 SE GCC 25 W RAP 35 E RAP 35 S PHP 35 WNW VTN 30 N MHN 15 NNE BUB 25 N OFK 45 SE FSD 25 ESE RWF 25 SSE MSP 35 WSW EAU 45 S ASX 30 W MQT 25 NE MQT 95 NNW ANJ ...CONT... 15 WSW MGW 35 SSW AOO 30 NE CXY 40 WNW ABE 30 ESE IPT 40 WNW IPT 25 WSW BFD 15 SSE CLE 25 WSW CAK 10 N ZZV 10 SSE ZZV 15 WSW MGW ...CONT... 30 ENE NFL 35 ENE LOL 40 SSW TWF 60 SSE TWF 30 SSE ENV 30 WSW ELY 40 NNW TPH 30 ENE NFL ...CONT... 30 S BIH 40 ENE FAT 50 ENE MER 35 W TVL 50 W RNO 65 ENE RBL 50 SSW AAT 45 SSE AAT 50 NNW RNO 25 NE TVL 20 ESE TVL 65 NW BIH 45 NW BIH BIH 30 S BIH.