DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0802 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2020 VALID TIME 160100Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48909285 48249267 47559272 47059318 46949411 47369512 48359560 49299614 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48899188 48219181 47409178 46759205 46029307 46149441 46879579 47589621 49309709 0.05 37149606 36849479 36679361 37459173 37929027 37758949 37218910 36079035 35169231 34829447 35019596 35509677 36169706 36829679 37149606 0.05 43270023 42860015 42380053 41540096 40540112 39720066 38929981 38139889 37069859 36429878 35229998 34120135 33490346 33890446 34730519 35650491 36860521 37910525 38680524 39250489 40020418 40920350 42150328 43020317 43470249 43510127 43270023 0.15 39490274 38880224 38700195 38390143 38080060 37620032 36940057 36620137 36570273 36890364 37590408 38360433 39270379 39520326 39490274 0.15 36709529 36309471 35659470 35309515 35249576 35519629 35909667 36369682 36729651 36849590 36709529 0.15 49039289 47939254 47069283 46979427 47549505 49259563 && ... WIND ... 0.05 48919191 48119168 47299174 46779205 46039304 46139452 46829571 47549626 49359709 0.05 37378887 36039035 35109246 34839445 34999604 35539682 36169709 36799681 37119610 36829470 36699354 37459173 38709035 40728833 41428776 41358734 41078702 40268721 37378887 0.05 41570096 40590108 39660066 39059993 38139886 36999856 36329886 35259995 34070144 33520346 33890446 34720519 35660492 36780522 38680524 39320486 40120405 41080346 42240327 43000321 43460254 43500130 43320034 42860013 42430049 41570096 0.15 39520273 38820217 38370137 38050057 37600032 36960055 36600141 36570277 36930361 37620410 38380429 39250385 39520326 39520273 0.15 36709530 36359476 35699470 35309514 35259575 35519631 35859664 36389682 36729651 36879591 36809564 36709530 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36940054 36610141 36560270 36860360 37550407 38320433 38700411 39240381 39550322 39510272 38820220 38380137 38070061 37550032 36940054 SLGT 36859584 36709531 36319473 35679471 35279518 35239577 35499632 35879668 36379682 36719653 36859584 SLGT 49039289 47999256 47119282 46959419 47569505 49369568 MRGL 40070407 40930350 42130328 42990321 43430254 43510127 43280028 42880017 42350054 41520096 40520111 39630060 38689958 38119886 36979859 36389882 35180001 34090140 33510348 33880446 34700518 35650491 36730518 37880524 38650525 39220492 40070407 MRGL 48899193 48169178 47269180 46659213 46009311 46129449 46849575 47479621 49279710 MRGL 41028705 40358721 38988793 37398890 36049038 35139240 34839447 34989600 35529679 36139708 36799681 37139609 36839484 36679361 37459174 38699038 40038906 40628845 41418777 41368738 41028705 TSTM 31231226 32181114 33141094 33671146 34181160 34541147 34651092 34480971 34890824 35560739 36500690 37310702 38510642 39580562 40750441 43120356 43690276 43950161 43850008 43539956 42909940 41490023 40570029 39659964 38489840 37769777 37549651 37599471 37809350 38409201 39059102 39908985 41148859 42148823 42888848 43548916 43779021 44059122 44849263 45359458 46489632 47699769 49509860 99999999 36738806 35008999 33449338 32109324 30539185 29899047 30708812 31688711 33448580 35098496 36278409 37358446 37968527 38258683 36738806 99999999 45057552 44147546 43137565 42117618 41497690 41377792 41567907 41428013 40918114 39778173 38928156 38028092 36918103 36448051 36317961 36537847 37277717 37857554 38497370 99999999 28769397 29539455 30579495 31739516 32589575 32729662 32419729 31509747 30499790 29799855 29449945 29450037 29460117 29230188 99999999 32251667 32881682 33421714 34121767 34391908 33941963 99999999 33812033 34382060 35192066 35412066 35592056 35702035 35832000 36051974 36231962 36591973 37141978 37842006 39112017 40352062 41052102 41432155 40842239 40642292 40722331 40902343 41842382 42682332 43312214 43482058 43061922 42171862 40491860 38941802 38031781 36581754 36111772 35531789 35081775 35001705 34251617 33971539 33701518 33501529 33401576 32951596 32301590 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE LBL GUY 25 ENE CAO 40 NW CAO 25 NE TAD 10 ENE PUB 35 ESE COS 10 WSW LIC 30 NE LIC 30 NW ITR 30 S ITR 45 NW GCK 10 NNE GCK 25 SW DDC 25 ESE LBL. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE BVO 30 WNW GMJ 20 S GMJ 30 NW FSM 30 SSE MKO 25 N MLC 30 ESE CQB 15 NE CQB 30 SSE PNC 30 W BVO 10 ENE BVO. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE INL 30 W ELO 20 S HIB 40 N BRD BJI 35 NNW RRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W AKO 30 WSW SNY 25 NE BFF 15 NNW CDR 50 SSE RAP 40 SSE PHP 35 NNE VTN 20 E VTN 35 WSW ANW 30 NNW LBF 25 E IML 40 S MCK 45 WSW RSL 50 S RSL 15 NNE AVK 30 SSW AVK 45 WSW CSM 20 ESE PVW 60 NNW HOB 40 N ROW 50 NE 4CR 15 E LVS 35 W RTN 45 NE ALS 30 WSW COS 30 NNW COS 45 W AKO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 N ELO 20 NNE ELO 20 WNW BFW 15 S DLH 55 NE STC 25 SW BRD DTL 40 S TVF 35 NNW HCO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S VPZ 15 WSW LAF 40 SSE MTO 25 NNW PAH 20 NE JBR 30 NNW LIT 15 SSE RKR 15 WNW MLC 15 S CQB 30 NNW CQB 15 ENE PNC 25 N BVO 15 NNW GMJ 20 SE UMN 30 SE TBN STL 15 NW DEC 25 ENE BMI 40 W VPZ 20 WSW VPZ 30 S VPZ. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SW TUS 10 WNW TUS 65 ESE PHX 35 ENE PHX 55 SE PRC 40 SSE FLG 30 SSW INW 20 NE SOW 25 SW GNT 40 NE GNT 35 N 4SL 40 ENE DRO 30 E GUC 40 WSW DEN 35 SE CYS 30 NW CDR 30 SSE RAP PHP 40 SSE PIR 20 SW 9V9 35 NE ANW 30 W BBW 30 NNE MCK 20 NNE HLC 35 SE RSL 20 WNW ICT 50 E ICT 30 NNW JLN 40 N SGF 15 SSE JEF 40 WNW STL 10 WNW SPI 15 SSE MMO 45 E RFD 30 W MKE 30 NNE MSN 10 SSE VOK 10 N LSE 30 E MSP 30 WSW STC 30 SW DTL 30 SW GFK 90 NW HCO ...CONT... 30 W HOP MEM 35 WNW ELD 25 NNW IER 25 NNE LFT 15 WSW MSY 10 ENE MOB 20 NNW GZH 10 SSE ANB 15 ENE CHA 30 N TYS 30 NW LOZ 30 ESE SDF 40 ENE EVV 30 W HOP ...CONT... 35 WNW MSS 30 ENE ART 15 W UCA 10 WSW BGM 15 N IPT 35 N UNV 30 NNW DUJ 15 WNW FKL 15 E CAK 15 SE ZZV 30 SSW PKB 20 NE BKW 25 SW PSK 40 NW GSO 25 NE GSO 25 WSW AVC 20 SSE RIC WAL 80 SE ACY ...CONT... 60 SE GLS 20 NE GLS 35 ESE UTS 40 NW LFK 25 NW TYR 15 ESE DAL 30 S FTW 15 WSW ACT 20 NW AUS 20 NNW SAT 15 WNW HDO 35 E DRT 15 WNW DRT 60 W DRT ...CONT... 30 SSW CZZ 25 ENE SAN 40 SSE RAL 15 NW RAL 15 NNE OXR 30 SW OXR ...CONT... 50 SSW SBA 25 S VBG 25 NNW SMX 20 S PRB PRB 15 E PRB 35 ENE PRB 50 S FAT 40 S FAT 15 S FAT 25 N FAT 45 NNE MER 15 NNW TVL 75 NW RNO 40 SW AAT 40 E MHS 35 S MHS 50 NW RBL 40 E EKA 35 E ACV 20 ENE CEC 30 NW MFR 75 NNE MFR 60 SSE RDM 40 SSW BNO 50 SW REO 30 N LOL 55 SE NFL 40 W TPH 60 N NID 30 N NID 15 SW NID 15 NNE EDW 20 NW DAG 45 N TRM 45 WNW BLH 25 WNW BLH 35 WSW BLH 30 SE TRM 25 WNW IPL 40 ESE CZZ.