DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1223 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2020 VALID TIME 151200Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48519247 46889128 45859283 46569482 47939525 48799481 48519247 0.02 41600145 40120088 39420183 39240329 39890366 41810313 41950222 41600145 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 42910199 41990091 38739918 36769939 34870142 33630468 33800607 34860665 37440503 39420405 42590340 42910199 0.05 49079229 47909130 46709136 45809272 46619520 47949661 49579801 0.05 43758120 41758355 39238707 37268896 35679128 36249237 37469251 39239100 41588882 45058624 46458385 0.15 41560150 39140052 37720068 36660142 36190275 36410416 37350448 39310366 41770317 41910227 41560150 0.15 49149292 47949192 47279200 46579308 46939458 48509586 49349601 SIGN 41920219 41600167 39410068 38430119 38300302 39240361 41800320 41920219 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42870209 42060106 38699917 36799947 34900146 33540483 33790615 34720667 37500504 39410410 42630340 42870209 0.05 48729210 47919141 46629137 45819278 46579515 49129776 0.05 43708133 41548386 39338700 37178907 35609129 36269224 37539251 41408914 45058624 46458385 0.15 39240058 37720072 36740129 36210288 36450412 37400440 39170369 40070355 40740336 40950201 40610111 39240058 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 37470437 39200374 40960335 41770317 41910227 41560154 39030056 37650072 36670137 36180283 36410416 37470437 SLGT 49109287 48069201 47279200 46579302 46939453 48519592 49429624 MRGL 42910204 42020096 38629917 36769943 34870146 33580484 33830611 34790664 37320510 39340409 42620345 42910204 MRGL 49049235 48109133 46709136 45819278 46579515 47799644 49539801 MRGL 43718137 41868336 39178713 37108912 35649133 36279233 37509251 39439088 41698880 45058624 46458385 TSTM 31391219 33201017 33870877 34560836 35600821 37250732 39290528 41790416 43830400 44350352 44320248 43510054 41969871 41009819 39649807 38839764 38029669 38149535 40049309 41219159 42739049 43859021 44529177 46239533 48099774 49309864 99999999 44357667 42787693 41787711 40907798 40617906 39977967 39097911 38647882 38457838 38547744 38697655 38377497 38437421 99999999 28619470 29049501 29719607 29039907 29420054 31080297 31320366 31070409 29160419 99999999 36581754 36111787 35541815 35051783 35001705 34221614 33821602 33471613 33311666 33421714 34191770 34471818 34721910 35041958 35961959 36591973 37141978 37842006 39112017 40352062 41092117 41432155 40852237 40962338 41842382 42912344 44112211 43902091 43391934 42411853 40491860 38941802 38031781 36581754 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TAD LIC 20 WSW SNY 25 ESE BFF 30 ESE AIA 40 SW MHN 45 WSW HLC 20 S GCK GUY 20 NW DHT 30 SE RTN 15 N TAD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE INL 15 NNW ELO 30 W BFW 45 WSW DLH 40 NNW BRD 25 SSW ROX 45 NNW ROX. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E CDR MHN 25 SW RSL 40 W AVK 30 SSE AMA 25 NW ROW 30 SW 4CR 15 S ABQ 40 W TAD 25 WNW LIC 25 SW CDR 55 E CDR. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NE INL 30 ENE ELO 25 WNW ASX 65 ENE STC 40 ESE DTL 25 SSW TVF 70 NW HCO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 E BAX 25 S DTW 20 SSE HUF 20 W PAH 20 ESE BVX 10 ENE FLP 25 SW TBN 40 SSE UIN 25 NNW MMO 40 NW TVC 25 E ANJ. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 SW TUS 40 NW SAD 75 ESE SOW 50 SSW GNT 30 E GUP 25 ENE DRO 40 SSW DEN 20 S TOR 50 WSW RAP 30 NW RAP 35 ENE RAP 45 N VTN 25 ENE BUB GRI 25 WNW CNK SLN 35 SW EMP 35 NNE CNU 30 W IRK 40 NW BRL 25 NNE DBQ VOK 30 SSW EAU 25 N AXN 30 WNW GFK 80 N DVL ...CONT... 40 NW ART 30 NW ITH 30 SSW ELM 10 WNW UNV 30 NE LBE 25 SSW LBE 40 ENE EKN 25 N SHD 25 N CHO 30 SW DCA 30 ESE DCA 30 E SBY 70 E SBY ...CONT... 50 S GLS 25 SW GLS 45 W HOU 25 SSE HDO 25 E DRT 10 NNW FST 40 SW INK 50 N MRF 85 S MRF ...CONT... 60 N NID 30 NNW NID 30 WSW NID 10 NNE EDW 20 NW DAG 40 N TRM 15 NNE TRM 10 SSE TRM 35 SW TRM 40 SSE RAL 20 NW RAL 15 SSW PMD 35 N OXR 40 SW BFL 50 NW BFL 15 S FAT 25 N FAT 45 NNE MER 15 NNW TVL 75 NW RNO 40 SW AAT 40 E MHS 35 S MHS 35 E ACV 20 ENE CEC 50 NW MFR 50 W RDM 25 SSE RDM 25 SW BNO 35 WSW REO 30 N LOL 55 SE NFL 40 W TPH 60 N NID.