DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0745 AM CDT FRI AUG 14 2020 VALID TIME 141300Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48649225 47969172 47479176 46749215 45789250 43979337 43169399 42269478 41489563 41389639 41679702 41999702 42329685 43589624 45209614 45779617 46379650 46499759 46759818 47099825 47439769 48839383 0.05 46419359 45779382 45069407 44709474 44699556 45729575 46329598 46709664 47119668 47469620 47659552 47709467 47569391 47329354 46819348 46419359 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48428997 45909086 44519148 43549225 40539553 39459766 38609917 37660045 37180061 36150103 35640156 35490238 35670311 36130316 36890304 38090266 39050209 40250049 41479847 42589747 44029686 45179686 45619718 45899839 46329943 47059972 47659887 48559706 49429482 0.15 48619087 45929153 44009278 42809407 41099581 40309700 38150105 38170190 38670191 39590080 41079827 41589773 42389702 44219626 45319628 45959655 46179787 46479875 47089909 47449850 48249647 49049414 SIGN 44159403 42459498 42119570 42129638 42179654 42679636 44099577 45469563 46589570 46909533 47069470 46979389 46249352 44159403 && ... WIND ... 0.05 48268942 46308986 44379050 43279133 42429231 40769405 39879501 38489727 37669870 37039965 35950043 34720045 34020092 33670169 33590264 34010293 35140325 36700308 38110263 39050208 40480014 41499849 42529750 44079684 45099686 45579714 45899838 46299937 47059973 47639893 48519717 49419485 0.05 32599309 33259333 33659332 33989319 34389238 34329157 33939059 33409001 32118884 31368852 30698868 30398935 30269026 31039161 31829250 32599309 0.15 48649043 45959088 44509151 43629226 42419378 40639572 38839928 38010084 38040192 38670190 39590075 41099823 42279702 44099621 45219621 45939649 46179793 46469877 47059909 47429850 48329625 49029417 0.30 46879282 45779289 44689337 44329437 44239485 44219535 44459550 45769572 46339611 46509759 46759818 47099825 47389767 47999572 48059457 48009378 47659307 46879282 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 47599304 46819281 45789289 44689337 44329437 44239485 44219535 44459550 45769572 46329611 46519759 46739820 47099825 47379775 47659688 47989566 48039462 47989381 47599304 SLGT 48389047 45959087 44509151 43669223 42429380 40689567 40609573 39759747 38829924 37990082 38010190 38640191 39540084 41079825 42299704 44139621 45269624 45939654 46189796 46489880 47049910 47429853 48269639 49009424 MRGL 34309150 33919058 33409001 32078881 31388853 30678871 30398941 30279027 31049161 31819248 32599310 33279335 33689330 34019313 34389236 34309150 MRGL 48308939 46228988 44329050 43229143 39959486 38549716 37719868 36979967 35950043 34720045 34010092 33670169 33590264 34010293 35140325 36750307 38110263 39000211 40270047 41429854 42579747 44029684 45139685 45589716 45909842 46309939 47029974 47609896 48509714 49409490 TSTM 31821354 32411297 32771155 33061114 33321100 33671128 34261185 34911211 35261214 35631184 35671126 35331087 35071047 34901018 34850974 35060890 35470827 35700771 35870748 36250716 36540720 36770771 37060812 37480840 37980817 38450747 39080668 39460622 39700579 39670532 39420499 38700466 38180453 37870417 37890380 38050343 38420323 39070267 40110168 41690025 43239906 44229916 45140042 45290113 45630234 47410331 49230391 99999999 48548668 46558731 44548821 42648956 41349046 40619124 39949188 38759293 38229289 38139155 38769015 39678889 40568782 41428746 42458685 43258599 43648505 43778377 43358188 99999999 42848051 42117963 41727862 41627749 41377618 40857496 40287410 40077325 99999999 28949413 30649434 31969491 33469558 34859616 35939645 36429709 36179786 35489827 33839871 32939964 32350111 31930276 31790483 31210649 99999999 36241784 36111807 36211854 37111915 38232002 38922048 39442059 39812043 39901994 39831936 39201879 38171821 37001782 36461782 36241784 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW HIB 30 W DLH 60 ENE STC 15 SSW MSP 25 WNW MKT 25 SSE RWF 25 SSW RWF 20 WSW RWF 15 WSW AXN 35 SSW DTL 45 SW FAR 25 ESE JMS 25 ENE JMS 50 SSW GFK 25 SE GFK 25 ESE TVF 40 NNE BJI 45 SSW INL 20 NW HIB. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N GNA 40 S ASX 25 S EAU 20 SE RST 20 ESE FOD 15 WSW SDA 20 WSW SDA 20 NNE CNK 25 W RSL GCK 45 E LAA 45 SSE ITR 45 SSW MCK 10 NNE GRI 30 NE OFK 30 ESE BKX 10 ESE VVV 45 N VVV 55 NNE ABR 30 S JMS 20 WNW JMS 35 NNE JMS 15 NW TVF 50 NW INL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE PBF 40 NE GLH 10 SSE GWO 20 S MEI 50 E PIB 25 W MOB 20 W GPT 20 N MSY 45 SSW HEZ 30 NNW ESF 45 ENE SHV 30 W ELD 40 NW ELD 30 S HOT 25 SSW LIT 25 ENE PBF. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NE GNA 25 SSE IWD 30 NNW VOK 45 S LSE 15 NNE STJ 30 ESE SLN 30 NNW P28 55 WNW AVK 55 ENE BGD 20 NNW CDS 45 SW CDS LBB 45 W LBB 35 SE CVS 20 E TCC 20 NNE CAO LAA 20 SSE ITR MCK 35 NNW GRI 25 SSW YKN 20 S BKX 20 NE ATY 40 WNW VVV 30 N ABR 55 SW JMS 50 W JMS 35 S DVL 20 SSW HCO 40 NNE RRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SE YUM 40 SSW GBN 55 SSE PHX 55 ESE PHX 60 E PHX 45 ENE PHX 40 SE PRC 25 NE PRC 30 WNW FLG 30 SE GCN 45 NNE FLG 25 NNW INW 15 ENE INW 30 ESE INW 45 NNE SOW 35 SSW GUP 30 E GUP 40 NNE GNT 30 WSW 4SL 20 NW 4SL 40 NNW 4SL 25 S DRO 20 WSW DRO 20 NE CEZ 40 SSW MTJ 25 E MTJ 15 SE ASE 40 ENE ASE 50 W DEN 25 WSW DEN 25 SSW DEN 10 SSE COS PUB 35 SSE PUB 20 SW LHX LHX 30 NNE LHX 25 WSW ITR 30 S IML 35 WNW BBW 40 SSE 9V9 30 NNE 9V9 25 S MBG 40 WSW MBG 20 SSW Y22 45 ESE SDY 75 N ISN ...CONT... 125 NE CMX 10 E MQT GRB 25 W JVL 10 SSE MLI 15 SSW BRL 35 W UIN 35 E SZL 50 WSW JEF 10 E VIH 10 SSW ALN 10 S DEC 30 NNW DNV 25 W VPZ 30 NW BEH 15 ENE MKG 50 W MBS 25 NE MBS 65 ESE BAX ...CONT... 55 NNW ERI 20 W JHW BFD 40 NW IPT 25 W AVP 30 ENE ABE 20 NE NEL 50 SE JFK ...CONT... 45 SE GLS 50 SSE LFK 30 SSW GGG 15 SW PRX 20 W MLC 25 NE CQB 20 S PNC 15 SSE END 30 NNW CHK 15 SW SPS 35 N ABI 25 ENE BGS 30 ENE INK GDP 40 S ELP ...CONT... 40 NNW NID 35 NW NID 60 NW NID 40 NE FAT 45 S TVL 25 W TVL 45 W RNO 40 WNW RNO 30 NNW RNO 30 NE RNO 20 S NFL 55 N BIH 40 SE BIH 55 N NID 40 NNW NID.