May 31, 2020 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun May 31 00:48:19 UTC 2020 (20200531 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20200531 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20200531 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
ENHANCED 23,960 715,643 Spokane, WA...Wenatchee, WA...Ellensburg, WA...Moses Lake, WA...East Wenatchee Bench, WA...
SLIGHT 34,307 1,112,264 Yakima, WA...Kennewick, WA...Richland, WA...Pasco, WA...Lewiston, ID...
MARGINAL 226,482 4,013,367 Denver, CO...Aurora, CO...Fort Collins, CO...Thornton, CO...Westminster, CO...
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20200531 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
2 % 51,018 1,800,101 Spokane, WA...Yakima, WA...Kennewick, WA...Richland, WA...Pasco, WA...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20200531 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
SIG SEVERE 23,998 665,198 Spokane, WA...Wenatchee, WA...Moses Lake, WA...East Wenatchee Bench, WA...Cheney, WA...
30 % 23,166 697,385 Spokane, WA...Wenatchee, WA...Moses Lake, WA...East Wenatchee Bench, WA...Cheney, WA...
15 % 34,922 1,128,279 Yakima, WA...Kennewick, WA...Richland, WA...Pasco, WA...Lewiston, ID...
5 % 227,910 4,031,319 Denver, CO...Aurora, CO...Lakewood, CO...Fort Collins, CO...Thornton, CO...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20200531 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
15 % 42,810 1,720,426 Spokane, WA...Yakima, WA...Kennewick, WA...Richland, WA...Pasco, WA...
5 % 166,362 3,349,952 Denver, CO...Aurora, CO...Fort Collins, CO...Thornton, CO...Westminster, CO...
   SPC AC 310048

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0748 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

   Valid 310100Z - 311200Z

   ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF EASTERN WA...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Scattered severe thunderstorms, offering destructive winds and hail,
   are expected to continue through roughly 10 PM PDT over parts of the
   interior Pacific Northwest, east of the Cascades.

   ...Pacific Northwest...

   Earlier thinking, regarding the development of an MCS east of the
   Cascades, remains. Latest radar data suggests several thunderstorm
   clusters have evolved into a complex of storms over southern WA.
   This activity is being aided by the exit region of a strong upper
   jet that is translating into the northern Rockies. Latest diagnostic
   data suggests ample buoyancy resides across eastern WA into western
   MT for the maintenance of ongoing MCS as it propagates toward
   southeast BC. Current speed/movement of this complex suggests the
   back edge should approach the international border by 05z.

   ..Darrow.. 05/31/2020

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z