Dec 20, 2020 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Dec 20 00:54:19 UTC 2020 (20201220 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20201220 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20201220 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20201220 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20201220 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20201220 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 200054

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0654 PM CST Sat Dec 19 2020

   Valid 200100Z - 201200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Primary risk for thunderstorms will be along the central Gulf Coast
   tonight.

   ...01z Update...

   Weak surface wave that developed over the northwestern Gulf Basin
   has shifted east and is currently located south of the central LA
   Coast. A wedge of higher boundary-layer moisture has advanced to
   near the southeastern tip of Iberia Parish, but it should struggle
   to move appreciably inland. Given the weak buoyancy over land,
   severe threat appears negligible through 12z.

   ..Darrow.. 12/20/2020

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z