DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1115 AM CDT FRI AUG 14 2020 VALID TIME 141630Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48649225 47969172 47479176 46749215 45789250 43979337 43169399 42269478 41489563 41389639 41679702 41999702 42329685 43589624 45199618 45779633 46159679 46439706 46909699 47379682 47699630 48929379 48649225 0.05 44659558 45039583 45649600 46119621 46379622 46599593 46679562 46679533 46559507 45999433 45319382 44779371 44449382 44209406 44179457 44359527 44659558 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48428997 45909086 44519148 43549225 40539553 39299763 38599876 37650009 37180061 36150103 35640156 35490238 35670311 36130316 36890304 38090266 39050209 40250049 41479847 42589747 44029686 45179686 45709707 46949722 48019658 49519481 48428997 0.15 45589311 45049301 43749345 42929416 41129586 40559679 39919779 38480024 37840110 37660163 37950188 38660164 39620063 41079827 41589773 42719673 44219626 45479632 46159650 46779645 47169574 47099502 46889434 46169341 45589311 && ... WIND ... 0.05 48268942 46308986 44509037 42469174 41139345 39579485 38109676 37239858 35970042 34720045 34020092 33670169 33590264 34010293 35140325 36700308 38110263 39050208 40480014 41499849 42529750 44079684 45099686 45579714 46049735 46699726 47549691 48279629 49409562 49629464 48268942 0.05 30929148 31889188 32259178 32589113 33099070 33079006 32248830 31408757 30578744 30268795 30078891 30089029 30549107 30929148 0.15 48669157 46149095 44579140 43419216 41549441 40579538 39869608 38969708 38179824 37629916 37030068 37020149 38000186 38420165 39400031 40889802 42279702 44099621 45219621 45619626 46629691 47169670 48069561 48969398 48669157 0.30 45809573 46239610 46589608 46679604 46879575 47019538 47029506 46879469 46469425 45789376 45169346 44669337 44259453 44249534 44669554 45809573 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 46879469 46469425 45789376 45169346 44669337 44259453 44249534 44669554 45809573 46239610 46589608 46679604 46879575 47019538 47029506 46879469 SLGT 48119143 46149095 44579140 43419216 41549441 40579538 39869608 38969708 38179824 37629916 37030068 37020149 37870181 37950188 38660164 39620063 41079827 41589773 42509692 43499649 44219625 45479632 45879643 46629691 47169670 48069561 48749439 MRGL 48018948 46308986 44509037 42469174 41139344 39579485 38109676 37239858 35970042 34720045 34020092 33670169 33590264 34010293 35140325 36030315 36130316 36570309 36750306 36890304 38090265 39050209 40250049 40380029 40480014 41499849 42049797 42579747 43599705 44029686 45099686 45579714 46049735 46699726 46819721 46949722 47299702 47549691 47759674 48019658 48279629 49009586 MRGL 32248830 31408757 30578744 30268795 30078891 30089029 30549107 30929148 31889188 32259178 32589113 33099070 33079006 32248830 TSTM 48068647 46138726 43848790 42228869 39769060 38429336 37399639 37019766 36129893 33300034 32690162 32640377 31810467 31760585 31130659 99999999 31821354 32481225 32831047 33090985 34080957 34440807 35200714 35840689 36570711 37100780 37480840 38050812 39440642 39640572 39880516 40440460 40570400 40510266 39940156 41379926 43009750 44919690 46779815 46829925 47150138 47630262 49140351 99999999 37231927 38052013 38842051 39372031 39551951 38771871 37771816 37001812 36101801 36211854 37231927 99999999 29189377 29829430 31489427 32729506 33909502 34709540 35429517 35749463 36149384 35899300 36339252 37389196 38568991 39668873 40468731 41388668 42278519 42748403 43048250 43088150 99999999 42857969 42457932 41817950 41447882 40657792 40647650 40287410 40347245 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW BRD BRD 20 NE STC 20 NNW MSP 15 SSW MSP 30 W MKT 25 SSW RWF 25 WNW RWF 15 WSW AXN 40 NW AXN 20 SSW DTL 15 SW DTL DTL 25 ENE DTL 35 S BJI 40 NW BRD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE ELO 30 S ASX 20 S EAU 40 SSE RST 40 W DSM 10 S SDA 30 WSW FNB 25 WSW MHK 20 WNW HUT 40 NW P28 15 E LBL 25 E EHA 50 ESE LAA 45 E LAA 50 S GLD 40 S MCK 10 NNE GRI 20 WNW OLU 30 WNW SUX 15 ESE FSD 30 ESE BKX 10 NNE VVV 40 N VVV 20 SSW FAR 20 NNE FAR 25 E TVF 45 ESE RRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE GNA 20 SE IWD 40 WSW CWA 35 E ALO 20 SW OXV 15 SSE STJ 35 WSW EMP P28 60 ENE BGD 20 NNW CDS 45 SW CDS LBB 45 W LBB 35 SE CVS 20 E TCC 30 S CAO 20 S CAO 10 NNE CAO 20 NNE CAO 30 NNE CAO LAA 15 SE ITR MCK 20 NE MCK 30 NE MCK 35 NNW GRI 30 W OFK 25 SSW YKN 15 W FSD 20 S BKX 20 NE ATY 40 WNW VVV 65 NE ABR 25 SW FAR 20 WSW FAR 20 W FAR 25 NNW FAR 30 SSE GFK 25 SE GFK 20 WSW TVF 15 NNW TVF 15 NW ROX. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE MEI 30 W GZH 15 WNW PNS 35 SSE MOB 25 SSE GPT MSY 55 SW MCB 50 SSW HEZ 40 WNW HEZ 25 SE MLU 55 E MLU 30 SSE GLH 30 S GWO 25 ESE MEI. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 NE CMX 30 NNW ESC 25 SSW MTW 20 E RFD 35 ESE UIN 25 SSE SZL 45 NNW BVO 35 WNW PNC 45 SSW AVK 70 NNW ABI 35 NNW BGS 30 W HOB 10 E GDP 30 E ELP 50 SSW ELP ...CONT... 85 SE YUM 40 SE GBN 50 W SAD 20 NW SAD 30 ESE SOW 50 S GNT 30 WNW ABQ 15 SSE 4SL 40 NNW 4SL DRO 20 NE CEZ 35 SSW MTJ 30 ENE ASE 45 WSW DEN 15 WNW DEN 20 E FCL 50 WNW AKO 35 NE AKO 40 N GLD 20 ESE BBW 10 NW YKN 10 E ATY 25 ESE JMS 30 WSW JMS 35 S N60 55 W N60 65 N ISN ...CONT... 40 NE FAT 55 NNE MER 30 W TVL 30 WSW RNO 15 ENE RNO 50 S NFL 30 NNE BIH 30 SSE BIH 35 NNW NID 60 NW NID 40 NE FAT ...CONT... 55 SSE BPT 20 WSW BPT 35 ENE LFK 30 NW GGG 30 NE PRX 25 ESE MLC 20 SSE MKO 30 SW FYV 20 ENE FYV 25 SSE HRO 10 NNW FLP 25 SSE TBN BLV 15 SSE DEC 20 W LAF 15 ESE VPZ 20 E AZO 20 SW FNT 35 NNE MTC 75 ENE MTC ...CONT... 50 W BUF 20 N JHW 25 SSW JHW 20 NNE DUJ 15 SSW UNV 35 NNE CXY 20 NE NEL 45 SE ISP.