Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
SPC AC 240102
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0802 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2020
Valid 240100Z - 241200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM FAR EASTERN
MONTANA INTO NORTH DAKOTA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe storms remain possible this evening from far eastern
Montana into North Dakota. Isolated strong storms may persist for a
few hours over parts of the Northeast and Mid Atlantic, and from
Idaho into southwest Montana.
...Northern Plains and Rockies...
Scattered strong to severe storms persist near the wind shift over
eastern MT, with isolated activity extending southeastward into
western ND. The 00Z ABR sounding farther east shows strong
instability, but with a cap below 700 mb.
Lift will persist this evening as the shortwave trough moves across
the area and the low-level jet strengthens and veers to
southwesterly. While capping is a concern for storm coverage, the
conditional threat of a severe storms remains high, with damaging
hail or wind the most likely threat should additional storms form
this evening. See mesoscale discussion 1325 for more information.
...Northeast and Mid Atlantic...
Much of the air mass has been overturned by earlier convection, but
pockets of moderate instability remain from MD into southern NY.
Isolated strong wind gusts remain possible for a few hours until the
boundary layer stabilizes.
..Jewell.. 07/24/2020
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z