Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 170103
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0803 PM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
Valid 170100Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL
FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO A PORTION OF SOUTHERN GEORGIA...
...SUMMARY...
A tornado or two remain possible overnight from the central Florida
Panhandle into a portion of south central Georgia.
...Northern Florida through southern Georgia...
As of early evening, the center of tropical storm Sally was located
over southern Alabama moving northeast at 7 miles per hour. Several
convective rain bands with discrete cells persist from the northeast
Gulf into northern FL and southern GA. Vertical wind profiles east
of the center remain favorable for updraft rotation. Lightning
trends have been down due primarily to low-level stabilization with
onset of nocturnal cooling. A warm front resides near the GA/FL
border. The greatest threat for a tornado or two will persist from
the central FL Panhandle into far southern GA as discrete cells move
north and interact with the front, and where low-level trajectories
are from the northeast Gulf of Mexico. The very marginal
thermodynamic environment will remain an overall limiting factor.
..Dial.. 09/17/2020
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z