DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0801 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2020 VALID TIME 120100Z - 121200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 43699910 43079988 42420034 42080089 41970149 42310143 42640148 42900172 44050231 44560267 45220339 45650316 45840230 45740096 45589995 45119876 44659819 44209847 43699910 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 33369686 34129681 34309626 34509539 34679476 34449421 33629437 33109496 33039570 33219671 33369686 0.05 36620128 35310098 34140113 33690139 33330176 33370244 33590259 34410264 35060254 37070261 39290214 40010148 40730141 41750191 42440170 42730197 42780254 43030318 43190354 43730396 45040459 45450511 46300477 47460314 47169980 46569754 46149625 45459541 44599493 43869484 43329554 42779698 42169891 41659942 40640048 39330090 37560130 36620128 0.15 43310277 43590321 44030321 44420303 45150371 45440442 45710464 46160414 46420370 46570315 46480190 46090065 45559990 45219914 44959884 44589859 44119885 43880003 42680066 42160105 41750143 41770166 42460142 43000166 43310277 && ... WIND ... 0.05 33059666 33339689 34039684 35019651 35069582 34969517 34849477 34449416 34079344 33869281 33509224 32729241 32539305 32469452 32529542 32769635 33059666 0.05 34350078 33560117 33320168 33330246 33550261 34420269 35090261 37410262 39370216 40010157 40840140 41780200 42020194 42440179 42730201 42750253 43160357 43820409 45640485 46870392 47270229 46989959 46459748 46069663 45219560 44609512 43869484 43209482 42659521 42429590 42459720 42159891 40709993 39530004 38080057 36230056 35360062 34350078 0.05 46646735 45756959 44277151 42887328 42017453 41827544 42017625 42367535 42997438 43837350 45167245 0.15 46280322 46370259 46090068 45759892 45439770 45029735 44509745 44249768 43849823 43689910 43169982 42370034 41620094 41590141 41750170 42050161 42470144 42910171 43270251 43780265 44420254 45070320 45480393 45920390 46280322 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 46480190 46090065 46080064 45759892 45439770 45029735 44509745 44249768 43849823 43689910 43169982 42370034 41620094 41590141 41750170 42050161 42470144 42910171 43170229 43310277 43590321 44030321 44420303 45150371 45440442 45710464 46160414 46420370 46570315 46480190 MRGL 46646735 45756960 44277151 42887328 42017454 41827544 42017625 42367535 42997438 43837350 45167245 MRGL 47169980 46569754 46149625 45459541 44599493 43869484 43209482 42659521 42429590 42459720 42159891 40709993 39530004 38080057 36230056 35360062 34350078 33560117 33320168 33330246 33550261 34420269 35090261 37410262 39370216 40010157 40750142 41240165 41780200 42020194 42440179 42730201 42750253 43160357 43820409 45040459 45450511 46300477 47460314 47169980 MRGL 34969517 34849477 34449416 34079344 33869281 33509224 32729241 32539305 32469452 32529542 32769635 33059666 33339689 34039684 35019651 35069582 34969517 TSTM 31821297 33011296 33321174 32481033 31560924 31050813 99999999 31270626 31760561 32900420 35070362 36910362 38840414 40640411 42180467 44300627 44990616 45280854 45730965 46200958 47040799 47780473 48680254 48780047 48289968 47929898 47069408 45799326 44089316 43079360 41879457 41189600 40299743 38969860 38219870 36819900 35559945 34349984 33250070 31590202 31250276 29030384 99999999 28419073 29159108 30379116 31489099 32029152 32009338 32069656 32369731 33129765 33969788 34819760 37289608 38939441 39979235 39788999 39348826 38688729 37468572 37238457 38268294 39778124 41087873 42157703 43087576 43937475 45557426 99999999 45776751 44506950 43217104 41577235 40027287 99999999 39741404 39011615 38651751 37831846 37001821 36921873 37451922 37951964 39342095 40312121 40872144 41842176 42891885 43021745 42761419 41731356 40181374 39741404 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE Y22 40 NNW MBG 40 NNW MBG 30 NW ABR 35 E ABR 10 NW ATY 35 SSW ATY 30 ESE HON 10 WNW MHE 10 ESE 9V9 40 N ANW 25 SW ANW 30 SSE MHN 35 SSW MHN 40 WSW MHN 30 W MHN 35 NNW MHN 60 W VTN 45 ENE CDR 35 NNE CDR 30 SSW RAP 10 W RAP 25 N RAP 30 SSW 2WX 45 WSW 2WX 40 ENE 4BQ 15 SSE BHK 25 E BHK 25 SW DIK 40 NNE Y22. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE CAR 75 NNW BGR 10 W MWN 30 ENE ALB 25 NNE MSV 35 WNW MSV 20 SW BGM 35 ENE BGM 35 WNW ALB 35 NW RUT 20 NNW EFK. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE BIS 40 SW FAR 45 WNW AXN 30 S AXN 10 ENE RWF 25 NW FRM 15 E SPW SLB 25 E SUX 35 SSE YKN 25 SSW ONL 50 W EAR 15 NW HLC 15 NE GCK 60 NE BGD 50 ESE BGD 30 W CDS 40 ESE LBB 25 SSE LBB 45 WSW LBB 45 W LBB 35 E CVS 50 W AMA 10 N SPD 10 NE ITR 35 S IML 20 NE IML 50 N IML 45 ESE AIA 45 E AIA 45 NW MHN 55 E CDR 30 E CDR 35 NW CDR 55 WSW RAP 50 SE 4BQ 15 E 4BQ 25 W BHK 50 NNW DIK 50 ENE BIS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W RKR 15 SW RKR 30 NNE DEQ 35 SW HOT 45 N ELD 30 WSW LLQ 25 WNW MLU 45 E SHV 15 ENE GGG 10 N TYR 30 ESE DAL 20 NE DAL 30 SSW GYI 20 SSE ADM 40 WNW MLC 10 NNW MLC 30 W RKR. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SSW GBN 15 WNW GBN 20 ESE PHX 45 NE TUS 20 ENE DUG 85 SSW DMN ...CONT... 35 S ELP 45 E ELP 35 SE ROW TCC 40 NW CAO 30 E COS 50 ENE FCL 30 WNW TOR 35 W GCC 45 ENE SHR 35 S BIL 40 E LVM 20 SE 3HT 70 E LWT 25 WNW SDY 60 NE ISN 50 NE MOT 35 WNW DVL 15 SSW DVL 45 N BRD 40 ENE STC 35 WNW RST 15 WSW MCW 40 E DNS 10 SSW OMA 35 W BIE 15 ENE RSL 45 S RSL 20 W AVK 20 NW CSM 25 ESE CDS 70 ESE LBB 25 SSE MAF 25 NNE FST 95 S MRF ...CONT... 80 S HUM 40 SW HUM 50 ENE LFT 20 ESE HEZ 30 NNW HEZ 25 NW IER 10 WNW CRS 30 S FTW 25 NW FTW 35 E SPS 30 SE CHK 35 N BVO 15 SE MKC 15 SE IRK 15 WSW SPI 10 S MTO 45 NNE EVV 50 S SDF 30 WNW LOZ 20 WSW HTS 30 NNE PKB 10 SE DUJ ELM 20 E SYR 40 SW SLK 50 NNE MSS ...CONT... 30 SSE HUL 20 NE AUG 15 NW PSM 25 NW GON 55 SSE ISP ...CONT... 50 NE ELY 35 SSW P68 45 NNW TPH 35 N BIH 25 SSE BIH 35 SSW BIH 45 W BIH 65 NE MER 60 WNW TVL 55 ENE RBL 55 SE MHS 20 S LMT 50 S BNO 35 NE REO 25 NE TWF 60 S BYI 40 SSE ENV 50 NE ELY.