Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 010050
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0650 PM CST Mon Nov 30 2020
Valid 010100Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND AND VICINITY...
...SUMMARY...
A couple of damaging wind gusts, and perhaps a brief tornado, remain
possible this evening across southern New England.
...Discussion...
Stronger convection, which earlier affected portions of the Mid
Atlantic region (including isolated severe storms) has now moved off
the New Jersey coast. From here forward, the most active convection
-- including isolated/embedded thunderstorms -- will occur over
southern New England and Long Island.
Current indications (evening RAOBs and model point forecast
soundings) are that the boundary layer remains stable, and
increasingly so with northward extent. As such, potential for
convective wind gusts at the surface and/or a brief tornado
touchdown will remain limited/local the remainder of the period.
Still, to cover this potential, MRGL risk will be maintained, as the
surface low occludes just to the west of this region (NY) overnight.
..Goss.. 12/01/2020
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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