DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1240 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2020 VALID TIME 111200Z - 121200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 44059326 42779348 40339475 39439590 39159778 39459866 40319846 41379734 42969675 44619612 45049501 44799398 44059326 0.02 32707790 33217950 34058162 34708200 35468127 35978025 36147839 35847461 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48629171 47019199 45669159 44489042 42768988 41119081 39969225 38979455 38799773 39009942 39849983 40539955 41219839 42239794 44249757 46749728 49239636 0.15 43079725 46259657 46679593 46419496 45589420 44409370 42369410 40339485 39439590 39299751 39639848 40459846 41229776 43079725 && ... WIND ... 0.05 30098078 32028129 33168232 34178247 35188176 35568110 35938026 36027889 35997710 35807450 0.05 46839497 45779348 45289253 44169052 42818987 41149073 39959216 38979459 38799764 39019937 40029975 40659937 41219833 42819781 45999727 46929629 46839497 0.15 40889406 39499572 39299746 39499838 40429846 41199705 43399600 44799570 45259458 44619329 43449286 40889406 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 46669591 46389500 45659434 44569322 43449286 41729361 40609445 39399595 39299755 39639844 40459846 41119777 42939725 46219663 46669591 MRGL 30128077 31998130 33198231 34268240 35048180 35938026 36097860 35757456 MRGL 48629177 47049203 45669162 44429038 42828988 41149073 40009225 38939455 38769773 39009942 39849979 40539950 41179834 42749780 44589752 46749722 49319624 TSTM 48978803 45078794 42488869 40598939 38879059 38089290 37769528 37959754 38829954 39980008 41489932 42879865 45619828 49819689 99999999 49281398 48221273 47161227 46161268 45401372 44881492 44981611 46071694 47231757 48071743 49271681 99999999 29068496 30928402 32638343 34488440 36708498 38388318 39048075 39637830 39227629 38427538 37327455 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S DTL 40 NNE AXN 15 WNW STC 20 S MSP 30 NE MCW 15 NNE DSM 25 W LWD 30 NW TOP 20 SSE CNK 40 W CNK 10 S HSI 30 ENE GRI YKN 50 S FAR 10 S DTL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE SGJ 10 SSW SAV 25 WSW AGS 25 SE AND 15 NE SPA 20 WSW GSO 20 NNE RDU 70 ENE HSE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N ELO 15 NNE DLH 55 N EAU 35 N VOK 30 SSE LNR 25 SSW MLI 15 ESE IRK 10 ENE OJC SLN 35 WNW RSL 30 N HLC 30 WSW EAR 15 N GRI 25 WSW YKN 30 SW ATY 25 WSW FAR 40 NW ROX. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 125 N CMX 40 NNE GRB 20 ESE JVL 15 ESE PIA 15 NW STL 50 WNW TBN 15 ENE CNU 20 ESE HUT 40 W RSL 30 ESE MCK 15 E BBW 30 N ONL 15 NNE ABR 75 N HCO ...CONT... 70 N GPI 30 SSW CTB 40 NNW HLN 15 NNW BTM 20 NNE SMN 55 WSW SMN MYL 20 S LWS 25 S GEG 30 N GEG 120 NNE GEG ...CONT... 45 S AAF 15 SW MGR 15 ESE MCN 45 ENE RMG 50 N CSV 35 W HTS 40 ESE PKB 25 NW MRB 20 E BWI 10 NE SBY 65 SE WAL.