DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0133 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2020 VALID TIME 271200Z - 281200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29069380 31829391 33309422 35059439 36209347 36519238 36499074 36018999 34838934 31578933 28458988 0.02 38857352 39747668 39987810 40127986 40408191 41738516 42308969 42599318 42269967 41830143 41620253 41940357 43110525 43540550 44470569 45340499 46220373 46410232 46250163 45770098 45440017 45109813 44889430 44538825 44068386 43457916 43527668 43417470 42997318 42407163 41106957 0.05 40007318 40507506 41387815 42017836 42877730 42957503 42127264 40777037 0.05 29139315 30769311 32099327 34179360 35059352 35699317 36009246 36009150 35689084 35029034 34189002 31539012 28489079 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49219796 48139895 46739892 46309697 45909521 45679270 45218945 44838608 44378185 99999999 44317669 43827351 43167161 42587051 41816903 99999999 37437469 38227805 37807954 37318084 37438187 38068257 38968334 40828625 41678874 42029269 41969617 41689952 40570254 40570443 42620732 43160870 43081049 43711128 44201161 45271125 47490810 48250773 49210718 0.15 38867353 39807701 40087946 40458208 41758526 42599323 42269968 41830135 41630255 41950358 43000508 43440553 44470565 45330499 46220376 46420231 46240160 45770097 45440017 45119818 44869423 44388703 43708106 43507942 43527667 43407463 42837266 42417154 40966936 SIGN 41067643 41507795 41927811 42717726 42797496 42277337 41887281 41317270 40807289 40507340 40537443 40817542 41067643 SIGN 41940239 42090315 42610395 43450496 44230513 44680497 45330433 45930341 46020249 45760172 44240123 43280106 42240137 41940239 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44087687 43897370 43187157 41816903 99999999 37427471 38237807 37757980 37338082 37458183 38188274 38968337 40798628 41648871 42009251 41949608 41679951 40940154 40560251 40550443 42600735 43150871 43051047 43691132 44201166 45301130 47520816 48260777 49150725 99999999 49219803 48119893 46739885 46299722 45869479 45198941 44818560 44398205 0.05 29339379 31859391 33289421 35059438 36219346 36529238 36499073 36019000 34828935 31658934 28448990 0.15 38857350 39787688 39967798 40117973 40458201 41718514 42028716 42599314 42269968 41920100 41620252 41950362 43020516 43500551 44490568 45300503 46220372 46410231 46250160 45760096 45440013 45099800 44859415 44668975 44098432 43457923 43547671 43407463 42977312 42507180 42007091 41096951 0.30 40017328 40497500 40957656 41367818 41987835 42877725 42957502 42337320 42137267 40757033 0.30 42710138 42860250 43290307 43810341 44300345 44740307 45020261 45140219 44760049 44569926 44249872 43649848 43329861 42989975 42710138 SIGN 40027328 40497501 40987671 41387817 41987834 42867726 42957500 42157268 40737036 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 40027328 40497499 41087707 41387818 41987835 42857734 42967503 42137268 40747043 ENH 42730132 42730138 42860248 43280305 43800342 44300346 44740307 45030262 45140221 45000144 44750045 44579927 44249871 43649847 43329861 43009969 42730132 SLGT 29199315 30799311 32009325 34179360 35039353 35699317 36009246 36009150 35679084 35029034 34189002 31539012 28489079 SLGT 38857353 39737664 39997814 40097973 40408190 41718511 42008700 42599323 42269968 41820143 41620255 41920354 42530439 43080521 43500554 44500565 45300503 45750441 46210373 46410239 46260162 45770097 45440011 45109815 45049653 44889459 44588882 44148451 43447922 43537678 43487577 43407467 43017326 42447169 41917078 41106955 MRGL 29099380 31889390 33359423 35059439 36209347 36519241 36499074 36028999 34838933 31578933 28458988 MRGL 37417471 38237807 37747979 37338082 37458183 38188274 38968337 40798628 41648871 41999251 41949608 41679951 40940154 40560251 40550443 42600735 43150871 43051047 43691131 44201165 45301130 46650939 47520811 49150725 99999999 49199807 48119893 46739885 46299722 45899508 45729320 45489120 45228971 44798567 44408209 99999999 44097678 43917381 43197160 41826903 TSTM 45297367 44597222 43937077 43256928 99999999 48939421 48089394 47169213 46288826 45888312 99999999 27169974 30330056 33029976 35769811 38459503 39659243 40729179 41499261 41339768 40430105 39140322 36330315 33930506 32200788 31040880 99999999 31961356 32581315 33231291 33951325 34691342 35571331 36471269 37311181 40300986 41541039 41661228 41161358 40391476 40041584 40151713 40911821 42111863 42951828 45601529 46951175 47840886 49380810 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE JFK 15 NW TTN 15 SSW IPT 35 SE BFD 20 NE BFD 25 SE ROC 20 SE UCA BAF 40 SSW ACK. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW VTN 45 W VTN 30 E CDR 30 N CDR 25 SW RAP 25 NW RAP 50 N RAP 55 SE 2WX 55 S Y22 60 SW MBG 25 NNW PIR 50 ENE PIR 25 WSW HON 25 WSW MHE 45 SW MHE 35 NNE ANW 40 WSW VTN. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 S LCH 20 SSE POE 20 NNW IER 35 SW HOT 30 WSW RUE 30 N RUE 15 S FLP 20 NNE BVX 15 SW JBR 20 W MEM 30 WSW UOX 30 NE MCB 75 S HUM. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE ACY 35 SSE CXY 25 SSE AOO 20 SW LBE 30 N ZZV 40 SSE AZO 30 WSW BEH 40 S MCW 25 SE ANW 25 SW MHN 30 SSE AIA BFF 35 NNW TOR 25 NNE DGW 55 N DGW 10 NNW GCC 20 ESE 4BQ 45 S BHK 25 ESE BHK 35 SE DIK 35 NE Y22 30 WNW MBG 15 ESE MBG 25 SSE ABR 20 SSW VVV 35 NE RWF 35 WNW GRB 15 SSE HTL 45 NW BUF 45 NW SYR 30 NW UCA 40 ENE UCA 30 SE GFL 15 NE ORH 20 NNE EWB 30 ESE ACK. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE GLS 40 S SHV 15 WSW TXK 15 E RKR 20 WSW HRO 20 N FLP 25 SW POF 35 W DYR 35 NNE UOX PIB 65 SSW BVE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE WAL 20 ENE CHO 30 E SSU 15 NNW PSK 35 WNW BLF 15 SW HTS 55 E LUK 45 NE LAF 20 N MMO 40 S ALO 15 NNE TQE 20 NNE BBW 30 N IML 45 SSE SNY 30 ENE FCL 50 WSW CPR 15 WNW RIW 40 NNW BPI 30 WNW JAC 40 SE MQM 35 SSW BZN 25 NE 3HT 70 ENE LWT 70 NNW GGW ...CONT... 60 WNW HCO DVL 15 SSW JMS 50 SSW FAR 15 E AXN 45 ENE STC 45 NNE EAU 20 NNW AUW TVC 60 NE BAX ...CONT... 40 W ART 40 SSE SLK CON 65 E HYA. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNW BTV 20 S EFK 30 NW PWM 60 ESE PWM ...CONT... 45 NW INL 40 SW INL 25 N DLH 30 NNW IMT 60 NNE APN ...CONT... 30 SSW LRD 50 WSW JCT 40 N ABI 40 NW OKC 30 SSW OJC 30 SSE IRK 35 W BRL 30 NNW OTM 20 WSW OLU 30 WNW MCK 25 ESE LIC 10 S CAO 35 ESE 4CR 10 WSW DMN 55 ESE DUG ...CONT... 75 SE YUM 35 SW GBN 25 NNW GBN 65 SW PRC 50 SE IGM 40 ENE IGM 45 NW GCN 35 NW PGA 20 WSW VEL 40 ENE EVW 35 NNW OGD 40 NE ENV 45 WSW ENV 35 N P68 35 SSW BAM 20 W WMC 50 SW REO 30 NW REO 40 SSE P69 25 NNE HLN 60 NNE LWT 95 NE HVR.