DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0258 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2020 VALID TIME 272000Z - 281200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38727294 40127639 40938150 41788502 42529040 43069326 42969783 42140231 42160319 43230513 45010707 45380783 45890788 46910717 47860691 48760591 48920506 48830435 48360393 47720347 46960232 46359974 45779634 45659335 44568835 44068386 43307937 43117656 42867509 42257417 41617144 40866992 0.02 29039209 29989159 31659131 32309132 32819139 33239169 33809255 34069361 35079348 36089299 36519238 36499074 36018999 34248875 31778859 28528911 0.05 46460433 46310281 46020130 45809990 45629775 45279683 44439685 43949732 43489884 43290094 43460273 44000372 44360488 44900551 45760556 46460433 0.05 28939179 29959143 31619120 32329115 32859127 33359157 33899240 34059331 35039319 35899268 36009246 36009150 35689084 35048998 33858937 32028906 30708919 28638984 0.05 40047281 40937453 41897661 42297781 42687821 42977810 42977720 42657518 42167425 41787264 41567148 40877041 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 43327936 43127654 42877506 42277414 41526923 99999999 38607332 38967432 39457621 39187761 38627884 38037965 38048090 38328189 39008294 40738615 41668865 42389218 42329538 41639958 40570254 40570443 42620732 43160870 43081049 43711128 44201161 45301128 47180876 48250773 49210718 99999999 49219796 48139895 46739892 46309697 45909521 45679270 45218945 44838608 44378185 0.15 46560127 46339974 45829780 45349532 45049381 44659048 44358829 43888771 42838779 42458817 42558942 43189260 42899665 42619841 42269968 41630255 41950358 43000508 43440548 43980628 44620758 44530909 44810963 45300972 46040866 46730805 48140693 48490609 48330462 47040240 46560127 0.15 39607269 40827571 41097744 40738104 40738269 41228386 41988402 42718344 42988215 43127875 43017658 42697531 42167422 41767248 41066949 SIGN 44510562 44930681 45420737 45890729 46570691 46980652 47260593 47380535 47060469 46620401 45770275 45480150 45140031 43759984 42980014 42330142 42250204 42520289 43270379 44210511 44510562 SIGN 41857322 41667214 41537184 41247199 41047275 41187355 41687543 42157800 42657872 42997868 43067798 42667534 42127422 41857322 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49219803 48119893 47509825 46919677 45188969 44678778 44438596 44278394 44288173 99999999 43327936 43127658 42867506 42337404 41506922 99999999 37427471 38237807 37757980 37338082 37458183 38188274 38968337 40798628 41648871 42009251 41949608 41679951 40940154 40560251 40550443 42600735 43150871 43051047 43691132 44201166 45301130 47520816 48260777 49150725 0.05 28919182 29919155 31589122 32309118 32829133 33379178 33929268 34489310 35099345 36089299 36529238 36499073 36019000 34938921 34938755 34758651 34258583 33498555 32948592 32958673 33498724 33728770 33768821 33408869 31748861 28578912 0.15 38857350 39787688 40117973 40458201 41718514 42028716 42599314 42269968 41620252 41950362 43020516 43570551 44860602 46080606 47130593 47890547 48330462 48230377 47260314 46640186 46490108 46429745 45729358 44418859 43898508 43107931 43097796 43017660 42687533 42167426 41677217 41046950 0.30 42730137 42860250 43290307 43930367 44570427 45090465 45390457 45680430 45860384 45970323 46030212 45840083 45859778 45329460 44679389 44299385 43769410 43229514 42919711 42730137 0.30 40017328 40497500 40957656 41367818 41987835 42877725 42867661 42527595 42237522 42037404 41787304 41337129 40757033 SIGN 43349603 43049818 42770111 42880249 43230306 44380415 44880511 45650509 45950439 46020302 46020212 45760092 45659786 45459613 45099488 44639455 43939489 43349603 SIGN 42117595 42247571 42047496 41997419 41767307 41597234 41317130 40867119 40667237 40627250 40647382 41127485 41897586 42117595 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 40017327 40497499 40957655 41367818 41987835 42877725 42867661 42527595 42237522 42037404 41787304 41337129 40757034 ENH 45329460 44679389 44299385 43769410 43229514 42919711 42730137 42860250 43290307 43930367 44570427 45090465 45390457 45680430 45860384 45970323 46030212 45840083 45859778 45329460 SLGT 38997398 39787688 40117973 40458201 40738268 41228386 41718514 42028716 42599314 42269968 42120039 41620252 41950362 43020516 43230529 43440548 43980628 44620758 44530909 44810963 45300972 46040866 46730805 48140693 48490609 48330462 48230377 47540332 47040239 46560127 46490079 46429745 45729358 44418859 43898508 43508180 99999999 43117923 43127875 43097806 43097796 43077762 43017658 42697531 42667523 42657518 42387468 42167422 41767248 41697216 41567148 41066949 SLGT 28939179 29959143 31619120 32329115 32859127 33359157 33899240 34059331 35039319 35899268 36009246 36009150 35679084 35048998 33858937 32028905 30708919 28638984 MRGL 43327936 43127653 42867506 42337404 41646999 41566952 41526922 99999999 37497497 38237807 37747979 37338082 37458183 38188274 38968337 40778626 40888652 41648871 41999251 41949608 41699927 41639958 41300055 40940154 40560251 40550443 42600735 43150871 43051047 43691131 44201165 45301130 45561095 47180876 48140783 48260777 49140725 99999999 49219796 48459866 48119893 47509825 46919678 45339022 45218945 44838608 44378184 MRGL 29039209 29989159 31659131 32309132 32819139 33239169 33809255 34069361 35079348 36089299 36529238 36519137 36499073 36349051 36018999 35748980 34938921 34938755 34758651 34258583 33498555 32948592 32958673 33498725 33728770 33768821 33408869 32978867 31788859 28528911 TSTM 29150174 31010131 33360043 35499932 36109837 37159683 38809478 39889343 41019300 41389325 41539416 41409753 40430105 39940198 39070321 36900340 34940431 34030508 32940752 32450903 31050927 99999999 31701374 32611328 34851318 36991247 39311145 40041089 41370984 41910857 42380865 42530914 42151008 41331225 40311418 39781597 40081710 40451833 41061999 41792030 42131996 42701927 43211832 43861769 44641699 45501637 46361452 47850984 48310912 49380810 99999999 48999393 47609258 46779135 45888845 45678753 45398490 45228333 45218263 45458205 99999999 45507492 44757348 43947139 43026898 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE JFK 15 NW TTN 30 SE IPT 40 SE BFD 20 NE BFD 25 SE ROC 30 NNW ITH 20 N BGM 40 E BGM 30 NNW POU 25 WSW BDL 20 NE BID 40 SSW ACK. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW STC 30 N MKT MKT 20 ENE FRM SPW 15 E YKN 40 W VTN 30 E CDR 30 N CDR 30 WSW RAP 65 ENE GCC 45 ESE 4BQ 40 E 4BQ 40 WNW 2WX 25 NW 2WX 30 NNE 2WX Y22 30 NW MBG 40 NE ABR 30 WSW STC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE ACY 30 S CXY 20 WSW LBE 35 N ZZV 10 SW MFD 15 NW FDY 40 SSE AZO 40 WSW BEH 40 W ALO 25 SE ANW 35 E MHN 35 SSE AIA BFF 20 NNE DGW 35 N DGW 50 N DGW 45 SW GCC 30 WSW SHR COD 35 NW COD 45 SE LVM 20 NNW BIL 70 NNE BIL 15 WSW GGW 30 NE GGW 45 WNW ISN ISN 40 ESE SDY 25 NE DIK 30 WSW BIS 20 S BIS 45 SW FAR 25 ENE STC 25 WSW GRB 40 SSW HTL 65 ESE BAX ...CONT... 30 WNW BUF 15 N BUF 20 W ROC 15 W ROC ROC 25 WSW SYR 30 S UCA 35 SSE UCA 35 SSE UCA 50 N MSV 40 NNW POU 15 SSE BDL 25 NNW GON 10 SSW PVD 30 ESE ACK. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE 7R4 35 ESE LFT HEZ 50 N HEZ 45 SSW GLH 20 SSE LLQ 35 SW PBF 30 SSW HOT 15 SSW RUE 25 SSW FLP 15 S FLP 20 NNE BVX 15 SW JBR MEM 35 SSE UOX 30 SW MEI 20 NNW GPT 55 SSW BVE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW BUF 20 W SYR 25 SE UCA 30 SSW ALB 15 E HYA 35 NE ACK 45 ENE ACK ...CONT... 40 SE WAL 20 ENE CHO 30 E SSU 15 NNW PSK 35 WNW BLF 15 SW HTS 55 E LUK 45 NE LAF 40 NE LAF 20 N MMO 40 S ALO 15 NNE TQE 10 SW BUB 15 N BBW 15 NNE LBF 30 N IML 45 SSE SNY 30 ENE FCL 50 WSW CPR 15 WNW RIW 40 NNW BPI 30 WNW JAC 40 SE MQM 35 SSW BZN 20 SSE BZN 35 ENE LWT 55 W GGW 55 W GGW 70 NNW GGW ...CONT... 55 NW HCO 25 NNE DVL DVL 45 NNE JMS FAR 40 NW AUW 20 NNE AUW 25 WNW TVC 70 NE BAX. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S 7R4 30 ESE LFT HEZ 45 ESE MLU 40 ENE MLU 30 S LLQ 45 NNE ELD 40 SW HOT 25 WSW RUE 15 SE HRO 20 NNE FLP 35 ESE UNO 25 SW POF 30 ENE ARG 35 W DYR 30 SW DYR 40 NNE UOX 15 NNE MSL 15 ENE HSV 25 NE GAD 20 ESE ANB 35 NW AUO 45 S BHM 30 NE TCL 35 N TCL 15 ENE CBM 20 SW CBM 45 N MEI 40 SSE MEI 60 SSE BVE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW DRT 55 WSW SJT 75 S CDS 15 NNW CSM 30 SW END 35 NNE PNC OJC 10 ENE CDJ 20 SSE OXV 10 NW OXV 25 W DSM 10 WSW OLU 30 WNW MCK 45 NNW GLD 30 ESE LIC 35 NNW CAO 45 WSW TCC 35 E 4CR 25 SW TCS 45 SE SAD 35 SE DUG ...CONT... 85 SE YUM 40 WSW GBN 45 WNW PRC 50 SSW BCE 45 WSW PUC 30 NNW PUC 45 WSW RKS 35 NE RKS 30 S LND 30 SW LND 30 S BPI 15 NW OGD 30 SSW ENV 20 N P68 40 SSW BAM 30 NNE LOL 40 SE AAT 25 NNE AAT 20 E LKV 65 SSW BNO 40 SE BNO 65 ENE BNO 45 ESE BKE 45 NNW MYL 45 SSW MSO 50 S HVR 35 ESE HVR 95 NE HVR ...CONT... 40 NW INL 20 NE HIB 25 NW ASX 15 WNW IMT 20 W ESC 15 SSW PLN 15 NE APN 45 E APN 80 ENE APN ...CONT... 40 N MSS 25 NW BTV 25 S MWN 80 ESE PWM.