Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 280036
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0736 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2020
Valid 280100Z - 281200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across much of the U.S.
this evening into tonight. Severe thunderstorms are not expected.
An upper-level trough will move eastward across the Great Lakes and
Ohio Valley this evening as an shortwave ridge moves across the
central Plains. At the surface, a trough will be in place in the
Atlantic Coastal States as a high pressure moves across the central
U.S. Scattered thunderstorms will continue this evening into tonight
across much of the western, southern and eastern U.S. However,
instability and deep-layer shear is not expected to be sufficient
for a severe threat this evening into tonight.
..Broyles.. 07/28/2020
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z