Mobile, AL...Gulfport, MS...Pensacola, FL...Biloxi, MS...Panama City, FL...
MARGINAL
47,401
8,841,908
Atlanta, GA...Montgomery, AL...Columbus, GA...Sandy Springs, GA...Roswell, GA...
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
30,857
2,429,196
Mobile, AL...Gulfport, MS...Pensacola, FL...Biloxi, MS...Panama City, FL...
2 %
46,951
8,763,896
Atlanta, GA...Montgomery, AL...Columbus, GA...Sandy Springs, GA...Roswell, GA...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 290053
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0753 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020
Valid 290100Z - 291200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL GULF STATES...
...SUMMARY...
TC Zeta may spawn a few tornadoes tonight from southern
Mississippi/Alabama to the western Florida Panhandle.
...TC Zeta...
TC Zeta continues its northeast movement inland across southern MS.
Earlier thoughts regarding the track/movement of Zeta remain. The
primary threat for a few tornadoes is along/east of the track across
the central Gulf States where buoyancy remains adequate for deep
convection. Given the progression inland, have lowered severe
probabilities across LA to account for subsidence along the back
side of this tropical system.
..Darrow.. 10/29/2020
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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