DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0747 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2020 VALID TIME 161300Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 40170193 40960024 41389934 41369856 40779837 40079939 39500066 39490196 40170193 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 37989827 37049804 35949777 34969733 33809573 32969469 31999403 31109426 30329441 29589502 29499718 30149890 31870078 32500165 33190272 34240421 35280536 36210542 37000528 38870491 39830379 40430278 41050134 41839982 42329896 42949794 43379673 43499503 43209445 42599433 41799486 41069557 40429631 39589718 38849803 37989827 0.15 38909914 36490059 36510199 37790286 39210273 40270199 41489921 41489814 40869762 40119772 38909914 SIGN 40069869 39209974 38440060 38400135 38690202 39540201 40100156 40820001 40809904 40599872 40069869 && ... WIND ... 0.05 41120121 41879970 42939801 43349676 43459591 43489507 43209445 42589436 41859480 40809586 39639714 38849803 37969827 36969802 35969779 34949731 33759568 32909462 31949403 30369439 29609499 29499713 30129885 32070104 32960234 33720349 34350437 35330542 36170545 36950530 38890490 39770381 40410279 41120121 0.05 32091389 33671321 34071227 33721123 33131038 32861011 32551006 31821006 31031005 0.05 43831904 42321986 40982151 40952275 42802248 45302179 45702112 45821979 45171896 43831904 0.15 38919910 36470064 36490191 37790289 39250273 40270199 41479922 41489816 40839762 40179769 38919910 SIGN 40100156 40670027 40699933 40489894 39929887 38440057 38000078 37980166 38320205 39530205 40100156 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 40119771 38919914 36500061 36500195 37790286 39220274 40260197 41060019 41479921 41469815 40839761 40119771 MRGL 38870491 39780382 40460271 41020143 41829982 42959794 43399668 43489507 43199443 42589432 41709492 40359636 39539727 38829805 38109825 36979801 35969777 34949735 33899582 32979469 31959405 30369441 29609499 29509715 30109885 32050097 33310293 34240425 35270537 36170544 37460520 38870491 MRGL 32051389 33651322 34081225 33721121 33101035 32811006 32291003 31021008 MRGL 43871903 42351985 40992151 40952275 42832245 45302178 45712110 45811981 45171893 43871903 TSTM 32231488 33321463 34051440 34521440 34981453 35451467 35791432 35701366 35311273 34871185 34521084 34700975 35280883 35740839 36530828 37140826 38130805 39530710 40920555 41320292 42440065 43609999 44169854 44589742 45219706 46369776 46929744 47299589 47199451 46579297 45369208 44199134 43039065 42249032 41379036 40899115 40239265 39299462 38579570 37469639 36219598 35159483 34669333 34509163 35129017 35988884 36978795 39478650 42268464 43228358 44458159 99999999 46818344 45658411 44388520 43488598 42868665 42598742 42648816 42928865 44028925 45058953 46048967 46898907 47128734 47108430 99999999 45327473 43177593 41477782 38398067 36988185 35948286 34748484 32098691 29498826 99999999 29478612 31398318 32938144 34637922 36417832 37697842 38677752 40027464 40677269 40687085 99999999 28039581 29189819 29349960 29300049 29120126 99999999 38712401 40082392 41332379 42652360 44032296 45312256 46242237 47582183 48372156 48672095 48091995 47321923 46891856 46711757 46661633 46551472 45961349 44811323 43981333 42871387 41321496 39911593 38311709 37111751 35371726 35021712 34671682 34411635 34041589 33721602 33511649 33721697 34121753 34231799 34391828 34501858 34481896 34581950 34661970 34771972 34901965 34991945 35021917 35071893 35171874 35371860 35591851 35771847 36061858 37381939 38752032 39262093 38982149 38142130 37252106 36312107 35692136 35292174 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N CNK 15 W RSL 40 SSE LBL 30 WSW GUY 20 SSW LAA 25 W ITR 25 SW IML 25 E LBF 20 S BUB 35 NNE GRI 40 ESE GRI 40 N CNK. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW COS 35 NNW LIC 35 NE AKO 35 NNE IML 30 NNW BBW 30 W YKN 15 S FSD 20 N SPW 30 S FRM FOD 30 SE DNS 20 E BIE 20 E CNK 20 W SLN 20 W HUT 40 SE P28 30 SSE END 35 SSE OKC 30 NW PRX 40 N GGG 35 SSW SHV 35 NW BPT 20 ESE HOU 45 NNW VCT 45 NNW SAT 35 ESE BGS 45 NNE HOB 55 W CVS 30 SSW LVS 40 NNW LVS 35 E ALS 10 WNW COS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SE YUM 60 NNW GBN 40 SSE PRC 50 ENE PHX 45 WNW SAD 25 W SAD 45 SSW SAD 40 SSE FHU. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW BNO 30 ENE LKV 50 ESE MHS 35 SW MHS 40 NE MFR 35 SW DLS DLS 50 W PDT 35 S PDT 20 NNW BNO. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW YUM 20 SSE BLH 35 NNE BLH 20 SE EED 15 NNE EED 45 WNW IGM 45 NNW IGM 35 NNE IGM 50 NNW PRC 20 SSW FLG 35 SSW INW 35 NNE SOW 15 S GUP 25 NE GUP 15 S FMN 25 ESE CEZ 25 SSW MTJ 10 SW EGE 30 SSE LAR 15 NNE SNY 30 S VTN 35 WSW 9V9 20 SW HON 25 SSW ATY 20 NNE ATY 60 SE JMS 30 W FAR 30 N DTL 30 SE BJI 40 WSW DLH 45 NW EAU 20 NNW LSE 25 WSW LNR 25 ESE DBQ 10 SE MLI 10 N BRL 10 NNW IRK 15 N MKC 30 ENE EMP 50 WSW CNU TUL 15 NW RKR 20 NW HOT 30 NE PBF 10 WNW MEM 25 N MKL 35 NW HOP 20 SW IND 10 W JXN 20 NNE FNT 85 NE BAX ...CONT... 50 ENE ANJ 35 E PLN 25 W HTL 25 NNE MKG 30 SW MKG 25 ESE RAC 20 WSW RAC 30 NE JVL 35 W OSH 10 NNE AUW 30 NNW RHI 35 SW CMX 45 NNE MQT 45 N ANJ ...CONT... 30 N MSS 10 ENE SYR 45 N UNV 45 NNW SSU 40 WSW BLF HSS 30 SE CHA 20 SSE SEM 70 E BVE ...CONT... 60 SSW PFN 40 N VLD 45 SE AGS 30 SW FAY 25 SW AVC 30 S CHO 30 WSW DCA 15 W NEL 20 ESE ISP 50 SE BID ...CONT... 55 SSE PSX 30 SE SAT 25 W HDO 25 E DRT 25 SW DRT ...CONT... 50 WSW UKI 50 SSE EKA 30 NE ACV 40 WNW MFR 15 ESE EUG 20 S PDX 45 NNE PDX 25 ENE SEA 55 ESE BLI 65 WNW OMK 30 SW OMK 15 E EPH 55 ESE EPH 20 W PUW 40 E PUW 40 SW MSO 50 W BTM 40 SE SMN 60 NE SUN 25 NNW BYI 55 NE EKO 25 N P68 15 N TPH 50 ESE BIH 30 SE NID 25 WNW DAG 15 S DAG 40 SE DAG 30 NNE TRM 10 NE TRM 20 WSW TRM 30 ESE RAL 15 NNW RAL 30 S PMD 20 SW PMD 30 WSW PMD 25 NE OXR 20 ENE SBA 15 NNE SBA 25 NNE SBA 35 NNE SBA 40 SW BFL 30 SSW BFL 25 SSE BFL 25 SE BFL 25 E BFL 30 ENE BFL 40 NE BFL 50 NNE BFL 45 NNE FAT 20 WSW TVL 55 WNW TVL 30 N SAC 15 NNW SCK 30 W MER 45 ESE MRY 40 W PRB 70 WSW PRB.