DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1242 AM CDT FRI AUG 14 2020 VALID TIME 141200Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48809221 47899158 47429137 46859145 45739186 44069283 42589409 40649578 40119724 40289813 41109829 41549773 42769715 44019670 45219642 45959647 46449679 46669755 47419801 48099814 49349560 0.05 45969315 44629373 44319427 44239489 44269535 45379564 46599577 47339578 47829560 48269495 48239387 48089302 47559279 46979285 45969315 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48749006 46359052 44389133 42859275 40069561 38929688 38349934 37660045 37180061 35970082 35640156 35490238 35580319 36120320 36890304 38060261 38780203 39500143 40030058 41969861 42619806 44089754 45509729 45819769 45829827 45429949 45470021 45800081 46590135 47850061 49329715 0.05 34389540 34799576 35489574 35989504 36059410 35519295 35259256 33939059 33289023 32839042 32449091 31879172 31579261 31909313 33359445 34169526 34389540 0.15 48649038 45929153 44069280 42809407 40609573 40169703 40179808 41009824 41589773 42129739 42609723 43989668 46149658 46429686 46609782 46549869 46649959 47230027 47819971 48459831 49149659 SIGN 44209385 42459498 42119570 42129638 42179654 42679636 44099577 45469563 46589570 47519538 48059429 47909322 46909288 44209385 && ... WIND ... 0.05 48268942 46339000 44229072 42729179 41659289 40529408 38969564 37839676 37179851 36909932 36559978 35950043 34720045 33900059 33670169 33590264 34010293 35140325 36140326 38110263 39520146 39980072 41999866 42589814 44039760 44839745 45539735 45829778 45799831 45639875 45429946 45460027 45820092 46620138 47840059 49359713 0.05 31989336 34149532 34769580 35459578 36059513 36199418 35449237 33409001 32778954 31788906 31058910 30708985 30969109 30989174 31629284 31989336 0.15 48649043 45959088 44509151 43669223 42429380 40679568 40159710 40219808 41039824 41699758 43029702 44079668 46109657 46409690 46629782 46549837 46569918 46669968 47280023 47809980 48319860 48789752 49549630 0.30 47809199 45779289 44689337 44329437 44239485 44219535 44459550 45769572 46549570 47049684 47159750 47609791 47989776 48499658 48779556 48719366 48569281 47809199 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 48569281 47809199 45789289 44689337 44329437 44239485 44219535 44459550 45769572 46549570 47049684 47159750 47609790 47989776 48489658 48759544 48789434 48669329 48569281 SLGT 48389047 45959087 44509151 43669223 42429380 40689567 40609573 40159710 40169734 40179808 41039824 41319796 41589773 42069743 42279734 42609723 43629682 44079668 44469666 46119658 46409690 46539743 46609782 46589808 46549837 46559862 46549869 46559876 46569918 46649958 46669968 46939992 47280022 47819980 48209887 48459831 48649784 48789752 49069706 MRGL 48308939 46339000 44229072 42729179 41659289 40529408 38969564 37829676 37179851 36909932 36559978 35950043 34720045 33900055 33670169 33590264 34010293 35140325 36140326 36750307 36890304 37190293 38110263 39520146 39980072 41999866 42589813 44039760 44839745 45539735 45819776 45819793 45799831 45639875 45429949 45439971 45460027 45820092 46620137 47310093 47850061 48679872 49119771 MRGL 35449237 33979065 33939059 33919058 33409001 32778954 31788906 31058910 30708985 30969109 30989174 31629284 31989336 34149532 34769580 35459578 36059513 36199418 35449237 TSTM 31521297 32371239 32771155 33061114 33321100 33671128 34261185 34911211 35261214 35631184 35671126 35331087 35071047 34901018 34850974 35060890 35470827 35700771 35870748 36250716 36540720 36770771 37060812 37480840 37980817 38450747 39080668 39460622 39700579 39670532 39420499 38700466 38180453 37870417 37890380 38050343 38420323 39070267 40110168 41690025 43239906 44229916 45140042 45290113 45990309 49350519 99999999 48408713 47408738 45418824 42698965 41309138 40299137 39869049 39578900 40568782 41428746 42178683 42658622 43068493 43048392 42968222 99999999 43047934 43117841 43107668 43437495 43417387 43007276 42267242 41547265 41167348 40537395 39937403 39507359 99999999 28659480 30359476 32389590 33759774 33979966 33220253 32410458 31480678 99999999 36241784 36111807 36211854 37111915 38232002 38922048 39442059 39812043 39901994 39761954 39281900 37981828 37001782 36461782 36241784 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E INL 10 SW ELO 60 ENE STC 15 SSW MSP 25 WNW MKT 25 SSE RWF 25 SSW RWF 20 WSW RWF 15 WSW AXN 20 SSE DTL 10 N FAR 35 WNW FAR 40 SW GFK 25 W GFK 25 SE HCO 15 SSW RRT 45 WNW INL 10 NE INL 25 E INL. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N GNA 40 S ASX 25 S EAU 20 SE RST 20 ESE FOD 15 WSW SDA 20 WSW SDA 20 WSW BIE 30 WSW BIE 35 SSE HSI GRI 30 NE GRI 20 WNW OLU OFK 20 NNE OFK 25 SSE YKN FSD 15 SSE BKX 15 NE BKX 55 N VVV 35 S FAR 40 SW FAR 45 ESE JMS 35 SE JMS 30 SSE JMS 25 S JMS 25 S JMS 25 S JMS 35 SW JMS 45 WSW JMS 50 WSW JMS 40 ENE BIS 40 NE BIS 45 WSW DVL DVL 35 NE DVL 40 W HCO 25 W HCO 20 NNW HCO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NE GNA 15 SSE IWD 30 NW VOK 35 ENE ALO 25 NNE OXV 10 SW LWD 10 S TOP 40 ENE ICT 10 SSE P28 35 WNW AVK 65 WSW AVK 55 ENE BGD 20 NNW CDS 40 SSW CDS LBB 45 W LBB 35 SE CVS 20 E TCC 20 SSW CAO 20 NNE CAO 30 NNE CAO 20 WSW SPD LAA 15 NE GLD 15 SSW MCK 30 ENE BUB 30 ENE ONL 30 NE MHE 15 WSW ATY 45 NNW ATY 40 NE ABR 35 NE ABR 25 NNE ABR 20 NW ABR 45 E MBG 35 E MBG 10 ESE MBG 30 NW MBG 30 WSW BIS 35 SE N60 40 ENE N60 40 NNE DVL 45 NW HCO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE RUE 40 NNE GLH 40 NE GLH 40 NE GLH 10 SSE GWO 55 NW MEI 25 NE PIB 30 SSE PIB 25 N ASD 40 WSW MCB 45 SE ESF 15 ESE IER 25 NW IER 35 NNE PRX 10 S MLC 30 WSW MKO 30 NNE MKO 15 N FYV 45 ENE RUE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 S GBN 45 SSE GBN 55 SSE PHX 55 ESE PHX 60 E PHX 45 ENE PHX 40 SE PRC 25 NE PRC 30 WNW FLG 30 SE GCN 45 NNE FLG 25 NNW INW 15 ENE INW 30 ESE INW 45 NNE SOW 35 SSW GUP 30 E GUP 40 NNE GNT 30 WSW 4SL 20 NW 4SL 40 NNW 4SL 25 S DRO 20 WSW DRO 20 NE CEZ 40 SSW MTJ 25 E MTJ 15 SE ASE 40 ENE ASE 50 W DEN 25 WSW DEN 25 SSW DEN 10 SSE COS PUB 35 SSE PUB 20 SW LHX LHX 30 NNE LHX 25 WSW ITR 30 S IML 35 WNW BBW 40 SSE 9V9 30 NNE 9V9 25 S MBG 40 WSW MBG 35 NE 2WX 90 NNE OLF ...CONT... 105 NE CMX 55 ENE CMX 30 S IMT 30 W JVL 40 NNW BRL 25 NNW UIN 40 E UIN 20 SSW DEC 30 NNW DNV 25 W VPZ 20 W BEH 35 S MKG 25 NW LAN 10 WNW FNT 40 NE MTC ...CONT... 30 WNW BUF 20 NE BUF 30 W SYR 30 NE UCA 15 WNW GFL 25 WNW EEN 15 ENE BAF 25 S BDL 20 W BDR 10 SW JFK 15 ESE NEL 55 E ACY ...CONT... 45 S GLS 50 ESE UTS 30 W TYR 45 ESE SPS 45 SE CDS 50 SW LBB 20 WNW CNM 30 SW ELP ...CONT... 40 NNW NID 35 NW NID 60 NW NID 40 NE FAT 45 S TVL 25 W TVL 45 W RNO 40 WNW RNO 30 NNW RNO 20 NE RNO 20 SW NFL 45 N BIH 40 SE BIH 55 N NID 40 NNW NID.