DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0257 PM CDT SUN AUG 16 2020 VALID TIME 162000Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 40959696 40179826 39310023 38270081 37980087 37210059 36129983 35419992 34519984 34220030 34250068 35030097 35740144 36660196 37750283 38350302 39040318 39360313 39740291 40380198 41050028 41449930 41769861 42269740 42179684 41729664 40959696 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 37989827 37049804 35969780 35239716 34289632 33199470 32659375 32559279 32749137 33189080 33599029 34338933 34498901 34418881 34098864 33678854 33298864 32868891 30969178 30509405 30349516 30669672 31259761 32129833 33579951 33790058 34100188 35100296 36140371 36750441 37530454 38930459 40510329 41050206 41839982 42369875 43029755 43599674 44679653 44939588 44709492 44019465 42859447 41799486 41069557 40429631 39589718 38849803 37989827 0.15 37790286 39060321 39740298 40500194 41499939 42069803 42249749 42209684 41729662 41169658 40299731 39909796 39669847 38739937 37539991 35749992 34519986 34220033 34170068 35030103 36020160 37070226 37790286 SIGN 40609784 39889915 39190039 38750118 38590182 38750249 39370275 39690259 40270185 41149973 41669838 41979761 41999725 41589714 41139734 40609784 && ... WIND ... 0.05 32091389 33671321 34071227 33721123 33131038 32861011 32551006 31821006 31031005 0.05 41801968 40582088 40882292 42182304 43822279 45602196 46532073 46831964 46761840 46381761 46001731 45261734 44171787 42971855 41801968 0.05 41120121 41849970 42239838 42619702 42599612 42199555 41369555 40869575 39629683 38819778 38139804 36969802 35969779 35249714 34239568 33319464 32789361 32639310 32839136 33669026 34418931 34508898 34308847 33838832 32148875 30868971 29839196 29359429 29499714 30129885 32440081 33420240 33910352 34490437 35330519 36170545 36950530 38890490 39880381 40360295 41120121 0.15 40360184 40950025 41189938 41179825 41069765 40699745 40379745 39769800 38819908 38029959 36979978 35539994 34489987 34210030 34210071 34890093 35410120 36490191 37790289 39200283 40360184 SIGN 39940141 40290065 40380007 40319966 39929944 39259956 38630003 37970083 37980166 38320205 39300195 39940141 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 41729662 41169658 40299731 40039775 39769800 38819908 37979965 36379983 35589992 34979987 34489987 34190032 34170068 34870093 35310115 36490191 37790289 37900289 39060321 39740298 40500194 41499939 42069803 42249749 42209684 41729662 MRGL 46761840 46381761 46001731 45261734 44171787 42971855 41801968 40582088 40882292 42182304 43822279 45602196 46532073 46831964 46761840 MRGL 32171385 33671321 34071227 33721123 33131038 32861011 32551006 31821006 31331005 MRGL 44709492 44019465 42859447 41799486 41069557 40939572 40869575 39629683 38819778 38139804 36969802 35969779 35249714 34239568 33319464 32789361 32639310 32839136 33669026 34418931 34508898 34308847 33838832 32148875 30868971 29839196 29359429 29499714 30129885 32440081 33420240 33910352 34490437 35330519 36170545 36950530 38890490 39880381 39880381 40510329 41050206 41839982 42369875 43029755 43599674 44679653 44939588 44709492 TSTM 28039581 29189819 29349960 29300049 29120126 99999999 32231488 33321463 34051440 34521440 34981453 35451467 35791432 35701366 35311273 34871185 34521084 34700975 35280883 35740839 36530828 37140826 38130805 39530710 40920555 41320292 42440065 43609999 44169854 44699716 45499552 45509345 45229236 44199134 43209047 42138960 41758942 41048993 40459107 40189232 39299462 38579570 37469639 36219598 35159483 34669333 34509163 35129017 35988884 37008800 39118570 40278474 41758332 42108284 99999999 46818344 45658411 44388520 43488598 42868665 42598742 42648816 42928865 44028925 45058953 46048967 46898907 47128734 47108430 99999999 45327473 43177593 41477782 38398067 36988185 35948286 34748484 32098691 29498826 99999999 29478612 31398318 32938144 34637922 36417832 37697842 38677752 40027464 40677269 40687085 99999999 38712401 40082392 41332379 42652360 44032296 45312256 46242237 47582183 48372156 48672095 48091995 47321923 46891856 46711757 46661633 46551472 45951349 44811323 43981333 42871387 41321496 39911593 38311709 37111751 35371726 35021712 34671682 34411635 34041589 33721602 33511649 33721697 34121753 34231799 34391828 34501858 34481896 34581950 34661970 34771972 34901965 34991945 35021917 35071893 35171874 35371860 35591851 35771847 36061858 37381939 38752032 39262093 38982149 38142130 37252106 36312107 35692136 35292174 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W TQE 25 NNE LNK 30 W BIE 35 N CNK 25 NW CNK 15 WSW RSL 20 NE DDC 70 WSW AVK 45 WNW CSM 40 WNW LTS 25 E CDS 15 S CDS 30 SW CDS 50 NW CDS 30 SSE BGD 25 WSW GUY 20 SSW LAA 15 SW LAA 30 ESE LIC 35 SSE AKO 15 W IML 15 ENE BBW 30 W OFK 20 N OFK 25 WSW SUX 25 W TQE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N ALW 30 W LWS 30 SSW LWS 40 NE BKE 45 S BKE 45 NW REO 45 SE LKV 65 SSW AAT 45 SW MHS 15 SSW MFR 30 SE EUG 30 E PDX 10 WSW YKM 35 S EPH 45 N ALW. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE YUM 60 NNW GBN 40 SSE PRC 50 ENE PHX 50 WNW SAD 30 W SAD 30 SW SAD 25 NE FHU 25 SE FHU. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE RWF 25 NNW FRM 25 NNW FOD 30 ESE DNS 25 NNW SDA 20 NW SDA 20 WNW SDA 35 NNW MHK SLN 10 WNW HUT 40 ENE AVK 30 SSE END 30 ESE OKC 45 NNW PRX 40 WSW TXK 25 NNE SHV 45 SSW ELD 45 ENE MLU 15 NW GWO 15 E UOX 20 NW TUP 15 E TUP 15 NNE CBM 15 S MEI 35 N ASD 10 ENE 7R4 30 E GLS 45 NNW VCT 45 NNW SAT 45 ENE BGS 40 WSW LBB 35 SSW CVS 60 W CVS 20 S LVS 40 NNW LVS 45 SE ALS 10 WNW COS 40 WSW AKO 40 WSW AKO 25 N AKO 45 NNW IML 30 NNW BBW 10 SSW ONL 10 NW YKN FSD 30 NNE BKX 35 SE VVV 15 NE RWF. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE PSX 30 SE SAT 25 W HDO 25 E DRT 25 SW DRT ...CONT... 35 SSW YUM 20 SSE BLH 35 NNE BLH 20 SE EED 15 NNE EED 45 WNW IGM 45 NNW IGM 35 NNE IGM 50 NNW PRC 20 SSW FLG 35 SSW INW 35 NNE SOW 15 S GUP 25 NE GUP 15 S FMN 25 ESE CEZ 25 SSW MTJ 10 SW EGE 30 SSE LAR 15 NNE SNY 30 S VTN 35 WSW 9V9 20 SW HON 15 S ATY 25 SSW AXN 30 E STC 50 ENE MSP 20 NNW LSE 15 W LNR 25 W RFD 35 SSW RFD 30 NNW PIA 25 S BRL 15 ENE IRK 15 N MKC 30 ENE EMP 50 WSW CNU TUL 15 NW RKR 20 NW HOT 30 NE PBF 10 WNW MEM 25 N MKL 35 NW HOP 50 E BMG 35 E MIE 30 ENE TOL 30 ESE DTW ...CONT... 50 ENE ANJ 35 E PLN 25 W HTL 25 NNE MKG 30 SW MKG 25 ESE RAC 20 WSW RAC 30 NE JVL 35 W OSH 10 NNE AUW 30 NNW RHI 35 SW CMX 45 NNE MQT 45 N ANJ ...CONT... 30 N MSS 10 ENE SYR 45 N UNV 45 NNW SSU 40 WSW BLF HSS 30 SE CHA 20 SSE SEM 70 E BVE ...CONT... 60 SSW PFN 40 N VLD 45 SE AGS 30 SW FAY 25 SW AVC 30 S CHO 30 WSW DCA 15 W NEL 20 ESE ISP 50 SE BID ...CONT... 50 WSW UKI 50 SSE EKA 30 NE ACV 40 WNW MFR 15 ESE EUG 20 S PDX 45 NNE PDX 25 ENE SEA 55 ESE BLI 65 WNW OMK 30 SW OMK 15 E EPH 55 ESE EPH 20 W PUW 40 E PUW 40 SW MSO 50 W BTM 40 SE SMN 60 NE SUN 25 NNW BYI 55 NE EKO 25 N P68 15 N TPH 50 ESE BIH 30 SE NID 25 WNW DAG 15 S DAG 40 SE DAG 30 NNE TRM 10 NE TRM 20 WSW TRM 30 ESE RAL 15 NNW RAL 30 S PMD 20 SW PMD 30 WSW PMD 25 NE OXR 20 ENE SBA 15 NNE SBA 25 NNE SBA 35 NNE SBA 40 SW BFL 30 SSW BFL 25 SSE BFL 25 SE BFL 25 E BFL 30 ENE BFL 40 NE BFL 50 NNE BFL 45 NNE FAT 20 WSW TVL 55 WNW TVL 30 N SAC 15 NNW SCK 30 W MER 45 ESE MRY 40 W PRB 70 WSW PRB.