DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0923 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2020 VALID TIME 271300Z - 281200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38857352 39747668 40127986 40408191 41738516 42308969 42599318 42269967 41620253 41940357 43110525 43540550 44470569 45340499 46220373 46410232 46250163 45599923 45149644 44889327 44538825 44068386 43457916 43527668 43417470 42997318 42407163 41106957 0.02 29209270 31199284 32459383 35079348 36089299 36519238 36499074 36018999 34248875 31778859 28628915 0.05 28989181 30889241 31719286 32589351 35039319 35899268 36009246 36009150 35689084 35048998 33858937 31498933 28878983 0.05 40007318 40507506 41387815 42017836 42867732 42957503 42127264 40897064 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 37437469 38227805 37807954 37318084 37438187 38178272 38968334 40748624 41628868 42029269 41969617 41689952 40570254 40570443 42620732 43160870 43081049 43711128 44201161 45301128 47490810 48250773 49210718 99999999 49219796 48139895 46739892 46309697 45909521 45679270 45218945 44838608 44378185 99999999 44097681 43927383 43197159 42587051 41816903 0.15 38867353 39727655 40107978 40458208 41758526 42599323 42269968 41630255 41950358 43000508 43440553 44470565 45330499 46220376 46420231 46240160 45699955 45369754 44999610 44869423 44568873 43708106 43467917 43527667 43407463 42837266 42467169 41066949 SIGN 41067643 41507795 42017831 42857732 42967502 42367327 41887281 41317270 40807289 40507340 40537443 40817542 41067643 SIGN 42340165 42410236 42550291 42990362 43840386 44760435 45330433 45930341 46020249 45570073 44440047 43190091 42440097 42340165 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49219803 48119893 47509825 46919677 45208968 44818560 44398205 99999999 44087687 43897370 43187157 41816903 99999999 37427471 38237807 37757980 37338082 37458183 38188274 38968337 40798628 41648871 42009251 41949608 41679951 40940154 40560251 40550443 42600735 43150871 43051047 43691132 44201166 45301130 47520816 48260777 49150725 0.05 29349304 30359311 31569174 33109176 33929269 34489310 35099345 36089299 36529238 36499073 36019000 34288876 31868857 28608919 0.15 38857350 39787688 40117973 40458201 41718514 42028716 42599314 42269968 41620252 41950362 43020516 43500551 44490568 45300503 46220372 46410231 46250160 45959728 45359313 44568875 44098432 43457923 43547671 43407463 42977312 42507180 42007091 41096951 0.30 40017328 40497500 40957656 41367818 41987835 42877725 42957502 42337320 42137267 40757033 0.30 42730137 42860250 43290307 43810341 45020385 45610350 45920216 45490044 44909711 44549507 44059469 43169510 42929736 42730137 SIGN 40107353 40497501 40987671 41387817 41987834 42867726 42957500 42157268 40957067 40107353 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 42730132 42730138 42860248 43280305 43800342 44990386 45600351 45940215 45520043 44939716 44569509 44069469 43169512 42939736 42730132 ENH 40027328 40497499 41087707 41387818 41987835 42857734 42967503 42137268 40747043 SLGT 38857353 39737664 40097973 40408190 41718511 42008700 42599323 42269968 41620255 41920354 43080521 43500554 44500565 45300503 46210373 46410239 46260162 45879661 44588882 44148451 43447922 43537678 43487577 43407467 43017326 42447169 41917078 41046944 SLGT 28999181 30919244 31739286 32589353 35059319 35889268 36009246 36009150 35689084 35068998 33858935 31478933 28868980 MRGL 44097678 43917381 43197160 41826903 99999999 37417471 38237807 37747979 37338082 37458183 38188274 38968337 40798628 41648871 41999251 41949608 41679951 40940154 40560251 40550443 42600735 43150871 43051047 43691131 44201165 45301130 46650939 47520811 49150725 99999999 49199807 48119893 47479821 46899674 45228971 44798567 44408209 MRGL 29209276 31219284 32459381 35079349 36079299 36519241 36499074 36028999 34258875 31868858 28598916 TSTM 27169974 30330056 33029976 35769811 38459503 39659243 40729179 41499261 41339768 40430105 39940198 39070321 36900340 34940431 34030508 32940752 32450903 31050927 99999999 31701374 32581315 33231291 33951325 34691342 35571331 36471269 37191204 39751070 40880989 41640938 42010864 42380865 42530914 42350999 41701189 40371455 40041584 40151713 40911821 42111863 42951828 45601529 46951175 47840886 49380810 99999999 49349548 48539500 47749414 46799157 45888845 45678753 45398490 45228333 45218263 45458205 99999999 45077406 44757348 43947139 43266958 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW VTN 45 W VTN 30 E CDR 30 N CDR 25 SW RAP 45 SSW 2WX 2WX Y22 MBG ATY RWF 30 NNW FRM SPW YKN 40 WSW VTN. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE JFK 15 NW TTN 15 SSW IPT 35 SE BFD 20 NE BFD 25 SE ROC 20 SE UCA BAF 40 SSW ACK. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE ACY 35 SSE CXY 20 SW LBE 30 N ZZV 40 SSE AZO 30 WSW BEH 40 S MCW 25 SE ANW 30 SSE AIA BFF 25 NNE DGW 55 N DGW 10 NNW GCC 20 ESE 4BQ 25 ESE BHK 35 SE DIK 35 NE Y22 40 NNW VVV 35 WNW GRB 15 SSE HTL 45 NW BUF 45 NW SYR 30 NW UCA 40 ENE UCA 30 SE GFL 15 NE ORH 20 NNE EWB 35 ESE ACK. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE 7R4 35 SSW ESF 15 E IER 20 ENE SHV 15 SSW RUE 25 SSW FLP 15 S FLP 20 NNE BVX 15 SW JBR MEM 40 SSE UOX PIB 40 SW BVE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W ART 40 SSE SLK CON 65 E HYA ...CONT... 55 SE WAL 20 ENE CHO 30 E SSU 15 NNW PSK 35 WNW BLF 15 SW HTS 55 E LUK 45 NE LAF 20 N MMO 40 S ALO 15 NNE TQE 20 NNE BBW 30 N IML 45 SSE SNY 30 ENE FCL 50 WSW CPR 15 WNW RIW 40 NNW BPI 30 WNW JAC 40 SE MQM 35 SSW BZN 25 NE 3HT 70 ENE LWT 70 NNW GGW ...CONT... 60 WNW HCO DVL 45 NNE JMS FAR 20 NNW AUW TVC 60 NE BAX. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW 7R4 25 ENE POE SHV 25 WSW RUE 15 SSE HRO 20 N FLP 25 SW POF 35 W DYR TUP 35 SSE MEI 55 SSE BVE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW LRD 50 WSW JCT 40 N ABI 40 NW OKC 30 SSW OJC 30 SSE IRK 35 W BRL 30 NNW OTM 20 WSW OLU 30 WNW MCK 45 NNW GLD 30 ESE LIC 35 NNW CAO 45 WSW TCC 35 E 4CR 25 SW TCS 45 SE SAD 35 SE DUG ...CONT... 85 SE YUM 35 SW GBN 25 NNW GBN 65 SW PRC 50 SE IGM 40 ENE IGM 45 NW GCN 35 SSE BCE 10 NNE PUC 35 NNW VEL 15 W RKS 35 NE RKS 30 S LND 30 SW LND 15 SSE BPI 35 N OGD 35 SW ENV 35 N P68 35 SSW BAM 20 W WMC 50 SW REO 30 NW REO 40 SSE P69 25 NNE HLN 60 NNE LWT 95 NE HVR ...CONT... 30 NNW RRT 30 SSE RRT 40 ENE BJI 30 E DLH 15 WNW IMT 20 W ESC 15 SSW PLN 15 NE APN 45 E APN 80 ENE APN ...CONT... 40 ENE MSS 25 NW BTV 25 S MWN 45 SE PWM.