Lincoln, NE...Salina, KS...Manhattan, KS...Grand Island, NE...Kearney, NE...
MARGINAL
434,062
30,574,876
Charlotte, NC...Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Virginia Beach, VA...Omaha, NE...
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
2 %
32,633
299,395
Grand Island, NE...Kearney, NE...North Platte, NE...Hastings, NE...Lexington, NE...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
15 %
82,232
1,193,791
Lincoln, NE...Salina, KS...Manhattan, KS...Grand Island, NE...Kearney, NE...
5 %
432,593
30,665,984
Charlotte, NC...Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Virginia Beach, VA...Omaha, NE...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
15 %
47,157
449,591
Grand Island, NE...Kearney, NE...North Platte, NE...Norfolk, NE...Hastings, NE...
5 %
317,049
11,687,718
Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Omaha, NE...Wichita, KS...Lincoln, NE...
SPC AC 210045
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0745 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEBRASKA INTO
NORTHERN KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms capable of damaging winds and large hail
will remain possible through evening mainly over the central Plains.
Other isolated strong storms may persist from Tennessee to the Mid
Atlantic.
...Central Plains...
Several clusters of severe storms persist this evening from the
SD/NE border into southwest NE and into eastern CO. The most
favorable combination of instability and deep-layer shear exists
from NE northward, beneath enhanced northwesterlies with a shortwave
trough. An increasing low-level jet this evening may further favor a
continued severe wind and hail threat as storms propagate
south/southeast, with threat centered over NE and into KS. For more
information see mesoscale discussion 1295.
...TN into the Mid Atlantic...
Scattered diurnal storms persist as of 01Z, but will wane in
coverage and intensity through the evening with the loss of heating.
A few strong or locally damaging wind gusts remain possible for a
few hours, mainly from TN into NC.
..Jewell.. 07/21/2020
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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