Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
SPC AC 180050
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 PM CDT Sun May 17 2020
Valid 180100Z - 181200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER
INDIANA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe storms with a brief tornado or strong wind gust remain
possible over Indiana and western Kentucky this evening.
...Indiana and vicinity...
Cooling aloft will persist this evening as an upper low moves east
across IL, and this may counteract the loss of heating east of the
cold front somewhat. Low-level shear will remain favorable for
rotating storms, most likely within the slow-moving band of storms
where damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado are possible For more
information see MCD #624.
...Southwest LA...
Isolated storms persist over southwest LA on the backside of the
upper low. While a moist air mass is aiding the ongoing small cells,
a rapid influx of dry air aloft is expected over the next few hours
out of the northwest. Effective SRH near 200 m2/s2 may sustain a
small supercell in the near term, but the threat is expected to
diminish rapidly this evening. See MCD #625 for more information.
..Jewell.. 05/18/2020
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z