Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 160531
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1231 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...
...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes associated with Tropical Cyclone Sally are possible
across portions of the Florida Panhandle, northern Florida,
southeastern Alabama, and southwestern Georgia.
...Tropical Cyclone Sally...
Sally continues its very slow north-northeast motion toward the
AL/FL Panhandle border region. Early this morning, northern portion
of the eye was roughly 15 mi offshore and stronger convective bands,
with more discrete supercells, are beginning to rotate inland with
higher-buoyancy air mass. Latest trends/model guidance suggest the
center of Sally should gradually move inland across the western FL
Panhandle into southeast AL by the end of the period. This movement
should allow mid 70s surface dew points to spread a bit farther
north which should result in higher instability into portions of
southwestern GA than earlier indicated. Will extend 5% tornado
probabilities about 50 mi farther north to account for the more
inland position by 17/12z.
..Darrow/Moore.. 09/16/2020
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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