DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0745 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2020 VALID TIME 151300Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48629315 47339244 46269365 46729514 47499617 48809527 48629315 0.02 40920177 39810139 38800203 38770292 39340336 41360313 41600221 40920177 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49079229 48039128 46709136 45809272 46619520 48049707 49579801 0.05 38848850 37618949 35979184 36249237 37469251 39189118 39749037 39478869 38848850 0.05 42600234 41730118 38559919 36769939 34870142 33630468 33800607 34860665 37440503 39420405 42590340 42600234 0.15 41220147 39100062 37720068 36660142 36190275 36410416 37480440 39310366 41300327 41650228 41220147 0.15 49149292 48019196 47279200 46579308 46829476 48379667 49229713 SIGN 41010223 40760176 39540126 38550154 38470292 39240361 41010313 41010223 && ... WIND ... 0.05 48729210 47919141 46629137 45819278 46579516 48069710 49109779 0.05 43708133 41548386 39308703 37178907 35649127 36199238 37539251 41788877 45058624 46458385 0.05 42590227 41790123 38699924 37289855 36569872 35779945 34870143 33640471 33810613 34800665 37500504 39440400 42580347 42590227 0.15 38640064 37720072 36630137 36190278 36430418 37400440 39100371 40070355 41000327 41000216 40760174 38640064 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 37470437 39200374 40960335 41300321 41660228 41250148 39100064 37650072 36670137 36180283 36410416 37470437 SLGT 49109287 48069201 47279200 46589312 46869478 48319665 49269715 MRGL 43718137 41738361 39178713 37108912 35649133 36279233 37509251 39439088 41698880 45058624 46458385 MRGL 49049235 48109133 46709136 45819278 46579515 48069710 49539801 MRGL 42580233 41720114 38579917 37289853 36549874 35759949 34890134 33610471 33830611 34790664 37320510 39340409 42550338 42580233 TSTM 31711257 32811088 33491095 33771146 34311171 34631151 34651092 34540987 34700919 35150837 35490781 35860742 36210720 36900705 37700714 39230638 40490551 41580451 43060374 43560227 43660122 43510054 41969871 40799790 39869756 38809714 38029669 38149535 40049309 41219159 42739049 43859021 44529177 46209533 46819657 47649779 49239987 99999999 44357667 42737674 41667680 40957700 40567753 40517821 40587892 39977967 39097911 38647882 38457838 38547744 38697655 38377497 38437421 99999999 28619470 29049501 29719607 29039907 29430053 29940159 29470229 99999999 32251667 32881682 33421714 34121767 34411905 34491964 34721986 35071959 35961959 36591973 37141978 37842006 39112017 40352062 41092117 41432155 40852237 40962338 41842382 42912344 44112211 43902091 43391934 42411853 40491860 38941802 38031781 36581754 36111772 35531789 35081775 35001705 34251617 33971539 33641513 33501529 33401576 32951596 32301590 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TAD LIC 20 WSW SNY 20 NW SNY 40 SE AIA 40 WNW LBF 45 WSW HLC 20 S GCK GUY 20 NW DHT 30 SE RTN 15 N TAD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE INL 15 NNW ELO 30 W BFW 50 WSW DLH 45 NW BRD 25 NW TVF 35 NNW HCO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 E BAX 15 NE TOL 20 SSE HUF 20 W PAH 20 ESE BVX 10 ENE FLP 25 SW TBN 40 SSE UIN 25 NNW MMO 40 NW TVC 25 E ANJ. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NE INL 30 ENE ELO 25 WNW ASX 65 ENE STC 40 ESE DTL 10 NNE GFK 70 NW HCO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE CDR 25 S MHN 30 SW RSL P28 15 SSW AVK 35 NNW CSM 30 SE AMA 25 NNW ROW 30 SW 4CR 15 S ABQ 40 W TAD 25 WNW LIC 25 SW CDR 40 ESE CDR. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 S GBN 50 N TUS 60 E PHX 40 NE PHX 45 ESE PRC 35 SSE FLG 30 SSW INW 20 NNE SOW 55 ENE SOW 25 W GNT 20 NNE GNT 30 WSW 4SL 20 NW 4SL 45 ESE DRO 50 NE DRO 25 E ASE 25 W FCL 35 NNE CYS 35 WNW CDR 50 SW PHP 35 SE PHP 45 N VTN 25 ENE BUB 25 ESE GRI 25 NNE CNK 25 E SLN 35 SW EMP 35 NNE CNU 30 W IRK 40 NW BRL 25 NNE DBQ VOK 30 SSW EAU 25 N AXN 15 ESE FAR 35 SW GFK 90 NNW DVL ...CONT... 40 NW ART 25 NW ITH 30 NNE IPT 20 S IPT 25 SE UNV 15 NNE AOO 30 NE LBE 25 SSW LBE 40 ENE EKN 25 N SHD 25 N CHO 30 SW DCA 30 ESE DCA 30 E SBY 70 E SBY ...CONT... 50 S GLS 25 SW GLS 45 W HOU 25 SSE HDO 25 E DRT 40 E 6R6 40 S 6R6 ...CONT... 30 SSW CZZ 25 ENE SAN 40 SSE RAL 15 NW RAL 15 NNE OXR 10 ENE SBA 20 N SBA 40 SW BFL 50 NW BFL 15 S FAT 25 N FAT 45 NNE MER 15 NNW TVL 75 NW RNO 40 SW AAT 40 E MHS 35 S MHS 35 E ACV 20 ENE CEC 50 NW MFR 50 W RDM 25 SSE RDM 25 SW BNO 35 WSW REO 30 N LOL 55 SE NFL 40 W TPH 60 N NID 30 N NID 15 SW NID 15 NNE EDW 20 NW DAG 45 N TRM 45 WNW BLH 25 W BLH 35 WSW BLH 30 SE TRM 25 WNW IPL 40 ESE CZZ.