DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1143 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2020 VALID TIME 241630Z - 251200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 25258255 24998093 24618022 0.02 45499450 44749220 44069179 43549213 43559268 43899400 44589602 44869705 45589700 45779559 45499450 0.02 28488832 29748958 30368965 30668944 31018831 31268691 31668607 31758491 31348357 30938332 30238364 29148438 0.05 29418831 30358846 30798812 30908762 30948620 30808548 30278492 29078498 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 41988254 41828514 41918822 42259094 43899640 44769817 45709861 46689722 47029560 46799278 45548809 44868460 44538200 0.05 45667089 45387001 44916908 44216912 43747020 43777084 44167166 44567219 45187245 0.15 46269393 45969255 44058884 43418832 42788942 42949102 43919404 44519553 45149614 45809613 46209530 46269393 SIGN 45749546 45699444 44999139 43949139 43619230 44329418 44779526 45289591 45749546 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42138257 41828525 41918820 42229082 43889639 44779817 45689860 46669722 47039554 46529295 45038804 45038536 44518176 99999999 45707089 45296982 44886910 44146904 43896987 43277064 41767124 40957363 39367460 38037556 37277678 37637861 38397864 39257829 39847863 40327941 41057935 41517841 41727712 42807598 43517565 44627599 0.05 28848587 30168597 30968579 31718536 31948418 32878303 32748138 31958101 30968142 29998197 28708196 27588159 26658102 25728032 25077968 0.05 41051946 42342044 42802048 43281980 43741856 43711771 43181718 41961716 41701621 41281529 39991533 38571673 37861800 38781929 39231958 40271964 41051946 0.15 45929247 43798772 42738774 42668836 42959102 43919402 44519552 45149614 45799618 46209533 46279387 45929247 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 46129325 45969255 45859231 43798772 42738774 42668836 42798942 42788942 42949102 43919404 44519553 45149614 45799618 46209533 46279387 46129325 SLGT 29598828 30358846 30798811 30908762 30948620 30808548 30278492 28998509 MRGL 45787112 45296982 44916908 44146904 43926980 43876990 43277064 41767124 40957363 39367460 38037556 37277678 37637861 38397864 39267830 39837863 40347940 41057937 41447846 41737708 42837595 43517565 45047614 MRGL 42158251 41828514 41918822 41928831 42229082 42259094 42909291 43889639 44229706 44769817 45389846 45709861 46689722 47039554 46799278 45548809 45038536 44548174 MRGL 43711771 43181718 41961716 41701621 41281529 39991533 38571673 37861800 38781929 39231958 40271964 41051946 42342044 42802048 43281980 43741856 43711771 MRGL 28738843 29748958 30368965 30668944 31018831 31268691 31668607 31758491 31948418 32878303 32748138 31958101 30968142 29998197 28708196 27588159 26658102 25728032 25037962 TSTM 29330198 29700176 30540153 31070093 31350006 31199885 30919842 30729796 30439738 30279666 30269644 30339625 30369609 30429590 30619559 30909516 31279438 32699291 35498940 37228831 39848820 40758821 41649012 42319288 43229705 42729904 41280060 40400166 39530226 37880296 35090311 33420412 32310499 31660614 31520667 99999999 32511788 32961770 34061729 34211605 33521547 33231472 33381414 34201398 35111432 36101439 37041481 37741565 37501667 37481736 37541843 37581888 38041935 39042038 39602089 40062147 40052228 39552310 39312372 39272442 99999999 41192467 41822440 42652349 44202160 46451732 47911448 49641115 99999999 49549972 47120360 45410706 44540817 43920805 43400780 42940733 42780658 42860590 43130509 43350392 44080214 46389885 47419645 47429271 47498979 46908673 46938521 47348485 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE BRD 60 SSW DLH 70 S DLH 25 S MTW RAC 30 WSW RAC 25 WNW JVL 25 WNW JVL 40 NNW DBQ 20 SSW MKT 20 W RWF 20 SE VVV 35 NNE VVV 25 N AXN 15 SE BRD 45 ESE BRD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ENE BVE 25 SSW MOB 10 NE MOB 40 NW PNS 20 ENE CEW 20 W MAI 35 WSW TLH 50 S AAF. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N BML 60 NW BGR 15 WNW BGR 40 WSW BHB 30 S AUG 25 NE PWM 15 NE PSM 10 ENE PVD 25 NNE JFK ACY 10 NW WAL 35 ESE RIC 35 SSW CHO 15 ENE SHD 20 WSW MRB 35 SSW AOO LBE 25 WSW DUJ 25 SSE BFD 30 SSW ELM 20 SSE SYR 30 NNW UCA 65 W MSS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE MTC 35 SE AZO 45 NNE MMO 45 NNE MMO 15 SSW DBQ 15 SW DBQ 25 SE MCW 25 NE FSD 15 WSW BKX 25 N HON ABR 20 NNW ABR 25 SW FAR 20 NE DTL 30 W DLH 20 S IMT 25 NNE TVC 80 NE BAX. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 E BNO 55 NE REO 50 W OWY 15 S OWY 40 NE EKO 45 NE P68 40 NNE TPH 40 NNE BIH 40 ESE TVL 20 SSE RNO 55 N RNO 65 ESE AAT 10 N LKV 45 N LKV 50 WSW BNO 20 ENE BNO 60 E BNO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE BVE 30 NNW BVE 10 E ASD 30 NW GPT 25 N MOB 15 SE GZH 15 SSW TOI 45 NE DHN 30 N ABY 40 ENE MCN 45 NNW SAV 15 SE SAV 15 S SSI 30 NE GNV 35 SSE OCF 15 WSW AGR 55 E FMY MIA 65 SE MIA. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE 6R6 35 SE 6R6 55 NE 6R6 35 SW SJT 25 E SJT 40 S BWD 60 NW AUS 35 NNW AUS 20 ENE AUS 30 SW CLL 20 S CLL 20 SSE CLL 20 SE CLL 30 ESE CLL 10 SW UTS 20 ENE UTS 20 E LFK 35 S ELD 30 WSW MKL 25 ENE PAH 15 SSE CMI 40 ENE BMI 25 ENE MLI 30 SW ALO 25 NE YKN 25 NW ONL 10 NNE LBF 10 SSW IML 20 N ITR 20 SW LAA 30 ESE TCC 25 ENE ROW 35 NNW GDP 15 SE ELP 25 SW ELP ...CONT... 45 WSW SAN 35 WNW SAN 10 NE RAL 40 N TRM 40 E TRM 25 S BLH 35 ESE BLH 55 SE EED 25 WSW IGM 40 E LAS 45 SSW P38 65 W P38 45 SSE TPH 45 SSW TPH 15 NNW BIH 30 WNW BIH 70 SSE TVL 20 WNW TVL 60 W RNO 40 E RBL RBL 30 N UKI 30 WNW UKI 65 W UKI ...CONT... 35 WNW ACV 10 WNW CEC 35 WNW MFR 20 W RDM 15 WNW LWS 30 SSW GPI 90 NE CTB ...CONT... 105 NNW DVL 45 WNW DIK 45 N SHR 40 NNW WRL WRL 40 NE RIW 45 W CPR 10 SW CPR 30 WNW DGW 30 NNE DGW 55 NW CDR 25 W PHP 40 SSW JMS 40 NNE FAR HIB 30 SE GNA 45 ENE MQT 50 NW ANJ 65 NNW ANJ.