DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1119 AM CDT TUE AUG 11 2020 VALID TIME 111630Z - 121200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42810225 44050230 44560267 45220339 45650316 45840230 45740096 45589995 45119876 44659819 44209847 43909939 42940006 42570096 42810225 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40100401 42000403 43490403 44660480 45000513 45450513 46640422 47180216 47169978 46569754 46119660 44029603 42779698 42169891 41659942 40640048 39300125 38090145 36260167 34940164 34540191 34310276 34980341 36310370 38450394 40100401 0.05 36009586 35869521 35319473 34449421 33629437 33109496 33039570 33219671 33709719 34979711 35779669 36009586 0.15 44640307 45180368 45740380 45990323 45880126 45650024 45559990 45219914 44959884 44589859 44119885 43880006 42650141 41760206 41600303 42140312 43110310 44120282 44640307 && ... WIND ... 0.05 34300083 33330127 32140235 31850324 32250372 34620372 36310406 39820398 43810409 45480446 46870392 47270229 46989959 46459748 45979644 45219560 44409533 43359554 42609627 42159891 40740043 39400103 38080057 36230056 35360062 34300083 0.05 34508727 32958578 31028408 29948254 29258299 29978525 31208841 32688931 32919152 32539305 32469452 32529542 32769635 33279709 33789729 35049712 35789676 36029584 36039476 36189404 36689368 36919323 36829284 36529244 36519201 36669172 36759062 36238924 34508727 0.05 46496735 46096946 44117241 41977521 42217604 43847566 45257450 0.15 45850272 45930200 45880091 45759892 45439770 45029735 44509745 44249768 43849823 43689910 43169982 42370034 41620094 40960173 40910255 41310311 41830318 43060315 43780265 44420254 44970295 45310320 45670312 45850272 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 45930204 45930200 45880091 45759892 45439770 45029735 44509745 44249768 43849823 43689910 43169982 42370034 41620094 40960173 40910255 41310311 41830318 43060315 43160309 44120282 44640307 45180368 45740380 45990323 45930204 MRGL 46426774 46096946 44107241 41977521 42217604 43847565 45037468 MRGL 46569754 46119660 46049658 45979644 45219560 44409533 43359554 42609627 42159891 41979910 41659942 40660047 39400103 38080057 36230056 35360062 34300083 33330127 32140235 31850324 32250372 34620372 36310406 39490398 40100401 41780403 43560408 44660480 45000513 45450513 46640422 46870392 47270229 47180138 47169978 46569754 MRGL 29978525 31208841 32688931 32919152 32539305 32469452 32529542 32769635 33279709 33789729 35049712 35789676 36029584 36039476 36189404 36689368 36919323 36829284 36529244 36519201 36669172 36759062 36238924 34508726 32958578 31028408 29948254 29258299 29978525 TSTM 26819686 27139738 27619771 28359776 29629697 30519556 30579438 29299333 99999999 28719014 29159108 30379116 31489099 32029152 32009338 32069656 32589835 32379942 31740087 31640198 31250276 29030384 99999999 31310717 32300658 33180636 34710624 36290573 37150539 39020517 39940559 40000632 40030735 39540974 40031183 39741404 38981601 38581843 38091964 39292112 40322173 41232208 42392027 43001738 42481388 43501109 43130846 44830718 47110461 47970287 47690018 47939875 47069408 45799326 43999363 41789545 40299743 38969860 37169984 36449825 37549660 38839478 40039080 38688729 37468572 37238457 38268294 39738140 40158042 40677928 41687895 42217962 42878028 99999999 45776751 44506950 43217104 41557237 41037305 39447485 38727405 38817351 99999999 31821297 33001296 33321174 32481033 31560924 31050813 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM Y22 10 E Y22 35 NW MBG 30 NW ABR 35 E ABR 10 NW ATY 35 SSW ATY 30 ESE HON 10 WNW MHE 10 ESE 9V9 40 N ANW 25 SW ANW 30 SSE MHN 30 N IML 25 ESE SNY 15 NNW SNY 20 E BFF 15 N CDR 25 N CDR 10 ENE RAP 40 N RAP 30 SSW 2WX 20 NW 2WX 30 NNE 2WX Y22. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N HUL 80 W HUL 10 SE MPV 30 NW MSV BGM 20 ESE ART 10 NE MSS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW FAR 55 N VVV 50 N VVV 45 N VVV 40 E VVV 15 SW RWF 20 S OTG 15 NNE SUX 25 SSW ONL 15 N BUB 15 WSW BUB 30 N MCK 35 E GLD 15 NE GCK 60 NE BGD 50 ESE BGD 35 WSW CDS 40 SE LBB 15 NNW MAF INK 30 E CNM 30 NW CVS 35 SE RTN 25 NW LIC 40 W AKO 20 SSE TOR 60 WSW RAP 40 ENE GCC 30 SSE 4BQ 15 E 4BQ 20 N BHK 40 NNE BHK 40 NE DIK 35 S N60 55 ENE BIS 40 SW FAR. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW AAF 35 NNW MOB 40 NW MEI 40 NE MLU 45 E SHV 15 ENE GGG 10 N TYR 30 ESE DAL 30 NNW DAL 35 W GYI 35 SE OKC CQB 15 S TUL 35 W FYV 15 NNE FYV 20 SE UMN 25 SSE SGF 40 SE SGF 20 N FLP 20 SSW UNO 10 SE UNO 10 W POF 20 NNE DYR 25 SE MSL 30 NW AUO 15 WSW MGR 25 NW GNV 25 SSE CTY 20 NW AAF. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNE BRO 45 S CRP 15 SW CRP NIR 55 N VCT 15 SSW UTS 50 NNW BPT 60 S LCH ...CONT... 60 SW BVE 40 SW HUM 50 ENE LFT 20 ESE HEZ 30 NNW HEZ 25 NW IER 10 WNW CRS 20 SW MWL 15 ESE ABI 35 NW SJT 25 SSE MAF 25 NNE FST 95 S MRF ...CONT... 60 SW ELP 35 NNW ELP 25 NNW ALM 30 SE ABQ 50 NNE SAF 35 SE ALS 30 WNW COS 40 WNW DEN 40 NE EGE 35 SSE CAG 45 NNE U28 55 S SLC 50 NE ELY 35 S P68 65 SSE NFL 60 SSE TVL 55 NNE SAC 30 ENE RBL 15 ESE MHS 15 NNE LKV 40 NE REO BYI 20 WSW JAC RIW 10 WNW SHR 10 E GDV 40 ESE ISN 60 E N60 15 SSE DVL 45 N BRD 40 ENE STC 20 SE MKT 15 SSW DNS 35 W BIE 15 ENE RSL 45 S DDC 20 WNW END 45 E ICT OJC 20 ENE UIN 45 NNE EVV 50 S SDF 30 WNW LOZ 20 WSW HTS 25 N PKB 10 E HLG 25 NNE LBE 20 WSW BFD 20 WNW JHW 55 N ERI ...CONT... 30 SSE HUL 20 NE AUG 15 NW PSM 20 NW GON 10 SSE BDR 15 W ACY 60 SSE ACY 70 SE ACY ...CONT... 80 SSW GBN 15 WNW GBN 20 ESE PHX 45 NE TUS 20 ENE DUG 85 SSW DMN.