DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1241 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2020 VALID TIME 151200Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 44007430 44027341 43907228 43657126 43267072 42417075 41957111 41497164 41137256 40527426 40097617 39707882 40077940 40997948 41947872 43417600 44007430 0.02 28640319 31650213 33910097 34770032 35329958 35699889 36109790 35999629 35879500 35539462 34929447 34299474 33539573 32759652 31719759 29509927 28630021 27970117 0.02 42040095 40940103 39950162 39200245 39130333 39520395 40510421 41510400 42220353 42630280 42540160 42040095 0.05 33730046 34300039 34829993 35179918 35069861 34709832 34109841 33509902 33259971 33330024 33730046 0.05 42467128 41987186 41647259 41407343 41097438 41027509 41277567 41577592 42097593 42677550 43017502 43327416 43427294 43287216 43017160 42467128 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28850404 30410342 33020222 35640001 36539848 37769739 38149639 38279543 37949419 37379290 37179170 36819075 35899032 34799064 33339111 32619181 32289241 32329418 31499512 29549649 28189738 27239831 26269971 0.05 40700488 41400473 42030452 42670381 42840198 42230127 41110107 39130189 38710276 38770377 39270449 39870487 40700488 0.05 42337777 43597447 43797345 43677201 43407131 42967074 42527062 41987076 41117206 40377442 39897710 39727906 40038011 40768025 41567955 42337777 0.15 28440361 30510279 32670189 34900025 35559922 36039805 36219725 35809681 34799643 33649595 32699640 30809781 28729938 27610038 0.15 42307140 41917197 41507309 41137433 41287528 41627580 42237586 42877533 43307429 43447306 43287208 42997158 42747135 42307140 0.15 42410243 41440163 39970213 39390358 39970428 41210420 42260344 42410243 SIGN 28370364 30400281 32520198 34300070 34870021 35349954 35539858 35349783 34719765 34109797 33029896 31769979 30250062 29380107 28080155 && ... WIND ... 0.05 41806916 41227098 40597282 40187389 39917523 39647643 39437772 39217919 39078052 38958140 38518340 38258451 37808590 38058670 38918709 39608682 40278604 40888454 41488230 42038033 42597867 42947756 43617590 43767549 44047426 44027317 43867204 43637123 43437071 42756919 0.05 28890402 30010357 31140309 32740234 33470196 34250140 35090123 35530173 35840259 36460361 37680451 39750493 40950487 41960455 42780406 43250338 43490291 43710179 43470052 42850001 41919980 40690011 39470062 38360134 37480206 36820197 36030071 35929965 36579848 37739735 38179641 38269531 37989423 37399301 37139159 37239013 36978895 36408864 35698887 34578995 33579079 32709171 32279240 31639399 31069487 30109580 29169653 28249702 26769817 26079926 0.15 42047068 41457183 41107279 40777393 40527482 40327563 40137653 39827880 39588014 39478110 39318275 39568360 40008384 40498365 40908272 41568060 42127863 42887643 43407515 43667412 43807342 43677208 43427137 43017080 42607061 42047068 0.15 28610351 30350285 31830224 32840172 33880102 34640046 35059995 35609912 36089807 36799694 37249586 37119480 36439392 35879327 35369320 34659344 33969398 32989508 31699603 30729665 29529715 28359784 27709844 26490037 0.15 42030098 41000103 39860163 39160255 39170334 39530400 40510421 41530405 42180355 42600281 42540156 42030098 0.30 42337135 42017176 41647261 41357366 41117440 40907529 40987594 41317633 42077623 42587574 43007504 43297421 43447305 43307218 43077162 42737134 42337135 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 42657134 42337140 41987177 41697249 41417341 41047449 40917537 41017605 41327636 42017622 42517577 43007506 43327415 43437303 43307218 43047162 42657134 SLGT 43027083 42577062 42037070 41637142 41197247 40587452 40177627 39907817 39528057 39328280 39548356 39978387 40538366 40908276 41418109 42027897 42717694 43377527 43647426 43787337 43687206 43417133 43027083 SLGT 28680350 30510279 31650233 32760176 33800112 34650040 35109993 35599914 36079802 36729707 37229589 37099485 36399387 35879330 35359318 34669347 33979397 32929514 31829596 30699663 29339726 28359777 27649847 26759961 SLGT 41990098 40900105 39850166 39160260 39150339 39500396 40380419 41490404 42200356 42600278 42550163 41990098 MRGL 41806920 41177114 40117412 39617666 39247906 38978128 38318427 37808593 38078676 38928707 39608682 40288601 40888459 41398263 42008038 42797799 43387649 43787548 44037424 44037335 43897218 43657122 42836941 MRGL 28980398 30350342 31100313 31810280 32830231 33490193 34260140 35090122 35520174 35870267 36430361 37610447 39740491 40880486 41890461 42810403 43470295 43700174 43440052 42809995 41939983 40620016 39440063 38390132 37460211 36790192 36030070 35909969 36559846 37749737 38159646 38259533 37979421 37369298 37149163 37239011 36998899 36328860 35668890 34698988 33429094 32719171 32329231 31959321 31639403 31049491 30079578 29169653 27919722 26829813 25889933 TSTM 49930477 48100257 45840048 43839843 42719676 41859409 41279100 41448923 41958647 42388420 42858242 43358094 99999999 44897691 44717462 44377282 44017134 43637017 42976842 99999999 38717426 38767574 38297803 37268131 35728506 34538633 33218691 31518730 30188753 29718750 99999999 28538314 28618232 28508141 28458071 28658007 99999999 29500477 32070370 34180202 34810187 35260213 35510302 36160417 38470617 39270764 40200801 40810759 41740660 42220631 42600654 43250725 43750919 43941077 45101313 46171505 46841607 48001740 48841793 49691780 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW BOS 20 W BOS 20 SSE ORH 20 SSE BDL 20 NW BDR 30 NW EWR 20 N ABE 30 SW AVP 30 E IPT 20 SW BGM 25 NNE BGM 20 ESE UCA 25 W GFL 10 SSW RUT 25 SSE LEB 15 SSW CON 25 NW BOS. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM PSM 25 NE BOS 30 SSE BOS PVD 25 WSW GON 20 WSW EWR 30 E CXY 25 WNW HGR 35 WSW MGW 30 WNW UNI 45 SE DAY 20 ENE DAY 35 S FDY 15 WNW MFD 25 WNW YNG 15 ESE JHW 30 WNW ITH 15 NNE UCA 40 NW GFL 25 NW RUT 15 ENE LEB 10 SSE LCI PSM. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 SSE MRF 30 SSE FST 20 SSW MAF 40 NNW BGS 40 ENE LBB 15 NNW CDS 45 WSW CSM 20 N CSM 20 SSW END PNC 30 NNE BVO 20 W JLN 30 NNE FYV 30 SSW HRO 10 NW RUE 25 WNW HOT 25 ESE DEQ 40 NNE TYR 30 ESE CRS 15 WNW CLL 40 NNW VCT NIR 30 WSW ALI 55 S LRD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MHN 25 SW LBF 35 N GLD 20 WSW ITR 15 ESE LIC 20 NW LIC 45 E FCL 35 SW BFF 20 N BFF 20 SE CDR 45 NW MHN MHN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E HYA 25 E BID 10 ENE NEL 30 N BWI 50 ENE EKN 25 SSE PKB 25 NE LEX 30 SSW SDF 35 NE OWB 30 WSW BMG 30 ENE HUF 30 W MIE 30 ESE FWA 40 N MFD 10 WSW ERI 30 SW ROC 25 NW SYR 30 ESE ART 25 S SLK 30 SSW BTV 20 NNE LEB 10 ENE LCI 70 SE PWM. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 S MRF 35 E MRF 20 NW FST 25 E INK 55 E HOB 15 SSW LBB 20 ENE PVW 30 ESE AMA 20 N AMA 15 SSW DHT 25 W CAO 25 NNW TAD DEN 20 S CYS 25 WSW TOR 45 W CDR 40 S RAP 25 SSW PHP 40 N VTN 15 N ANW 35 NNW BBW 35 NE MCK 45 W HLC 45 NW GCK 30 ENE SPD 15 S EHA 45 ENE BGD 50 NW CSM 20 SE AVK ICT 20 SW EMP 40 NNE CNU 60 NNE JLN 25 ENE SGF 30 NNE UNO 30 W CGI 15 WSW PAH 50 ENE DYR MKL 25 SSE MEM GLH 20 NE MLU 20 SW MLU 15 NNW IER 50 ENE LFK 15 SW LFK 40 NW HOU 30 NE VCT 20 ENE CRP 45 N MFE 70 WSW MFE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 130 NNW ISN 50 E ISN 20 N MBG 20 WNW MHE 30 NW SUX 30 NW DSM 30 WSW MLI 30 W MMO 15 S BEH 15 ENE JXN 25 NE MTC 95 NNW ERI ...CONT... 75 NW ART 20 SE MSS 15 NW MPV 20 S MWN PWM 100 S BHB ...CONT... 55 SSE ACY 30 SSW DOV 25 ENE CHO BLF 15 S CSV 25 ESE HSV 25 SSW BHM 15 WNW GZH 30 SW PNS 55 SSW PNS ...CONT... 50 NNW PIE 40 S OCF ORL 25 N MLB 50 NE MLB ...CONT... 75 SW MRF 35 NW INK 15 W PVW 30 SSW AMA 25 W AMA 40 NE TCC 45 SSE RTN 40 E GUC 40 W ASE 35 SW CAG 20 N CAG 30 E RWL 50 S CPR 20 S CPR 45 WNW CPR 55 S COD 25 N JAC 30 WSW DLN 25 E P69 50 E PUW 25 NNE GEG 75 ENE OMK 115 NE OMK.