Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 080049
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0749 PM CDT Wed Oct 07 2020
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
No severe thunderstorms are expected across the continental United
States this evening or tonight.
...DISCUSSION...
An upper-level trough will move from the coast of New England
eastward into the western Atlantic this evening. At the surface, a
cold front will advance southeastward across the Mid-Atlantic and
Ohio Valley as a cool and dry airmass overtakes much of the
northeastern U.S. Further south in the eastern Gulf Coast states, a
moist airmass is in place with surface dewpoints in the lower to mid
70s F. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across parts of
central and northern Florida in a pocket of moderate instability
where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1000 to 1200 J/kg range.
Deep-layer shear is weak in north-central Florida and will limit any
potential for a severe threat. Elsewhere across the United States,
thunderstorm development is not expected this evening and tonight.
..Broyles.. 10/08/2020
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
| 
)
